Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-7   Win (8/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIANO May15 Nov26 Oct31 Oct17 Sep25 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
HOT CAVIAR May13 Apr23 Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
PROMPTLY DONE Apr29 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
PERKY BRUNETTE Mar07 Feb09 Jan18     (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Jun17 May07 Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
ARP-4   06/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO APPEAL May13 Apr16 Apr08 Dec13 Nov30 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
ARIMONY May01 Mar08 Feb20 Feb11 Jan30 (torres-casas j)LULL E 124 15.00    
OPTIMAL Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Oct03 Sep20 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
PREACHER Jun17 May13 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
GREY ROGUE Apr29 Mar25 Feb18 Oct04 Sep25 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
AWESOME BID Apr25 Mar25 Feb21 Jan19 Nov07 (barraza rami)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 38% 1.60    
 
ARP-5   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO SKIP TOWN Oct02 Sep19 Aug28 Jul09   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT Sep25 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 (young a)WALES T 124 3.50    
FRISCO KID Jun17 May06 Apr18 Mar15 Feb28 (villamar can)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 16% 5.40    
REAL POUCH Jun17 May20 Jun27 May15 May01 (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
CAROLYN'S WAY Jun17 May20 Jan30 Nov15 Sep19 (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 119 15.00    
LEFT THE BAR Apr22 Apr05 Feb28 Feb07   (kenney dan)LULL E 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
ARP-6   06/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER EZ May01 Mar28 Feb11 Jan06 Nov22 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
KICK IT Jun19 May07 Mar27 Mar05 Feb05 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
RHODIUM RUNNER May01 Apr11 Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 (christian billy)LULL E 124 4.50    
DRYSPELL May19 May12 Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 3.50    
ITS A DEAL Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 (rushton temple)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
GRAYDAR'S DREAM May12 Apr23 Mar26 Feb25 Oct03 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Jun17 May02 Mar12 Feb04 Jan28 (perkinson cc)TORRES J 124 20.00    
 
ARP-7   06/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALDINI Apr01 Mar15 Feb27 Jan21 Dec30 (villamar can)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
MUCH ABOUT ONE May05 Apr01 Jan11 Nov07 Sep10 (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
FLYING LADY Sep11 Aug21       (martinez a)WALES T 120 12.00 7% 13.50    
WHEREDIDITGO Mar20 Mar12 Jan21     (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 115 4.50 15% 5.50    
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA Jun04 Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 Aug02 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00    
SPARKLE IN THE SKY May13         (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  HIGH ON LIFE Apr01 Sep26 Mar26 Mar05 Jan02 (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Jun17 May21 May13 Apr01 Mar25 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.