Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/5)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/1)-(3/1/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/1/5/2)-(5/8/7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
ARP-4   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/2)-(5/8/7/3)-(7/2/1/9/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ARP-5   WIN (5/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/3)-(7/2/1/9/12)-(4/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ARP-6   WIN (7/2/1/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/9/12)-(7/2/1/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/9/12)-(7/2/1/9/12)-(7/2/1/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/9/12)-(4/5/1)-(10/2/8/4/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
ARP-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(10/2/8/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ARP-8   WIN (10/2/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/8/4/3)-(10/2/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/8/4/3)-(10/2/8/4/3)-(10/2/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FERRARI ROAD May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar10 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FLY BUDDY FLY May02 Apr08 Mar12 Mar06 Feb26 (torres-casas alex )LULL E 124 10.00    
3  WILLTOBELUCKY May05 Apr15 Mar25 Feb27 Jan14 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
4  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Apr29 Apr09 Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 30% 2.40    
5  YHA YHA May06 Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 Oct03 (childs ru)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PREACHER May13 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  JUST CALL ME KEN May07 Apr23 Mar21 Mar05 Feb07 (rust terri)WALES T 124 3.50    
 
ARP-2   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST May02 Mar12 Feb04 Jan28 Jan19 (perkinson cc)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
3  COWBOY DON Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug30 Jul11 (mcdonald william )RAMOS B 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
4  THREE BALL May20 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Feb25 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
5  GOOSE DRANK WINE May20 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  TIGER THE MAN May20 May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar18 (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00    
7  A GEM IS A GEM May13 Apr29 Mar04 Feb19 Feb11 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 3.50    
SCR  AUTOPILOT May13 Apr29 Dec20 Nov28 Nov05 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-3   06/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGE SUNSET May05 Mar26 Mar18 Feb02 Jan04 (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OMACHE KID May07 Apr23 Apr09 Mar19 Mar11 (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 10.00    
3  EZ GUESS May02 Apr11 Mar25 Mar12 Feb21 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50    
4  BISCUIT SNATCHER Apr29 Mar28 Mar07 Feb12 Nov30 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
5  GETALOADOFTHIS May12 Oct01 Jul24 Jul04 May21 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 54% 0.90    
 
ARP-4   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN MARIE Apr15 Apr02       (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH Sep27 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul03 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PICTORIAL May13 Apr16 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  INTO CLASSIC Apr25 Apr11 Feb11 Nov15 Oct02 (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50    
5  CELEE'S LAST TE Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 8.00 6% 15.60    
6  OLIVIAN May19 Apr08 Mar26 Mar17 Feb25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00    
7  QUEENS RANSOM May06 Apr19 Mar25 Mar14 Feb25 (perkinson cc)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
 
ARP-5   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL POUCH May20 Jun27 May15 May01 Apr22 (lavanway day)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
2  FRISCO KID May06 Apr18 Mar15 Feb28 Feb19 (villamar can)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00    
3  DRISKILL Aug20 May22 Apr29 Mar28 Mar01 (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00 9% 10.80    
4  RIGHT TO SUE May01 Apr17 Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 (villamar cand)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00    
5  PRECEDENT Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb18 Jan30 (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  PARTYOFSIXTEEN May01 Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 Feb11 (barraza s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
7  DIXIEMAGIC Mar29 Dec28 Dec03 Oct21 Sep12 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
8  GO LAKER GO May01 Apr04 Mar18 Mar06 Feb18 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
ARP-6   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPS GIRL ALEXA May14 May05 Apr23 Apr16 Apr01 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  LOVELY LOLA May06 Apr18 Apr02 Feb27 Feb12 (simpson shannon)LULL E 124 10.00 18% 4.70    
3  PRAIRIE FIREBALL May14 May05 Mar24 Mar11 Feb24 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 5.00    
4  CAROLYN'S WAY May20 Jan30 Nov15 Sep19 Sep10 (lavanway day)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 8.00    
5  WEST COAST ANDY Apr22 Apr12 Apr01 Mar12 Feb25 (torres-casas j)WALES T 120 2.50    
6  SMART ACT May20 May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00    
7  CREATING MEMORIES May05 Apr09 Apr01 Mar12 Jul31 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
8  CRIMSON T. May14 Apr30 Mar26 Mar07 Feb12 (young a)TORRES J 124 15.00    
9  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY May07 Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  NOBLE PRESENT May19 May14 Apr02 Mar25 Mar18 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
11  TALLANDLONG May14 Apr30 Apr16 Apr07 Mar19 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
12  ANGIE'S REVRAC May19 May05 Mar24 Mar11 Sep26 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-7   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3 C/G PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOPY DUDE Jun09 May21 May07 Apr16 Apr02 (davis shawn )MARTIN A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIG JACK May02 Mar06 Feb14 Feb02 Jan14 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.50    
3  BRAYBRAY Mar06 Feb14 Jan09 Nov15 Oct04 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 122 8.00    
4  KATAR May02 Apr04 Mar14 Feb27 Feb13 (kenney dan)WALES T 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
5  MY MAN BIGGIE May06 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 (simpson shannon)LULL E 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-8   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITHOUGHTIKNEW Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Sep19   (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of PEOPLE POWER by AFTER MARKET)
2  COWGIRLLOVER May19 Apr19 Mar17     (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MY BETHANY by BERNSTEIN)
3  MS BUMBLEBEE Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 8.00 7% 14.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
4  SIGRID May07         (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 8% 11.80    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of HANSELINA by HANSEL)
5  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Jun04 May29 Sep12 Aug23 May27 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of HOLY PRINCESS by HOLY BULL)
6  AUNT CARI May20 May05 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.00    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  DANGERELLA Apr29         (whitehouse w)MARTIN A 124 12.00    
  (by DADDY NOSE BEST out of MYSTICAL HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  MAKARA Apr29 Apr19 Mar27 Nov13   (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50 10% 9.20    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VIENNA MELODY by MALIBU MOON)
9  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE May21 May13 Apr01 Mar25 Mar19 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 10.00    
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of ANNIE RUTLEDGE by SILVER TRAIN)
10  WON SASSY RIDE Apr29         (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 34% 2.00    
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of SASSY WON by CORSLEW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.