The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fonner Park
Saturday - April 22, 2023

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FON-1   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Fonner Park Special Purse ($20K) 3 C/G PT- 2:30
:241 :48 1:012     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SUMMER 2 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 118 2.50 1.30  
J PS HARLEY GLIDER 5 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 2(condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 118 12.00 8.20 P
SHIPS LOG 1 3 4 32   33 32 (hoffman robert)ROMAN KEVIN 120 0.50 64% 0.60 1.00 S
BUY NOW 4 4 33 4   45 4(condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 116 15.00 23.45  
WILLHE LOVE 3 5 5 5   513 522¾ (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 116 8.00 7% 13.00 6.20  
 
FON-2   04/22/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
:231 :343       :471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHION FACT 5 5 3     2nk 1¼ (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 4.00 12% 7.40 5.80 W
G KATE 4 4 4     41 2¼ (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 11.85  
READY TO GET LOUD 1 7 53     52 3½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 3.05  
LUCKY EVERY DAY 7 2 2nk     3½ 4(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 28% 2.60 1.20  
ALWAYS A TIZ 2 6 66     65 5(ibanez alberto)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 17.90  
LOTS OF GOLD 6 3 1nk     1nk 6(gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 17% 5.00 7.00  
LOVE TO LEARN 3 1 7     77(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 14% 6.20 6.80  
 
FON-3   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:234 :483 1:15     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURDO 6 5 64 3   3½ 1½ (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 44% 1.30 1.50 W
FERRARI ROAD 2 1 2nk 2½   1½ 2½ (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 8% 11.20 4.10 P
GONE PREACHIN 4 7 7 54   2½ 3(sorensen mi)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 4.25  
MAFIA DON 5 2 4 42   54(condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 4.50 15% 5.60 5.00  
WANT TO BE COWBOY 7 3 31 1½   455 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00 6% 15.30 6.65  
FRIENDOFTHECOURT 3 4 53 76   6613 (ducheneaux jami)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 12.75  
HUNK OF A HIT 1 6 1nk 6   79 713 (crabtree jason)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 12.95  
 
FON-4   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
:242 :49 1:022     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BITOTHUNDER 6 7 6 5   1nk 11 (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 1.40 39% 1.60 1.40 W
PAISANO JIM 1 4 4 3   3½ 21 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 17% 4.80 3.90 P
KENHEDOIT 3 2 11 1½   2nk 3(dieter dalton)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 2.40  
J TRAIN 7 3 32 4   54 4(rivera gregorio)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 17.20  
MR. BIG SHOT 5 5 21 2½   45(anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
L B GOLD 4 1 5 64   68 612¼ (krause bill)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 6.30  
PETE AND REPETE 2 6 7 77   711 715¾ (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 14.30  
SCR  B T'S BAD BOY               (hall l)BETHKE A 125 8.00 12% 7.20    
 
FON-5   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
:241 :49 1:024     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYWHEEL EFFECT 7 9 87 3   2½ 1nk (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 31% 2.20 2.10 W
BROWN LIAISON 8 6 42 1nk   1½ 2nk (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.60 46% 1.20 1.90 P
AUNT CARI 4 1 11 2nk   3½ 3(lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 3.65 S
EUROWENDI 2 4 32 4   44(gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 125 15.00 36.85  
FIRST RATE ROMANCE 3 5 6 6   55(dunlap m)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 8.85  
CLASSIC FAREWELL 9 7 53 5   69 611¾ (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00 12.40  
SMART ACT 1 2 7 7   710 715 (hawley joe)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 19.35  
JOMAMA SASSY 6 3 21 8   815 823¼ (bethke a)BETHKE A 121 15.00 25.05  
CLASSICALLY WICKED 5 8 99 910¼   920 924¼ (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 121 8.00 18.45  
 
FON-6   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:24 :474 1:141     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNHERDOF 4 5 42 32   1nk 1½ (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 10.00 12.00  
KIM'S TEXAS BLING 6 1 3½ 43   34 2½ (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 3.70  
HARLONS COMMISION 5 2 2nk 1½   2nk 32 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 39% 1.60 1.70 S
REMARKABLE CHARM 1 6 53 5   44(roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 6.20  
COLD AS YOU 7 3 1nk 2½   55(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 10% 8.90 4.60  
HIGH VALUE TARGET 3 4 6 6   620¾ 639¼ (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 14% 5.90 3.50  
WICKED FLASHBACK 2 7 7 716½   728¾ 749¼ (ducheneaux jami)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 10% 9.30 31.10  
SCR  MIZZANNA               (stankey jannae)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
 
FON-7   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
:241 :484 1:024     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERVASIVE 2 4 7 65   44 1¼ (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 3.00 15% 5.70 6.70 W
JUSTA BUSTER 8 6 4 33   22 2¼ (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 4.30  
10  POVERTY FLATS 9 7 6 4   332 (stankey jannae)LUARK T 125 15.00 21.40  
MOONSHINE MAX 5 1 11 11   12 4(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 13% 6.80 2.50  
POLICY LIMIT 1 5 5 76   67 5(lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 28% 2.60 2.20  
GOD'S PICK 3 9 811½ 8   76(foley p)BETHKE A 125 15.00 10% 9.30 12.70  
OH SNAP 6 8 914½ 912½   811½ 7(lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 11% 8.40 12.50  
PICTURE ME CLASSY 7 2 21 21   56 810¾ (lambert joanna)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 12.80  
ORDER OF THE DAY 4 3 32 5   914½ 917¼ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 18.40  
SCR  GERDY'S BOY               (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
 
FON-8   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:241 :483 1:013     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANCOCHO (MEX) 7 2 4 32   1½ 1(castillo sali)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 19% 4.30 2.10 W
OPTIMAL 8 1 21 2½   2½ 2(rushton temple)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 18% 4.60 3.50 P
DANCE FOR RANSOM 9 6 5 5   67 3(ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 125 12.00 20.85  
JIMBO'S BIZ 1 7 88 6   54(rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00 17% 5.00 9.65  
FLY FIRST CLASS 2 3 3 4   45(arceo salvado)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00 22.90  
BIG BIZ 6 5 11 1½   36(haar j)RAMOS B 125 5.00 8.80  
LITTLE TOE 4 9 7 88   79 78 (hall l)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 13% 6.90 5.95  
FAYETTE WARRIOR 5 8 6 7   89 88 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 3.50 8.65  
TIGER THE MAN 3 4 910 911   912 910¼ (hawley joe)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 6% 14.80 5.55  
 
FON-9   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
:234 :474 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY AREWETHEREYET 5 5 53 3½   12 1(rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 2.50 19% 4.40 1.90 W
R ONE WINE 2 4 64 5   32(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 17% 5.00 3.50 P
CHIVE UP 6 6 42 1½   22 3(wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 17% 5.10 1.90 S
JACK'S PARTY GIRL 8 2 11 2½   44 4(condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 20.30  
WILDWOOD MAGGIE 7 8 89 7   57 56 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 20% 4.10 7.10  
NINA EN FUEGO 4 7 78 6   68 6(bethke a)BETHKE A 125 12.00 7% 14.00 30.70  
CELTICS WILDCAT 1 3 21 8   710 710½ (donlin d)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 21.50  
BAYLEYWICK 3 1 31 4   812 815¾ (foley p)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00 12.20  
SCR  LADY CLARE               (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
 
FON-10   04/22/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
:25 :492 1:161 1:433   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PODEROSO EQUS 8 9 8 86 5 1nk 1(rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 18.90 13.80 W
SUEZ 5 7 44 6 43 2nk 2(anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 8% 11.90 2.80 P
RECORDER 9 3 7 98 6 43(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 39% 1.60 2.70 S
THE GREATEST EAGLE 6 8 9 7 8 54(ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 12.00 24.30  
CAESARTHERULER 4 2 33 3 3 6512¼ (gonzalez isai )BETHKE A 125 3.50 24% 3.10 6.10  
STREET N SOUR 7 1 12 11 1nk 7618¾ (thompson grady)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 6.20  
HOLIDAY JOKE 3 5 54 5 7 810¼ 719¾ (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 125 12.00 22.40  
BARSTOW 2 6 66 43 9 916¼ 830¾ (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
FALCON HEAVY 1 4 22 21 2nk 3931¼ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 4.80  
SCR  YHA YHA               (childs russell )CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.