Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fonner Park
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-3   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.40 $2.40 30%
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-5 $266.80 $234.80 734%
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5/7)-(6/1/4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00  4-5-6 $677.00 $629.00 1310%
    SFT (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5/7)-(6/1/4/5/7)-(6/1/4/5/7) 96 $0.10 $9.60  4-5-6-7 $131.25 $121.65 1267%
FON-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-2 $26.00 $2.00 8%
    SFT (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/5/6)-(2/1/4/5/6)-(2/1/4/5/6) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-2-5-6 $8.56 $1.36 19%
Simulator Race results
 
FON-1   03/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:24 :371       :49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HANK'S GAL 6 1 42½     3.2 1hd (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 117 6.00 ★ 15.00  
  (by EL CABALLO out of HATTIES CONFESSION by CONGAREE)
1  JOCOTE 1 2 2nk     2nk 2hd (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 117 2.00 32% 2.10 5.00 P
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MAD JOEY by SALT LAKE)
5  WILLHE LOVE 5 3 1nk     1nk 3.15 (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 42% 1.40 0.95 S
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
4  J PS HARLEY GLIDER 4 5 65½     5¾ 42¼ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 ★ 3.65  
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
2  BUY NOW 2 6 31½     4¾ 52¼ (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 122 12.00 11.20  
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
3  HAVANA JACK 3 4 53½     62¼ 68¾ (wise jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 4.00 ★ 4.25  
  (by UNION JACKSON out of QUDZE by DAAHER)
 
FON-2   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:031     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUBIGINOUS 2 3 54½ 42   2½ 11¾ (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 ★ 1.50  
5  DANCE FOR RANSOM 4 1 2nk 11   1½ 21¾ (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 125 12.00 7.00  
6  GONE PREACHIN 5 5 43½ 32   31 33¼ (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 10.00 20% 4.00 7.20 S
3  RATHER PRECOCIOUS 3 4 31½ 53   56 46¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 26% 2.80 1.80  
1  NEW GOSPEL 1 2 1nk 21   42 56½ (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 23% 3.30 3.20  
SCR  MACHO MADNESS               (fackler howard)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-3   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:024     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WAR REPORTER 4 1 2½ 21   1nk 1½ (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 9% 9.80 4.20 W
5  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR 5 6 31½ 11   2nk 2½ (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 15.00 9% 10.30 9.60 P
6  HESACALENDARBOY 6 5 42½ 32½   31½ 34¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 37% 1.70 3.50 S
7  GENOMIC 7 7 68 66½   54 46¾ (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 ★ 4.10  
1  SPRY CHARLIE 1 3 54 43½   43½ 58¾ (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 10% 9.30 3.00  
2  SHAQ'S MY DADDY 2 2 1½ 54½   68 620½ (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 8.45  
3  BULL RING 3 4 79 716½   716 725¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 5.05  
 
FON-4   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:012     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRAND DESIGN 4 1 32 33   31 11¼ (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 13% 6.50 2.40 W
2  CRIMSON ZIP 2 6 613½ 513½   57½ 21¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 35% 1.90 2.85 P
5  MY BOY GUS 5 3 11 1nk   1½ 34¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★ 2.40 S
6  LUCKY BREAK 6 4 21 2nk   2½ 45½ (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 ★ 7.95  
3  MURDO 3 5 510½ 614   610½ 56 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 10.00  
1  LOVER BOY 1 2 42½ 43½   42½ 66¼ (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 4.00 30% 2.40 4.55  
 
FON-5   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:013     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWEET TATUM 5 2 12 11½   12 11 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 ★ 11.70  
3  WILDWOOD MAGGIE 3 7 76½ 76½   67 21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 16% 5.20 3.65 P
7  QUEEN CORDELIA 7 6 43 21½   22 31½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 18% 4.60 1.90 S
6  AMERICAN REALITY 6 1 22 43½   36 46 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 8.00 8.55  
4  UNHERDOF 4 5 65½ 54½   56½ 56 (thomsen paula)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 13.60  
1  SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS 1 4 32½ 33   46 67 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 7% 12.50 16.65  
2  SABER QUEEN 2 3 54 65½   78 711¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 31% 2.20 1.75  
 
FON-6   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
1:422         1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DALLAS GOLD 7 7 72¼ 63 43½ 1nk 11½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 12% 7.10 2.40 W
1  FAKE SOLUTION 1 1 1nk 1½ 11½ 2nk 21½ (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 11.35  
3  FALCON HEAVY 3 8 88¼ 811 55½ 33 36½ (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8.40  
6  HE'S PRETTY LUCKY 6 6 61¾ 74 66 43¼ 47¾ (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 15.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
8  FORT KNOX 8 5 5¾ 32 33 57¼ 518½ (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 3.70  
4  DEALMEINBUD 4 4 3.2 52½ 79 713¼ 627¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 31% 2.30 6.50  
5  LADDIE BOY 5 3 4¼ 2½ 21½ 610¼ 728¾ (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 13% 6.80 4.70  
2  THAT'S D 'CAT 2 2 2nk 42 810 817¼ 833¾ (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 11% 7.80 8.10  
 
FON-7   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:021     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BRINEE 8 4 13 14   15 14¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 2.50  
9  REINA DEL SUR 7 8 56½ 35   35½ 24¾ (donlin d)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 11.40  
8  CHERISH THE DAY 6 6 34½ 24   25 36 (dunlap m)RAMOS B 125 10.00 12.60  
7  SUE HAPPY 5 7 88¼ 58½   59 47¾ (arceo salvado)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 15% 5.50 4.10  
6  MAGIC IN A HAT 4 5 23 45½   47 59½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 11% 8.20 4.60  
1  T R'S FIRST 1 3 66¾ 812½   613 614¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 16% 5.30 3.30  
5  ROSE OF EKITA 3 1 76¾ 610½   713½ 715¾ (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 11.00  
4  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND 2 2 44½ 711½   816½ 821½ (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00 8.70  
SCR  LEMONS IS GONE               (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  PROMPTLY DONE               (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.