Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fonner Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-3   TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1-3 $13.50 $7.50 125%
FON-6   EXA (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $28.00 $4.00 17%
FON-7   EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-1 $29.40 $5.40 23%
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/3/9)-(8/6/1/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00  8-1-9 $61.50 $25.50 71%
    SFT (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/3/9)-(8/6/1/3/9)-(8/6/1/3/9) 72 $0.10 $7.20  8-1-9-6 $12.75 $5.55 77%
FON-10   DD (6/4/7/3)-(3/4/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-7 $42.80 $10.80 34%

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:024     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART ACT 6 4 4 31   3½ 1 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 8.00 6.50  
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of JUST AN ACT by NOACTOR)
AUNT CARI 4 1 31 4   41 2 (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.60 36% 1.80 0.80 P
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
CHAMA 5 3 21 2nk   2nk 3 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 2.00 27% 2.70 3.00 S
  (by TAPITURE out of PALACE CAT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
O. D.'S ANN BABY 1 6 510½ 5   59 413 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 10% 8.90 13.60  
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of HORSE TRICKS by BUDDHA)
SAY WHAT YOU WILL 3 5 611½ 616¼   619 533¾ (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 121 12.00 8.40  
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of YODELIN' ANGEL by SWISS YODELER)
CLASSIC FAREWELL 2 2 11 1nk   1nk 6100 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 7.75  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OKBYECYA by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
FON-2   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLI STARR 4 4 12 13   16 1 (radford j)RAMOS B 125 15.00 11.10  
ZIPPORAH 1 2 59 46   49 2 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 20% 4.00 1.50 P
TAYLOR'S BEAUTY 7 5 22 23   26 3 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 4.10  
AUNT IRENE 5 1 3 3   37 4 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 22% 3.60 2.35  
DIVA DE KELA 3 3 610 57   510 5 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 24% 3.20 12.35  
STARLIGHT TWIST 2 7 714 611   612 68 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 10% 8.80 13.15  
LOVESAFLYIN 6 6 4 713   7100 7100 (fackler howar)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 8.55  
 
FON-3   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARLAY PETE 4 1 11 11   14 1 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 38% 1.70 1.40 W
TOUGH COMPANY 1 2 4 34   36 2 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 25% 2.90 2.10 P
PERVASIVE 3 5 54 4   4 3 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 3.00 11% 7.70 3.50 S
CHERUBIM 6 4 21 21   24 4 (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 12.30  
GAINER 2 6 66 68   5 5 (stankey jannae)GARNETT G 125 15.00 10.70  
FERRARI ROAD 5 3 33 5   612½ 614 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 8.45  
 
FON-4   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIPMAN'S SONG 4 1 31 2½   2nk 11 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 2.70  
MOST AMUSING 3 2 2nk 1½   1nk 21 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 3.00 32% 2.10 3.30 P
THORNISH 5 4 510 4   34 34 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 9% 10.50 8.60 S
CREATIVE LETTERS 2 5 49 5   510¼ 414 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 22% 3.60 1.70  
MY BOY GUS 1 3 1nk 3   410 515 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00 2.90  
SCR  BARSTOW               (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
SCR  MY TRUE REWARD               (hawley joe)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:003     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAYETTE WARRIOR 1 1 1½ 1½   14 1 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 2.00 4.70  
SANCOCHO (MEX) 2 2 4 4   24 2 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 1.60 46% 1.20 0.70 P
TIGER THE MAN 3 5 5 5   46 3 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 10% 8.70 5.20 S
MASTERPIECE DAY 6 3 2½ 2½   3 410 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 8.70  
BIG BIZ 5 4 3½ 3   59 516¼ (haar j)RAMOS B 125 8.00 6.10  
MATRICULATE 4 6 611½ 616½   629 647 (rhodes lester)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00 7% 13.10 15.40  
SCR  MACHO MADNESS               (fackler howar)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
 
FON-6   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR 7 4 1nk 11   13 1 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 4.00 51% 1.00 2.20 W
RECKLESSNESS 3 3 2nk 3   3 2 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 6% 16.90 3.10 P
NO LIMITATION 5 6 4 21   23 3 (chavez juan)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 12% 7.60 2.10 S
KEARNEY 4 2 3½ 4   4 4 (ibanez alber)BETHKE A 125 5.00 8.40  
POVERTY FLATS 1 7 7 6   5 5 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 26.60  
GERDY'S BOY 2 1 6 711½   712½ 613¼ (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 23.40  
NUGGET OF GRACE 6 5 5 5   611½ 715¼ (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 8.05  
THE GREATEST EAGLE 8 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (ibanez alberto)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 5% 18.20 18.15  
 
FON-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:021     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S THE SCORE 7 8 8 4   32 1 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 116 2.50 40% 1.50 1.90 W
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MABLOOM by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
BUY NOW 1 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 121 5.00 10% 9.10 6.50 P
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 8 7 42 2nk   2nk 3 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 4.10 S
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
BER MIS BOY 5 1 6 5   46 4 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 25% 3.10 3.20  
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
WHISKEYSPENT 6 4 3½ 3   58 512¼ (thomsen pau)MORALES ROBERTO 125 20.00 11.30  
  (by I SPENT IT out of SHEZA DIVINE DIVA by DIVINE PARK)
WENT HOME 2 3 2nk 66   613 616½ (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00 21.10  
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of LUCKY FEATHER by BEST OF LUCK)
P R POSIE GAME 4 6 7 79   720 722¾ (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 116 10.00 14.30  
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of P R LYING HEART by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
MAY B BETTER 3 5 55 813   822 826¾ (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ R 116 6.00 7.00  
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  WANTABE               (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
 
FON-8   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE DRANK WINE 5 5 2nk 11   2nk 1¼ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 4.90  
LOVETHATCAUSE 7 3 34 21   1nk 2¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 59% 0.70 0.85 P
OREGON COUNTY 3 1 1nk 3   31 3 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 10% 9.00 11.25 S
THREE BALL 8 4 59 4   4 42 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 10.85  
LARCH 4 2 45 55   5 5 (mitzner r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 9% 10.70 7.90  
SCOOTER'S BOY 6 7 812¼ 79   7 6 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 5.75  
KNIGHTED 2 8 6 68   65 7 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 15.00 18.00  
JUST ASK JOEL 1 6 7 810½   8 810 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 21.50  
 
FON-9   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Spice Swirl Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:142 1:273   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENSCABALLO 7 2 45 35 11 12 13 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 16% 5.40 2.40 W
  (by EL CABALLO out of INCLUDING MARY by INCLUDE)
P R ODDS SETTER 6 6 35 23 21 22 23 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.00 33% 2.00 2.35 P
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of A WISH FOR MY LADY by PIKEPASS)
TELLITTOTHEJUDGE 5 7 712½ 714½ 6 36 34 (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 4.50 9.40  
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
ZIBBY TOO 4 5 6 611½ 59 4 4 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00 19% 4.30 2.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
SING CHARMER SING 1 8 815½ 818½ 813 610 5 (compton jess)BETHKE A 119 8.00 21.30  
  (by SING BABY SING out of C. R. CHARMER by SHAWKLIT PLAYER)
JUDGE ON THE RUN 3 4 5 510½ 36 5 614¼ (compton jesse)RAMOS B 121 10.00 12% 7.60 5.80  
  (by JUDGE BILL out of RETRO RUNNER by CHEROKEE RUN)
JOY FOREVER 8 1 22 49 47 711½ 717 (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ R 119 15.00 21.30  
  (by JUDGE BILL out of SILENT REASON by POINT OF ENTRY)
JUST LUCK 2 3 12 13 711½ 817½ 827¼ (anderson davi)FACKLER CHRIS 119 5.00 25.85  
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
 
FON-10   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENHEDOIT 7 4 33 32   31 14 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 10% 9.10 3.20 W
LUCKWOULDHAVEIT 4 2 56 45   5 24 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 27% 2.80 1.95 P
PICKELJUICE 5 1 2 2½   2nk 3 (musquiz j)RAMOS B 125 15.00 14.35  
NAME THE PRICE 3 3 1 1½   1nk 4 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 29% 2.40 6.70  
PAISANO JIM 6 7 6 55   43 5 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 3.95  
L B GOLD 9 5 8 8   6 6 (krause bill)BETHKE A 125 15.00 26.20  
REPORT TO DUTY 2 9 912½ 9   9 7 (musquiz j)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 20.70  
LITTLEBIT DON 8 6 7 77   8 811¾ (rivera gregori)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.50 7.25  
MISS ADDISYN K 1 8 45 66   7 914¾ (anderson davi)FACKLER CHRIS 120 10.00 8% 11.60 19.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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