Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fonner Park
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-3   EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $34.00 $22.00 183%
FON-4   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $20.60 $12.60 158%
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $41.60 $17.60 73%

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Buzz Bar Purse ($20K) 3 C/G PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIPS LOG 3 2 1nk 1½   13 12 (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 120 1.40 59% 0.70 0.90 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TIZ MAKIN MEMORIES by TIZDEJAVU)
MO SUMMER 2 1 34 32   23 22 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 120 0.80 1.75  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RANSKA by UNCLE MO)
J PS HARLEY GLIDER 4 3 2nk 2½   33 33 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 118 6.00 14% 6.10 3.45 S
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
BUY NOW 1 4 46 46   49 418 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 116 10.00 6.65  
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
 
FON-2   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKENBACHER 4 3 32 2½   2nk 1nk (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 1.10  
PRAIRIE SQUALL 3 1 11 1½   1nk 2nk (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00 3.40  
SPEEDY FELLAR 1 2 21 3   33 3 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 1.20 55% 0.80 1.90 S
GONE PREACHIN 2 4 4 4   4 4 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 6.00 14% 6.20 4.20  
SCR  GOLD NOTE               (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00    
 
FON-3   05/14/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:233 :353       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE TRIXIE 5 1 1½     15 1 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 20% 4.00 1.70 W
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 2 5 44     4 2 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 23% 3.40 6.25 P
JOMAMA SASSY 3 2 5     5 3 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 10.00 5.25  
NOBLE PRESENT 4 3 3     35 4 (chavez veronica)RAMOS B 125 1.80 1.40  
WANDAS CAFE 6 4 2½     25 512¾ (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 19% 4.20 10.15  
DIXIE SWIRL 1 6 613½     614½ 617½ (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00 13.10  
 
FON-4   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:02     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ BRIGHTER 4 3 11 14   14 1 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 12.00 15% 5.70 9.30 W
CHIEF TY HE 5 2 32 24   24 2 (hemmer te)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.20 28% 2.50 0.40 P
P R WHY NOT 1 5 6 7   59 3 (chavez veron)BETHKE A 125 10.00 16.45  
THUNDERSTORMACOMIN 3 7 7 56   47 4 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 5.65  
DIAMANTE JOSE 2 1 56 4   37 5 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 17% 4.90 7.80  
PRINCE B 6 4 21 34   614 621 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 21.35  
RUN BRINLEE RUN 7 6 42 67   721 733 (becker h)MARTINEZ R 120 3.50 19% 4.40 14.05  
 
FON-5   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:022     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETNESS TO 2 6 5 4   22 1 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 2.30  
GIVE EM SHADE 3 2 11 1nk   12 2 (smith george )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 17.60  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 4 1 6 6   5 3 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 4.00 19% 4.30 1.30 S
SLOOPY HANG ON 5 5 32 3   4 46 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 7% 13.80 6.10  
TALLANDLONG 6 4 21 2nk   3 5 (burns dale)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 14% 6.00 7.60  
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE 1 3 4 54   6 6 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 32% 2.10 4.10  
SCR  MISS GRAND SLAM               (rivera gregorio)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00    
 
FON-6   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:143     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S C ANGEL 4 1 11 1½   11 1 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 3.80  
AUNT IRENE 2 3 34 31   21 2 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 5.90  
STARLIGHT TWIST 1 5 511 512   512 3 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00 8% 12.20 7.90 S
HARLONS COMMISION 5 2 21 2½   35 4 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 32% 2.10 0.60  
NINA EN FUEGO 3 4 46 47   410 511 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00 25% 3.00 6.00  
SCR  MILLI STARR               (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
SCR  QUEENS GIFT               (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 2.00    
 
FON-7   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:024     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPETITIVE SPIRIT 5 7 66 5   3 1½ (womochil jeff)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 5% 19.00 2.00 W
CHARACTER COUNTS 6 2 2nk 1nk   1 2½ (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.00 2.70  
MISS JET 7 6 7 42   4 3 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 63% 0.60 5.30 S
CHAMA 2 5 5 7   65 4 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
SPITFIRE SUZIE 3 3 32 2nk   2 5 (peters de)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
EXODUS AND HOPE 4 4 43 3   54 6 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 7.50  
PIZZA GIRL 1 1 1nk 6   711 715¼ (musquiz j)BETHKE A 121 8.00 20.90  
SCR  SAY WHAT YOU WILL               (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.