Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/6/3/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FON-2   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/5)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-3   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-5   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/5/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/5/1/4)-(8/7/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(6/4/8/3)-(1/2/6/7/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FON-6   WIN (6/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/3)-(6/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/3)-(6/4/8/3)-(6/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (1/2/6/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7/3)-(1/2/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7/3)-(1/2/6/7/3)-(1/2/6/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-8   WIN (7/8/1/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/4/3)-(7/8/1/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/4/3)-(7/8/1/4/3)-(7/8/1/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/4/3)-(8/6/2/7/4)-(9/4/5/8/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FON-9   WIN (8/6/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/7/4)-(8/6/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/7/4)-(8/6/2/7/4)-(8/6/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/2/7/4)-(9/4/5/8/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-10   WIN (9/4/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/8/2)-(9/4/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/8/2)-(9/4/5/8/2)-(9/4/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fonner Park Special Purse ($20K) 3 C/G PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIPS LOG Apr02 Feb25       (hoffman robert)ROMAN KEVIN 120 0.50 64% 0.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TIZ MAKIN MEMORIES by TIZDEJAVU)
2  MO SUMMER Apr01 Mar10 Feb24 Oct04 Sep13 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 118 2.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RANSKA by UNCLE MO)
3  WILLHE LOVE Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25   (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 116 8.00 7% 13.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
4  BUY NOW Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Nov21   (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 116 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
5  J PS HARLEY GLIDER Apr08 Apr01 Mar17 Mar12   (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 118 12.00 ★    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
FON-2   04/22/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO GET LOUD Mar31 Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 Sep29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
2  ALWAYS A TIZ Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Nov15 (ibanez alberto)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
3  LOVE TO LEARN Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 Feb11 Jan13 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  G KATE Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb11 Sep06 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
5  FASHION FACT Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 4.00 12% 7.40    
6  LOTS OF GOLD Mar31 Feb25 Feb17 Jan14 Oct29 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 17% 5.00    
7  LUCKY EVERY DAY Feb17 Feb12 Dec30 Oct27 Sep02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
FON-3   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNK OF A HIT Mar25 Mar18 Mar03 Sep25 Sep18 (crabtree jason)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00    
2  FERRARI ROAD Apr08 Mar25 Mar10 Sep20 Sep05 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 8% 11.20    
3  FRIENDOFTHECOURT Apr01 Mar10 Feb22 Jan25 Jan13 (ducheneaux ja)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
4  GONE PREACHIN Apr07 Mar25 Mar12 Feb10 Jun17 (sorensen )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
5  MAFIA DON Apr08 Mar19 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 4.50 15% 5.60    
6  MURDO Apr08 Apr01 Mar12 Feb24 Feb18 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
7  WANT TO BE COWBOY Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00 6% 15.30    
 
FON-4   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAISANO JIM Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 May14 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  PETE AND REPETE Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 Jun11 May28 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
3  KENHEDOIT Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Aug04 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00    
4  L B GOLD Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 (krause bill)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
5  MR. BIG SHOT Apr16 Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 Jun18 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE BITOTHUNDER Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jun11 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 1.40 39% 1.60    
7  J TRAIN Mar31 Mar18 Feb17 Jun11 May28 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
SCR  B T'S BAD BOY Mar31 Mar18 Feb19 May14 Feb27 (hall l)BETHKE A 125 8.00 12% 7.20    
 
FON-5   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART ACT Apr01 Mar11 Sep26 Sep12 Sep05 (hawley joe)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 ★    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of JUST AN ACT by NOACTOR)
2  EUROWENDI Mar18 Nov25       (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of ME N WENDI by DANTON)
3  FIRST RATE ROMANCE Apr08 Mar11 Feb26 Feb17 Jan28 (dunlap shon)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00    
  (by TARPY'S SURPRISE out of ROMANTIC MUSIC by OUTFLANKER)
4  AUNT CARI Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb24 Jan29 (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 ★    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  CLASSICALLY WICKED Mar10 Jan22       (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 121 8.00 ★    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of E CLASSIC by E DUBAI)
6  JOMAMA SASSY Mar25 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 15.00    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of SASSY MOLLY by MINESHAFT)
7  FLYWHEEL EFFECT Apr08 Mar18       (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAGICALLY by MR. GREELEY)
8  BROWN LIAISON Apr02 Mar17       (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by LIAISON out of OUR OWN FLAG by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
9  CLASSIC FAREWELL Apr08 Apr02 Mar18 Feb23 Nov25 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OKBYECYA by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
FON-6   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMARKABLE CHARM Apr07 Mar24 Feb25 Oct01 Sep19 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50    
SCR  MIZZANNA Apr14 Mar26 Feb26 Aug28 Aug18 (stankey jann)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
3  WICKED FLASHBACK Jun25 Jun18 Jun05 Apr02 Mar18 (ducheneaux ja)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 10% 9.30    
4  HIGH VALUE TARGET Apr07 Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 14% 5.90    
5  UNHERDOF Mar24 Mar12 Feb26 Jan13 Dec17 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
6  HARLONS COMMISION Apr14 Apr01 Dec03 Sep16 Sep02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Apr01 Mar05 Feb04 Jan13 Sep19 (gourneau jerr)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
8  COLD AS YOU Mar26 Mar14 Feb22 Jan25 Dec29 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 10% 8.90    
 
FON-7   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICY LIMIT Apr08 Mar10 Jan14 Jan06 Dec20 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  PERVASIVE Apr08 Mar19 Sep26 Sep20 Aug28 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  GOD'S PICK Apr01 Mar18 Sep25 Aug29 Aug12 (foley p)BETHKE A 125 15.00 10% 9.30    
4  ORDER OF THE DAY Apr01 Mar18 Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00    
SCR  GERDY'S BOY Apr08 Mar26 Jun17 Jun12 May21 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
6  MOONSHINE MAX Mar11 Feb19 Feb12 Jan13 Dec30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 13% 6.80    
7  OH SNAP Apr08 Mar10 Feb03 Nov16 Oct21 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 11% 8.40    
8  PICTURE ME CLASSY Apr15 Mar19 Mar11 Jun27   (lambert joanna)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
9  JUSTA BUSTER Feb23 Jan21 Dec27 Nov30 Nov17 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
10  POVERTY FLATS Mar19 Mar11 Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 (stankey jannae)LUARK T 125 15.00    
 
FON-8   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMBO'S BIZ Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 Jul17 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00 17% 5.00    
2  FLY FIRST CLASS Apr01 Mar18 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (arceo salva)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00    
3  TIGER THE MAN Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 Oct04 Sep20 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 6% 14.80    
4  LITTLE TOE Apr07 Mar11 Feb19 Feb11 Oct13 (hall l)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 13% 6.90    
5  FAYETTE WARRIOR Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Oct01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.50    
6  BIG BIZ Apr01 Mar18 Oct04 Sep25 Sep11 (haar j)RAMOS B 125 5.00    
7  SANCOCHO (MEX) Apr07 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Feb10 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  OPTIMAL Apr01 Mar18 Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
9  DANCE FOR RANSOM Apr15 Apr01 Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 12.00    
 
FON-9   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTICS WILDCAT Mar31 Mar17 Sep14 Sep07 Aug20 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
2  R ONE WINE Mar10 Feb11       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 17% 5.00    
3  BAYLEYWICK Apr08 Mar25 Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 (foley p)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00    
4  NINA EN FUEGO Apr08 Jan02       (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  LADY CLARE Oct02 Sep07 Aug13 Jul31 Jul07 (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
6  RAY AREWETHEREYET Apr08 Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jan16 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 2.50 19% 4.40    
7  CHIVE UP Apr01 Mar10 Feb25 Feb17 Dec14 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 17% 5.10    
8  WILDWOOD MAGGIE Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 Jan13 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 20% 4.10    
9  JACK'S PARTY GIRL Apr07 Mar18 Sep29 Sep16 Aug15 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
 
FON-10   04/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALCON HEAVY Mar31 Mar12 Feb18 Dec27 Nov23 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00    
2  BARSTOW Apr08 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOLIDAY JOKE Mar31 Mar11 Mar04 Jun10 May21 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 12.00    
4  CAESARTHERULER Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Oct02 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 125 3.50 24% 3.10    
5  SUEZ Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Dec10 Nov05 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 8% 11.90    
6  THE GREATEST EAGLE Apr08 Mar26 Oct02 Sep26 Sep11 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
7  STREET N SOUR Mar26 Mar17 Mar04 Feb18 Aug27 (thompson grady)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
8  PODEROSO EQUS Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Oct02 Sep19 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 18.90    
9  RECORDER Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Sep24 Jul23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  YHA YHA Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 Oct03 Apr06 (childs russel)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.