Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
ARP-2   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.40  
ARP-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $3.80  
ARP-4   Win (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $7.40  
ARP-5   Win (5/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $22.20  
ARP-6   Win (7/2/1/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $8.40 $8.40  
ARP-7   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
ARP-8   Win (10/2/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $85.20 $85.20 75.20

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREACHER 6 1 2½ 1½   1 14 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 43% 1.30 0.50 W
YHA YHA 5 4 3 3   2 24 (childs russ)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.00 P
JUST CALL ME KEN 7 3 68 4   44 3 (rust terri)WALES T 124 3.50 2.90  
WILLTOBELUCKY 3 5 711 710   6 410¼ (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 8.60  
FLY BUDDY FLY 2 7 58 67   5 511¼ (torres-casas j)LULL E 124 10.00 21.40  
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 4 2 1½ 2½   3 614¼ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 30% 2.40 7.20  
FERRARI ROAD 1 6 4 56   77 717½ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
 
ARP-2   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A GEM IS A GEM 7 2 2nk 2nk   1 1 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 3.50 5.20  
GOOSE DRANK WINE 5 3 1nk 1nk   32 2 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.70 P
COWBOY DON 3 4 4 3   2 3 (mcdonald j)RAMOS B 124 4.50 16% 5.40 6.30 S
THREE BALL 4 6 6 53   5 4 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 25% 2.90 3.40  
TIGER THE MAN 6 1 33 42   4 510¾ (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 12.10  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 2 5 5 64   6 629¼ (perkinson cc)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 15.70  
SCR  AUTOPILOT               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-3   06/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :451       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ GUESS 2 1 1     14 1 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50 0.90  
ROUGE SUNSET 1 2 3     35 2 (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
GETALOADOFTHIS 4 3 2     24 310¾ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 54% 0.90 1.90 S
BISCUIT SNATCHER 3 4 4     4 411¼ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 3.00  
SCR  OMACHE KID               (wheeler travi)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 10.00    
 
ARP-4   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :454 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO CLASSIC 4 6 6 6   42 1¾ (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 2.70  
PICTORIAL 3 5 31 32   11 2¾ (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70 4.10 P
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 2 4 4 4   21 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 S
QUEENS RANSOM 7 7 7 7   6 4 (perkinson cc)MARTIN A 124 15.00 15.90  
OLIVIAN 6 1 11 1   3 511 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 9.30  
ROCKIN MARIE 1 3 5 5   5 613¼ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.50 24% 3.10 4.20  
CELEE'S LAST TE 5 2 21 2   7 719½ (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 8.00 6% 15.60 2.20  
 
ARP-5   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :461 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 6 6 5 45   1nk 1 (barraza sos)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 10.10  
RIGHT TO SUE 4 2 23 23   2nk 2 (villamar candel)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 7.10  
PRECEDENT 5 1 3 34   4¼ 3 (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 30% 2.30 1.90 S
DRISKILL 3 3 13 13   3.2 4 (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00 9% 10.80 9.20  
FRISCO KID 2 7 810¼ 811   7 513½ (villamar cande)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 10.40  
DIXIEMAGIC 7 5 4 5   5 613¾ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 4.50 10% 8.80 2.90  
REAL POUCH 1 8 7 77   6 717½ (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 124 15.00 32.70  
GO LAKER GO 8 4 6 6   8 827 (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 29% 2.40 3.60  
 
ARP-6   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 9 2 11 13   13 1 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 15% 5.70 3.20 W
LOVELY LOLA 2 7 21 23   23 2 (simpson shannon)LULL E 124 10.00 18% 4.70 4.20 P
CREATING MEMORIES 7 10 5 4   3 3 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 28% 2.60 1.20 S
POPS GIRL ALEXA 1 6 7 811½   7 412½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.50 30.40  
12  ANGIE'S REVRAC 11 1 32 34   45 516¼ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 3 5 44 5   5 617 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 5.00 24.60  
CRIMSON T. 8 3 8 710½   67 717½ (young a)TORRES J 124 15.00 19.60  
CAROLYN'S WAY 4 8 109 1014   913 819¾ (lavanway dayso)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 8.00 45.80  
SMART ACT 6 4 98 912½   812½ 922¾ (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 24.90  
11  TALLANDLONG 10 11 1110 1116   1017 1034½ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 11.00  
WEST COAST ANDY 5 9 65 610   1117½ 1139½ (torres-casas j)WALES T 120 2.50 14.40  
SCR  NOBLE PRESENT               (chavez veronica)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
 
ARP-7   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3 C/G PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATAR 4 1 1½ 1½   11 1 (kenney dan)WALES T 122 2.00 68% 0.50 0.10 W
MY MAN BIGGIE 5 4 56 5   35 2 (simpson shannon)LULL E 122 4.50 5% 19.00 15.80 P
BRAYBRAY 3 5 2½ 2½   21 3 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 122 8.00 23.60  
BIG JACK 2 2 45 47   47 415 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.50 13.60  
LOOPY DUDE 1 3 3 3   5 519¾ (davis h)MARTIN A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
 
ARP-8   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGRID 4 1 4¾ 11   1 1 (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 8% 11.80 41.60 W
MAKARA 8 6 1nk 21   2 2 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50 10% 9.20 0.50 P
10  WON SASSY RIDE 10 2 5 5   3 3 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 34% 2.00 3.10 S
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 9 9 9 75   6 410½ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 10.00 54.40  
MS BUMBLEBEE 3 7 3.2 3   4 512¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 8.00 7% 14.00 23.10  
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 1 3 7 6   78 613¼ (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 86.90  
COWGIRLLOVER 2 4 2nk 42   5 716 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 21% 3.80 7.40  
DANGERELLA 7 10 10 107   910 819½ (whitehouse wil)MARTIN A 124 12.00 17.50  
AUNT CARI 6 5 8 96   8 920 (lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.00 24.30  
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 5 8 6 8   1011 1023 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 24.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.