Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   04/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OF GOOD REPORT Apr05 Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Feb08 (wool)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
CIBERTRUCK Apr12 Mar29 Mar07 Feb10 Jan07 (stevens satch)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
POLITICAL RIOT Apr15 Apr02 Mar07 Feb21 Feb05 (van winkle )VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
N. K. ROCKET MAN Feb16 Jan14 Dec17 Nov15 May03 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00    
MONGOL ALTAI Apr12 Apr03 Mar15 Feb04 Jan14 (asprino alfredo)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 12% 7.00    
THICK HAZE Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 (gutierre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00    
LOOKIN FOR EIGHT Mar28 Mar11 Feb15 Jan23 Dec22 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-4   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYWARD STORM Mar20         (perkins france)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
SCR  MARIA KNOWS Jul17 May07 Apr11     (fearon johnathon)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
I'LL TAKE THE SOUP Apr18 Feb25 Feb14 Jan23 Dec14 (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
DANGERELLA         (ivy-wright mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
SMART LEAH         (peacock shane)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
BOOSICAL LADY Apr18 Mar27 Mar07 Jan30 May02 (mcca)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00    
MAKARA Apr19 Mar27 Nov13     (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
 
TUP-5   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KETANJI Apr08 Jan16 Nov25 Oct14   (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50    
SCR  BLESSED ANGEL Apr10 Mar27 Mar12 Sep07 Jul16 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 3.50 22% 3.50    
ILA VEIW TOO Nov14 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 (belvoir vann)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
ELEGANT SWAY Apr08 Mar19 Jan12 Oct07 Sep22 (morgan dan)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Feb10 Dec23 Oct29     (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00    
M G BIG MARIA Mar25 Mar07 Feb14     (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
ISLA JANE Sep25         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
 
TUP-6   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIND RIVER Apr01 Feb22 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 (person k)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  POPS AWESOME Apr01 Mar06 Feb02 Jan24 Dec28 (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
BIG CREED Mar27 Feb18 Jan26 Jan09 Dec21 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00    
PASSION OF JOE'S Mar27 Mar12 Jan29 Jan20 Nov20 (north mark)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00    
PRECEDENT Apr15 Mar19 Feb18 Jan30 Jan07 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
CORN POP Apr01 Mar18 Jan12 Dec08 Nov19 (howe)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
OLYMPIC LEGEND Apr07 Jul03 May27 May13 Mar18 (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00    
 
TUP-7   04/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURAGEOUS Mar11 Feb07 Jan12 Dec19 Dec08 (hop mike)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00    
TEMPTED MISSION Apr05 Mar13 Feb15 Jan24 Dec26 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 12% 7.20    
HEIR (FR) Mar28 Feb26 Feb11 Jan25 Dec01 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00    
BOB'S ALL IN Apr08 Mar20 Feb28 Feb16 Feb08 (asprino alfredo)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 8% 12.20    
CASHANOVA Apr17 Apr05 Mar29 Feb08 Jan09 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
KEEN CAT Apr08 Mar12 Jan31 Jan10 Nov22 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
MY INDY Apr10 Mar07 Feb11 Jan12 Dec19 (vanwinkle dav)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
TUP-8   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSALOTOFBLING Apr05 Mar13 Feb21 Jan30 Sep20 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
WRIGHT WINGED Mar21 Feb19 Feb09 Jan02 Dec17 (gutierrez qui)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
NO KITTEN Jan19 Dec17 Nov14 Oct09 Sep14 (denny travis)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
PALACE STAR Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 Feb18 Jan30 (perkins france)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00    
MISCHIEF MAMA Apr18 Mar29 Feb26 Feb18 Feb06 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
GIANNA'S WILD CAT Mar05 Jan13 Dec17 Jul28 Jul09 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00    
MOONSHINE MOXY Dec21 Nov28 Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 (silva ro)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00    
ROLINGA Apr03 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 Dec10 (peacock sha)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
TIZ TENACIOUS Apr02 Mar12 Feb27 Jan23 Jan03 (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 65% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.