The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 30, 2022

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FAR-1   07/30/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($3.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:542         :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL CRAFTY PIE 3 2 13     14 15 (dolphus junior)DELORME L 124 3.50 3.60  
P K'S PEANUT 2 1 23     24 25 (geditz j)ESTRADA GIOVANY 121 2.50 22% 3.60 1.70 P
ROMANS TON 5 4 47     36 3(herman lee)HERMAN EVAN 126 1.60 53% 0.90 1.00 S
CHALLENGING RAIL 4 3 36     410 415¼ (herman lee)MORIN RYAN 126 5.00 9.90  
ROYAL MALIKY 1 5 512     513 518 (herman lee)SNODGRASS W 121 8.00 9.60  
SCR  PIE ALA MODE               (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 119 12.00    
 
FAR-4   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
1:091         1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S STARRY NITE 1 2 31 22   1nk 14 (geditz j)ESTRADA GIOVANY 122 1.60 52% 0.90 0.70 W
EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO 3 1 1½ 12   2nk 24 (geditz j)FRINK D 122 2.00 26% 2.90 3.70 P
ENDERSROYALDANCE 2 3 43 36   36 313½ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 122 4.00 4.60 S
JEZAMAE KIDD 4 5 58 510   48 415¼ (longie jr)HERMAN EVAN 119 7.00 7.30  
FEDORA KID 5 4 2½ 49   523 539¼ (davis v)ZIEGLER ZACK 119 5.00 5.70  
 
FAR-5   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($7.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CONTRAST 2 1 2½ 1½   11(cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 7.00 4.20  
S C TINY SECRET 3 3 1½ 2½   22(wilson cole)CERVANTES URIEL 126 2.50 0.60 P
FLAMING INDY 1 2 3 3   39 312¼ (allery mark)SNODGRASS W 126 4.00 3.80 S
MOON LOVIN 4 4 413½ 4   421 427 (delorme c)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 5.00 3.20  
SCR  TIPSY AT THE BAR               (hanson m)ESTRADA GIOVANY 126 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
FAR-6   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($3.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
1:291         1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIFF'S DREAM 4 3 2½ 2nk   1111 (haar j)FRINK D 126 2.50 39% 1.50 1.40 W
WIDGET GIDGET 5 4 4 32   32 211 (martin dean)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 7.00 13% 6.40 4.90 P
DEPUTY VERDOT 2 1 1½ 43   4312¼ (martin dean)DELORME L 126 4.00 4.70 S
CLASSICAL ACE 3 2 31 1nk   2412½ (geditz j)ESTRADA GIOVANY 126 2.00 20% 4.00 2.30  
MR. ADVENTUROUS 1 5 5 511   5525 (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 5.00 4.60  
 
FAR-8   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
1:471         1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMMITT'S CHALLENGE 1 1 11 1 12 11 1(delorme c)PADILLA ANSELMO 124 20.00 7% 14.10 6.60 W
ATOKAD ALICE 5 2 21 2 22 21 2(geditz j)ESTRADA GIOVANY 119 1.00 45% 1.20 0.80 P
ROADSTAR KING 3 3 35 411½ 411 313 320¼ (herman lee)MORIN RYAN 124 12.00 7% 14.10 9.40 S
ELI'S FIRE 2 4 45 310½ 35 417 425 (cavanaugh perry)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 4.00 5.80  
BOOGIE BUG 4 5 511 519½ 515 518½ 526¾ (herman robert)HERMAN EVAN 119 1.60 2.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.