Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4/3/6)-(5/1/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(6/1/4/5)-(2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5/7)-(6/1/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/5/6)-(2/1/4/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-5   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1/5)-(2/7/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/1)-(4/5/7/2/6)-(1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-6   WIN (4/5/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2/6)-(4/5/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2/6)-(4/5/7/2/6)-(4/5/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2/6)-(1/7/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
FON-7   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCOTE Feb24         (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MAD JOEY by SALT LAKE)
2  BUY NOW Nov21         (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 122 12.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
3  HAVANA JACK         (wise jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 4.00 ★    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of QUDZE by DAAHER)
4  J PS HARLEY GLIDER         (condon)FLETCHER D 122 3.50 ★    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
5  WILLHE LOVE Feb25         (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
6  HANK'S GAL         (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 117 6.00 ★    
  (by EL CABALLO out of HATTIES CONFESSION by CONGAREE)
 
FON-2   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW GOSPEL Feb17 Sep25 Sep11 Sep04 Aug28 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
2  RUBIGINOUS Mar04 Jan13 Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 ★    
3  RATHER PRECOCIOUS Feb11 Nov17 Oct26 Jun09 May28 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 26% 2.80    
SCR  MACHO MADNESS Mar04 Sep19 Sep05 Jun10 May29 (fackle)FLETCHER D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DANCE FOR RANSOM Mar04 Feb11 Sep09 Aug08 Aug01 (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
6  GONE PREACHIN Feb10 Jun17 Jun10 May27 May13 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
FON-3   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRY CHARLIE Feb18 Jan27 Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 10% 9.30    
2  SHAQ'S MY DADDY Mar03 Aug10 Jul13 Jun23 May19 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00    
3  BULL RING Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 Jul19 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
4  WAR REPORTER Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 Dec20 Dec08 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 9% 9.80    
5  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR May21 Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 15.00 9% 10.30    
6  HESACALENDARBOY Feb18 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Oct26 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 37% 1.70    
7  GENOMIC Feb26 Feb12 Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 ★    
 
FON-4   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVER BOY Mar04 Feb18 Apr24 Apr03 Mar26 (donlin)FLETCHER D 125 4.00 30% 2.40    
2  CRIMSON ZIP Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 Dec10 Feb18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 35% 1.90    
3  MURDO Feb24 Feb18 Sep25 Aug08 May13 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00    
4  GRAND DESIGN Feb25 Dec19 Sep30 Sep18 Aug14 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 13% 6.50    
5  MY BOY GUS Feb18 Jan13 Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
6  LUCKY BREAK Feb11 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Nov19 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 ★    
 
FON-5   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS Feb25 May21 May01 Apr16 Apr02 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 7% 12.50    
2  SABER QUEEN Feb25 Feb11 Nov16 Oct28 Aug29 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  WILDWOOD MAGGIE Feb25 Jan13 Dec30 Dec19 Nov23 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 16% 5.20    
4  UNHERDOF Feb26 Jan13 Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 (thomse)FLETCHER D 125 15.00    
5  SWEET TATUM Feb25 Sep27 Sep13 Jul25 Jul11 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 ★    
6  AMERICAN REALITY Oct27 Oct02 Sep20 Aug30 Aug07 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
7  QUEEN CORDELIA Feb24 Feb10 Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
FON-6   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAKE SOLUTION Feb26 Feb11 Sep30 Sep19 Aug22 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 8.00    
2  THAT'S D 'CAT Mar04 Feb18 Nov25 Nov09 Oct14 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 11% 7.80    
3  FALCON HEAVY Feb18 Dec27 Nov23 Oct26 Oct08 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
4  DEALMEINBUD Feb22 Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 Dec14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 31% 2.30    
5  LADDIE BOY Mar04 Feb19 Sep05 Aug07 Jul11 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 13% 6.80    
6  HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Feb25 Feb11 Nov14 Oct28 Sep08 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  DALLAS GOLD Feb22 Jan27 Jan12 Dec27 Dec15 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 12% 7.10    
8  FORT KNOX Feb26 Dec15 Oct08 Jul05 Jun27 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
 
FON-7   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T R'S FIRST Feb15 Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec29 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  PROMPTLY DONE Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  LEMONS IS GONE Feb25 Feb10 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 11% 8.40    
4  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Feb24 Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct13 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00    
5  ROSE OF EKITA Feb18 Jul19 Jun27     (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
6  MAGIC IN A HAT Sep29 Sep16 Aug29 Aug20 Jul23 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 11% 8.20    
7  SUE HAPPY Feb25 Feb15 Jan28 Jan04 Dec21 (arceo salvado)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  CHERISH THE DAY Feb25 Feb10 Sep23 Sep07 Jul18 (dunlap m)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
9  REINA DEL SUR Feb17 Sep04 Aug24 Jul09 Jun12 (donlin)FLETCHER D 125 12.00    
10  BRINEE Feb01 Jan12 Nov18 Nov10 Oct13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.