Handicappers' Race Results

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Fonner Park
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
FON-2   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
FON-3   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
FON-4   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
FON-5   Win (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
FON-6   Win (8/9/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $19.40  

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:032     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLEBIT DON 5 4 2 1½   1½ 1 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 1.20 16% 5.40 0.40 W
BER MIS BOY 6 6 3 2½   2½ 2 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 1.40 56% 0.80 3.80 P
THUNDERSTORMACOMIN 4 5 5 4   4 311¾ (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 6.65  
WHISKEYSPENT 3 2 1 3   3 413 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 35.85  
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 1 3 4 57   510½ 518½ (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 7.65  
SPORTS HIFLYER 2 1 68 612   613½ 623¾ (krause bill)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 18.45  
 
FON-2   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:011     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHIE RACH 3 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¼ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 29% 2.50 3.20 W
DOLLY DIMPLE 4 5 2½ 2½   2½ 2¼ (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 16% 5.30 9.20 P
CYCLONE SORORITY 6 6 610 69   67 3 (ecoffey gilber)BETHKE A 125 2.00 26% 2.90 2.85 S
JAVISTHA 1 4 4 44   5 4 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00 7.55  
SASSY SUE'S BAND 2 3 57 54   4 5 (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 3.10  
BRINEE 5 2 3 3   3 6 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 2.70  
 
FON-3   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:143     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE PENNY 4 2 32 4   3 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 46% 1.20 0.80 W
GOODNIGHTSUGAR 7 4 2½ 1nk   12 2 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00 11.80 P
QUEENS GIFT 5 1 1½ 2nk   22 3 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 5% 17.30 7.20 S
AFLEET OKIE 3 3 6 31   44 45 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 10% 8.60 2.10  
MAGIC IN A HAT 1 6 7 5   58 5 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 15.00  
YANKEE PRIDE 6 7 42 6   714½ 618 (rhodes lester)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 35.05  
JAGGED ARROW 2 5 5 7   614 719¼ (donlin larr)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 11.65  
 
FON-4   04/14/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :351       :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHION FACT 4 3 21     11 11 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 3.00 41% 1.40 2.00 W
HARLONS COMMISION 5 4 3     21 21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 22% 3.50 2.95 P
SEGOVIANA 7 5 4     33 35 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 8% 10.90 5.35 S
NEW YEARS LOVE 6 6 6     66 4 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 4.00  
MILLI STARR 3 2 5     54 57 (radford ray)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 41.40  
NEBRASKA RED 2 8 78     7 68 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 12.10  
HOT HABANERO 8 1 11     43 7 (suter c)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 10.55  
SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS 1 7 811     8 8 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 9.30  
 
FON-5   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:011     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBUST 7 3 3½ 1nk   2½ 1hd (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 40% 1.50 1.90 W
R VOO'S TABOO 1 1 1½ 2nk   1½ 2hd (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 31% 2.30 2.80 P
LEVEL 4 2 2½ 3   3 3 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 4.60 S
RING TAILED TOOTER 8 4 5 5   69 4 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 24.60  
SUPER SIZER 6 5 4 4   47 5 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 121 10.00 11.40  
DE KOTA CAPTAIN 3 8 815¾ 715   713 611¾ (wise jason)RAMOS B 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
RYAN EXPRESS 5 6 6 69   59 712¼ (black marissa)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 15.20  
DOMERGOO 2 7 713¾ 815¼   813½ 813¼ (childs g)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 27.10  
SCR  CHAN               (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00    
 
FON-6   04/14/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:231 :353       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAYLOR'S BEAUTY 7 1 22     21 1 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 8.70  
OVER EXPOSED 5 4 5     5 2 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 11.40  
OUR PETUNIA 9 6 6     6 3 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 2.00 19% 4.30 1.45 S
S C ANGEL 2 3 32     33 4 (condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 18.75  
SENTIMENTAL CROSS 1 5 4     43 5 (rushton stacy)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 18% 4.70 2.85  
AUNT IRENE 8 7 7     8 6 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 22% 3.50 6.00  
MIZZANNA 6 8 810¾     7 75 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 27.25  
SING THE SONG 4 2 12     11 8 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 15% 5.50 8.75  
UNTETHERED SOUL 3 9 916¾     912¾ 9 (ducheneaux jami)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 20.35  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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