Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/3/6)-(2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-3   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(4/3/1)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FON-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/5)-(7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-8   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/5)-(7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
FON-9   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kemling Family Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCOTE Apr15 Mar24 Mar12 Feb24   (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MAD JOEY by SALT LAKE)
2  JOSIES SCORE May05 Apr15 Mar24 Feb24 Feb10 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 118 8.00    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
3  JUDGE JENNINGS May05 Apr15 Apr08 Mar24   (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ R 116 6.00 9% 10.10    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
4  HANK'S GAL Apr15 Apr01 Mar12     (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by EL CABALLO out of HATTIES CONFESSION by CONGAREE)
5  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Mar10 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of COMMANDER SUE by MASTER COMMAND)
 
FON-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH INTENT Apr23 Apr02 Mar17     (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 121 2.50 ★    
2  PICTORIAL Apr16 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 1.60 49% 1.00    
3  DOLLY DIMPLE Apr30 Apr14 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  CAJUN TRINITY Apr16 Mar25 Mar17 Feb26 Feb03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00    
5  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Apr16 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Sep23 (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00    
 
FON-3   05/13/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BLUE OKIE         (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
2  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Apr21 Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 Jan26 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.40 30% 2.30    
3  KA POW         (smith r)MARTINEZ R 121 8.00 26% 2.80    
4  CRYPTO MINER Apr28 Apr11 Mar28 Mar14   (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00    
5  GUCCI BLING Apr07 Mar07 Feb20 Feb10 Jan14 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.20    
6  KARATS KOUNT         (smith george )FACKLER CHRIS 116 10.00 21% 3.70    
 
FON-4   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE OURS Apr29 Apr21 Jan28 Jan13 Jan05 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00    
2  IZZY IN A TIZZY Sep15 Aug25 Jul28     (russell nath)BETHKE A 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  COUNT D'ORLEANS         (castillo jose)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 10% 8.70    
4  RING TAILED TOOTER Apr14 Mar31 Mar03     (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
5  ROCKETS AFLEET Apr23         (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00    
6  LEVEL Apr28 Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 Feb19 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 31% 2.30    
 
FON-5   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST SOPHIA Apr29 Apr16 Apr07 Mar24 Feb24 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 125 4.00 9% 9.90    
2  SATURDAY SERVICE Apr29 Apr23 Mar27 Feb19 Feb01 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
3  CHAOS MAGIC Apr23 Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  TAPIT'S LADY Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Feb28 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  HOT CAVIAR Apr23 Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb25 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
6  SUE HAPPY Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 (arceo salvad)BETHKE A 125 4.50    
 
FON-6   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OREGON COUNTY Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 Mar26 Mar10 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00    
2  POLICY LIMIT May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar10 Jan14 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 10% 9.30    
3  THREE TIME CHARMER Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  BIG BIZ Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Oct04 Sep25 (haar j)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
5  SUEZ May06 Apr22 Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  TIFF'S DREAM Jul30 Jul23 Jun03     (haar j)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
 
FON-7   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWORKER Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 Feb25 May23 (sorensen mike)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00    
2  SPORTY FLYER May06 Apr21 Apr01 Mar26 Feb09 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00    
3  TALE OF A STORM Apr29 Apr15 Mar04 Feb17 Dec02 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  MR. WALSH Apr29 Apr15 Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
5  YOUNG PHILLIP Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Oct03 Sep20 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
6  MATRICULATE Mar05 Feb19 Jun17 Jun03 May27 (rhodes lester)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 24% 3.10    
 
FON-8   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVETHATCAUSE Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  KNIGHTED Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Oct02 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
3  JUST ASK JOEL Apr29 Apr15 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 (suter milton)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
4  OLD TRAFFORD Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
5  HULEN Apr30 Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 Mar04 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  PREACHER Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Oct01 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 8.00 ★    
7  LARCH Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (mitzner ronald)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 ★    
 
FON-9   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CECILIA'S HOPE Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 Jan19 Nov09 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00    
2  SASSY SUE'S BAND Apr14 Feb17 Dec17 Dec07 Nov26 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 125 3.50 14% 6.00    
3  UNHERDOF Apr22 Mar24 Mar12 Feb26 Jan13 (condon schuyl)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
4  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY Apr14 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 Feb10 (dieter dalton)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 ★    
5  WITCHY WINDSOR Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 May28 May20 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
6  COLD AS YOU May05 Apr22 Mar26 Mar14 Feb22 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 ★    
7  SABER QUEEN Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 58% 0.70    
8  ZIPPORAH Apr08 Mar25 Mar05 Feb25 Sep11 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.