The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fonner Park
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $12.40 $0.00 -12.00
FON-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 1.00
    Exacta (2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2-4 2 0 $22.20 $0.00 -8.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 1 $9.80 $9.80 -2.20
FON-3   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $3.80 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $65.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3-4 3 0 $312.20 $0.00 -6.00
FON-4   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $68.60 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1-4 3 0 $67.60 $0.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/3)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 2-5-6 3 0 $16.10 $0.00 -18.00
FON-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-1 2 1 $19.60 $19.60 7.60
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1-5 3 0 $20.10 $0.00 -6.00
FON-6   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.80 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5 2 0 $15.60 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5-4 3 0 $38.70 $0.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(1/3/4)-(2/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 6-4-1 3 0 $34.30 $0.00 -27.00
FON-7   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 1 $13.60 $13.60 1.60
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4-1 3 0 $27.70 $0.00 -6.00
FON-8   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/5/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5 2 1 $10.60 $10.60 -1.40
    Trifecta (1/5)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-5-4 3 0 $10.70 $0.00 -12.00
FON-9   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
    Exacta (2/7)-(2/4/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-3 2 0 $22.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-3-8 3 0 $36.30 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/5)-(2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-7 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(1/5)-(2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1-1/7 3 1 $9.30 $9.30 -2.70

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Kemling Family Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:30
:234 :483 1:154     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANK'S GAL 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 1½ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 122 1.20 32% 2.10 0.70 W
JOSIES SCORE 2 1 3 4   2½ 2½ (bliss dean)RAMOS B 118 8.00 3.65  
JOCOTE 1 5 55 3   33(anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 37% 1.70 4.50 S
JUDGE JENNINGS 3 3 4 5   44(hoffman robert)MARTINEZ R 116 6.00 9% 10.10 8.60  
SHES STEEL DREAMIN 5 4 2½ 2½   5519½ (anderson davi)MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00 6.20  
 
FON-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
:24 :474 1:01     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTORIAL 2 3 43 1nk   1nk 1nk (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 1.60 49% 1.00 1.50 W
CAJUN TRINITY 4 1 1 3.2   2nk 2nk (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00 5.10  
DOLLY DIMPLE 3 5 53 4   4¾ 3½ (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 20% 3.90 1.55 S
FOOLISH INTENT 1 4 3 5   54(hoffman robert)RAMOS B 121 2.50 5.30  
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 5 2 2 2nk   3.2 5(lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 7.50  
 
FON-3   05/13/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:224 :351       :474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUCCI BLING 5 2 11     13 14 (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.20 0.90  
KA POW 3 4 33     23 24 (smith r)MARTINEZ R 121 8.00 26% 2.80 13.45 P
CRYPTO MINER 4 1 45     46 36 (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 12.55  
EXOTIC GENTLEMAN 2 3 21     33 4(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.40 30% 2.30 1.30  
BIG BLUE OKIE 1 6 610     58 5(deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 12.00 16.35  
KARATS KOUNT 6 5 58     66(smith r)FACKLER CHRIS 116 10.00 21% 3.70 10.80  
 
FON-4   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
:234 :48 1:011     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEVEL 6 3 2 11   12 1(thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 31% 2.30 1.70 W
LOVE OURS 1 2 3 32   22 2(gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 8.80  
RING TAILED TOOTER 4 5 58 44   37 312¼ (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 8.00 4.55  
IZZY IN A TIZZY 2 1 613 59   511 412¼ (russell nathan)BETHKE A 125 2.50 33% 2.00 3.05  
ROCKETS AFLEET 5 4 1 21   48 522¼ (anderson davi)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 3.50  
COUNT D'ORLEANS 3 6 4 613   623 649 (castillo s)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 10% 8.70 8.45  
 
FON-5   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
:234 :481 1:012     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT'S LADY 4 3 2 1   12 11 (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 40% 1.50 1.10 W
FAST SOPHIA 1 5 32 5   421 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 125 4.00 9% 9.90 7.85 P
SATURDAY SERVICE 2 1 44 3   32 31 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 14.70 DH
HOT CAVIAR 5 2 1 2   22 31 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 3.10 DH
CHAOS MAGIC 3 4 67 6   555 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 27% 2.70 2.95  
SUE HAPPY 6 6 55 43   66(arceo salvador)BETHKE A 125 4.50 10.15  
 
FON-6   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:234 :473 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OREGON COUNTY 1 5 11 1½   11(condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 2.90  
SUEZ 5 2 5 32   32(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 33% 2.00 1.60 P
BIG BIZ 4 3 3 2½   23(haar j)RAMOS B 125 12.00 5.70  
THREE TIME CHARMER 3 1 21 4   4410 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 32% 2.10 4.30  
POLICY LIMIT 2 4 4 5   512½ 515¼ (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 10% 9.30 4.25  
TIFF'S DREAM 6 6 65 611½   619½ 634½ (haar j)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 17.05  
 
FON-7   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
:234 :472 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF A STORM 3 1 1 1½   1nk 1¼ (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 25% 3.00 1.10 W
MR. WALSH 4 4 2 2½   2nk 2¼ (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 3.00 25% 3.10 3.30 P
COWORKER 1 2 3 3   33 3(sorensen mike)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 9.95  
SPORTY FLYER 2 5 4 5   510 410¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 3.00  
YOUNG PHILLIP 5 3 57 4   48 511½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 7.65  
MATRICULATE 6 6 611 615½   620 623½ (rhodes lester)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 24% 3.10 14.30  
 
FON-8   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:24 :473 1:00     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVETHATCAUSE 1 4 3 3½   2½ 1nk (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 52% 0.90 2.10 W
HULEN 5 1 1nk 2nk   1½ 2nk (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 19% 4.20 1.15 P
OLD TRAFFORD 4 2 5 4   44 3½ (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 4.75  
PREACHER 6 6 2nk 1nk   31 4(rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 8.00 9.60  
KNIGHTED 2 5 4 54   59 5(muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 25.15  
LARCH 7 7 6 6   722 659½ (mitzner ronald)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 8.75  
JUST ASK JOEL 3 3 7 7   619 7100 (suter c)BETHKE A 125 15.00 24.80  
 
FON-9   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
:241 :481 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABER QUEEN 6 4 3 3.2   13 13 (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 58% 0.70 0.90 W
UNHERDOF 2 7 76 4   523 (condon schuyler)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 3.30  
ZIPPORAH 7 5 54 5   35 35 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 12.10  
COLD AS YOU 5 6 4 6   647 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 7.80  
SASSY SUE'S BAND 1 2 64 7   75(gonzalez isai )BETHKE A 125 3.50 14% 6.00 5.80  
WITCHY WINDSOR 4 3 21 1nk   23 6(sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 8.00 16.30  
TAYLOR'S BEAUTY 3 1 11 2nk   4716¾ (dieter dalton)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 9.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.