Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00  3-6-7 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    SFT (3/7)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 12 $0.10 $1.20  3-6-7-5 $2.52 $1.32 110%
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-3 $14.10 $6.10 76%
TUP-5   EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-6 $10.50 $1.50 17%
    DD (3/7)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $11.90 $5.90 98%
    PK3 (7/1/5/3)-(3/7)-(6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-4 $38.50 $26.50 221%
TUP-6   PK3 (3/7)-(6/4/2)-(1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-4-2/6 $48.40 $39.40 438%
TUP-7   EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $24.90 $12.90 108%
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-7 $12.50 $0.50 4%
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(1/6/2)-(5/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-2/6-7 $27.50 $9.50 53%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   04/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:242 :47 1:102     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OF GOOD REPORT 1 4 68 64¾ 53 52½ 1¾ (wo)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 15% 5.70 3.00 W
6  THICK HAZE 6 3 36½ 43¼ 2nk 1½ 2¾ (gutier)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00 3.30  
2  CIBERTRUCK 2 1 25 33 31 42½ 32¼ (stevens sat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 7.80  
4  N. K. ROCKET MAN 4 2 15 13 1nk 2½ 42¼ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 4.90  
5  MONGOL ALTAI 5 5 78½ 75¾ 63½ 64 52¾ (asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 12% 7.00 5.70  
3  POLITICAL RIOT 3 7 46½ 23 41½ 31 63½ (van winkl)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 11% 8.30 5.80  
7  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT 7 6 57½ 54¼ 73¾ 75½ 74¼ (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 25% 3.00 3.70  
 
TUP-4   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :454       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 2 1 11 12   13 15¾ (fales mat)VALENZUELA A 124 1.60 64% 0.60 1.70 W
6  BOOSICAL LADY 5 2 21 22   33 25¾ (mc)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 ★ 1.40 P
7  MAKARA 6 3 31 32   23 36¼ (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 8% 11.30 3.50 S
5  SMART LEAH 4 4 43½ 45   47 410 (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 ★ 8.80  
4  DANGERELLA 3 6 69¾ 611   513 513¾ (ivy-wright )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 7.10  
1  WAYWARD STORM 1 5 53¾ 56   614½ 624½ (perkins fran)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 27.50  
SCR  MARIA KNOWS               (fearon johnatho)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
 
TUP-5   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ELEGANT SWAY 3 3 53 21½   11 13½ (morgan da)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 23% 3.30 2.10 W
6  M G BIG MARIA 5 6 64 52½   32 23½ (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 32% 2.10 6.30 P
3  ILA VEIW TOO 2 5 42 42   42½ 34½ (belvoir vann)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 13.00  
1  KETANJI 1 2 11 11½   21 44½ (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 ★ 0.90  
5  WHERE'S THE PUMPS 4 4 21 32   53½ 56 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00 12.40  
7  ISLA JANE 6 1 31 66½   610½ 619 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5.60  
SCR  BLESSED ANGEL               (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-6   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:214 :441 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CORN POP 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 14¾ (ho)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 22% 3.50 1.30 W
1  WIND RIVER 1 4 32 32½   33½ 24¾ (person)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 37% 1.70 1.60 P
5  PRECEDENT 4 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 35¼ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 14.40  
7  OLYMPIC LEGEND 6 3 43½ 46   48 46½ (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 5.40  
4  PASSION OF JOE'S 3 6 55 57½   58½ 57 (north mar)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00 9.90  
3  BIG CREED 2 5 65¼ 67¾   610½ 612¼ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00 ★ 5.40  
SCR  POPS AWESOME               (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-7   04/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:241 :464 1:101 1:231   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MY INDY 7 6 48½ 56½ 44 32 1½ (vanwinkle d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 17% 5.00 2.70 W
2  TEMPTED MISSION 2 1 11½ 11 1nk 1½ 2½ (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 12% 7.20 5.00 P
3  HEIR (FR) 3 2 33 33½ 31½ 2½ 3¾ (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00 2.70  
4  BOB'S ALL IN 4 5 610½ 69½ 68 54 42 (asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 8% 12.20 11.00  
5  CASHANOVA 5 3 21½ 21 2nk 42 55 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.70  
6  KEEN CAT 6 4 58½ 46½ 54½ 66½ 68 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 9.00  
1  COURAGEOUS 1 7 715 719½ 720 728½ 740¼ (hop mike)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00 35.50  
 
TUP-8   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:221 :443 :564     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROLINGA 8 5 32½ 35   34½ 1¼ (peacock s)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 ★ 3.80  
6  GIANNA'S WILD CAT 6 2 11½ 13   13 2¼ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 0.60  
7  MOONSHINE MOXY 7 1 21½ 23   23 31½ (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00 ★ 6.30 S
2  WRIGHT WINGED 2 4 54 57½   57 42 (gutierrez q)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 10% 9.50 16.50  
5  MISCHIEF MAMA 5 6 64½ 69   79½ 55 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 16.60  
9  TIZ TENACIOUS 9 7 75 79½   69½ 65 (leon priscill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 65% 0.50 16.80  
3  NO KITTEN 3 3 42½ 46½   46 75¼ (denny travis)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00 48.50  
4  PALACE STAR 4 8 99½ 915½   912½ 86¾ (perkins fran)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 30.50  
1  THATSALOTOFBLING 1 9 87 89½   810 97 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★ 10.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.