tbrs_res_20230625.arp.html - Selections by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

The Thoroughbred Racing

Simulator

Arapahoe Park

Sunday - June 25, 2023

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ARP-3			06/25/2023	3960ft		DIRT	5 Horses	Claiming ($5K)		Purse ($6.6K)		3UP	M/F		PT- 3:50
											M/L	W/P		B/E		F/O	P
5	DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY				(gleason tim m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124						2.50	44%		1.30		0.30	1	W
3	PROMPTLY DONE				(rushton temple)RAMOS A B 124						3.50	20%		4.10		4.90	2	P
2	HOT CAVIAR				(lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124						6.00	16%		5.20		7.20	4

1	GEORGIANO				(williams steve f)MEDINA JOSE ANGEL 124						4.50					7.60	3	S
4	PERKY BRUNETTE				(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124						12.00					7.70	5

ARP-4			06/25/2023	2970ft		DIRT	6 Horses	Starter Allowance		Purse ($6.8K)		3UP	ALL		PT- 4:15
											M/L	W/P		B/E		F/O	P
6	AWESOME BID				(barraza sosa ramiro)HAAR NATHAN 124						6.00	38%		1.60		2.80	1	W
1	MORO APPEAL				(long vaughn)WALES T 124						4.50	20%		4.10		1.60	4
4	PREACHER				(hibdon mark n)MORALES ROBERTO 124						2.50	12%		7.10		1.50	2	P

5	GREY ROGUE				(rushton temple)RAMOS A B 124						3.50					8.50	5
2	ARIMONY				(torres-casas alex j)LULL R E 124						15.00					23.30	3	S

ARP-5			06/25/2023	3630ft		DIRT	6 Horses	Claiming ($10K)		Purse ($8.1K)		3UP	ALL		PT- 4:40
											M/L	W/P		B/E		F/O	P
6	LEFT THE BAR				(kenney dan)LULL R E 120						2.50	40%		1.50		1.70	1	W
1	TIME TO SKIP TOWN				(parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121						4.50	21%		3.80		1.50	5
3	FRISCO KID				(villamar candelario)GONZALEZ PEDRO V 124						20.00	16%		5.40		2.40	2	P

2	CHARLIE'S NO SAINT				(young don a)WALES T 124						3.50					12.80	6
4	REAL POUCH				(lavanway dayson)RAMOS A B 124						8.00					11.90	3	S

ARP-6			06/25/2023	3300ft		DIRT	7 Horses	Claiming ($2.5K)		Purse ($5K)		3UP	ALL		PT- 5:05
											M/L	W/P		B/E		F/O	P
6	GRAYDAR'S DREAM				(rushton temple)RAMOS A B 124						2.50	65%		0.50		1.50	2	P
5	ITS A DEAL				(rushton temple)MORALES ALLYSSA 124						8.00	9%		10.00		2.20	5
1	OVER EZ				(williams steve f)MEDINA JOSE ANGEL 124						10.00	5%		20.00		23.10	7
2	KICK IT				(lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124						6.00	5%		20.00		26.00	1	W

4	DRYSPELL				(chavez juan)MARTIN DAVID A 124						3.50					5.30	6

ARP-7			06/25/2023	4620ft		DIRT	7 Horses	Maiden Claimer ($10K)		Purse ($7K)		3UP	M/F		PT- 5:30
											M/L	W/P		B/E		F/O	P
8	MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE				(lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124						3.50	39%		1.60		3.60	3	S
6	SPARKLE IN THE SKY				(wheeler travis)LULL R E 124						8.00	16%		5.20		4.20	4
4	WHEREDIDITGO				(torres-casas alex j)RAMEY CASH 115						4.50	15%		5.50		2.20	5
3	FLYING LADY				(martinez o a jr)WALES T 120						12.00	7%		10.00		5.40	2	P

5	KINSLEYS SWEET PEA				(hibdon mark n)MORALES ROBERTO 124						6.00					12.30	6

Late Scratches
SCR	HIGH ON LIFE				Reason: null				Posted: null



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold at the top of the list. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group are printed in grey below the line separating the two groups. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.