Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2)-(4/1/3)-(4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(7/5/3/8)-(8/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/3/9)-(8/6/1/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-8   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(6/4/7/3)-(3/4/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-9   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(3/4/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-10   WIN (3/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1/6)-(3/4/7/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O. D.'S ANN BABY         (stankey jannae)GARNETT G 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of HORSE TRICKS by BUDDHA)
2  CLASSIC FAREWELL May05 Apr22 Apr08 Apr02 Mar18 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OKBYECYA by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  SAY WHAT YOU WILL Apr24         (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 121 12.00    
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of YODELIN' ANGEL by SWISS YODELER)
4  AUNT CARI May05 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  CHAMA May14 May06 Apr21 Apr08 Aug17 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of PALACE CAT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
6  SMART ACT May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Sep26 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of JUST AN ACT by NOACTOR)
 
FON-2   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPORAH May13 Apr08 Mar25 Mar05 Feb25 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  STARLIGHT TWIST May14 Mar24 Oct03 Aug31 Aug21 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 10% 8.80    
3  DIVA DE KELA Jul24 May18 May01 Feb18 Jan28 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  MILLI STARR Apr30 Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 Oct03 (radford j)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
5  AUNT IRENE May14 Apr30 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  LOVESAFLYIN Mar03 Feb12 Sep19 Sep05 May20 (fackler howar)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
7  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY May13 Apr14 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00    
 
FON-3   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH COMPANY Apr29 Apr16 Apr07 Feb26 Feb11 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 25% 2.90    
2  GAINER May06 Mar25 Mar18 Aug18 Jul28 (stankey jannae)GARNETT G 125 15.00    
3  PERVASIVE May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 Sep26 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 3.00 11% 7.70    
4  PARLAY PETE Apr29 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 38% 1.70    
5  FERRARI ROAD Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar10 Sep20 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
6  CHERUBIM May12 Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 Oct04 (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
 
FON-4   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARSTOW May12 Apr22 Apr08 Apr01 Mar18 (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
2  MY BOY GUS Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Feb18 Jan13 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00    
3  CREATIVE LETTERS Apr29 Apr15 Mar11 Feb11 Jan04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 22% 3.60    
4  MOST AMUSING Apr29 Apr15 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  SHIPMAN'S SONG Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50    
6  THORNISH Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Aug07 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  MY TRUE REWARD May06 Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Oct01 (hawley joe)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAYETTE WARRIOR May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 2.00    
2  SANCOCHO (MEX) May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar18 Mar05 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  TIGER THE MAN May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 10% 8.70    
SCR  MACHO MADNESS Mar04 Sep19 Sep05 Jun10 May29 (fackler howar)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
5  MATRICULATE May13 Mar05 Feb19 Jun17 Jun03 (rhodes lester)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00 7% 13.10    
6  BIG BIZ May13 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Oct04 (haar j)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
7  MASTERPIECE DAY May06 Apr21 Apr07 Sep27 Sep12 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
 
FON-6   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POVERTY FLATS May06 Apr22 Mar19 Mar11 Sep15 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
2  GERDY'S BOY Apr28 Apr08 Mar26 Jun17 Jun12 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
3  RECKLESSNESS May06 Apr28 Apr15 Apr08 Mar26 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 6% 16.90    
4  KEARNEY May06 Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 Mar18 (ibanez alberto)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00    
5  NO LIMITATION May06 Apr23 Mar26 Mar10 Feb26 (chavez juan)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 12% 7.60    
6  NUGGET OF GRACE Apr28 Apr20 Feb16 Jan27 Jan11 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
7  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR May12 Apr21 Apr02 Mar12 May21 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 4.00 51% 1.00    
8  THE GREATEST EAGLE Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Oct02 Sep26 (ibanez alberto)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 5% 18.20    
 
FON-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUY NOW May14 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 121 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
2  WENT HOME May06         (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of LUCKY FEATHER by BEST OF LUCK)
3  MAY B BETTER Mar10 Feb24       (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ R 116 6.00 ★    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
4  P R POSIE GAME May05         (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 116 10.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of P R LYING HEART by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
SCR  WANTABE May06         (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
6  BER MIS BOY May06 Apr23 Apr14 Mar10 Feb25 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 25% 3.10    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
7  WHISKEYSPENT May06 Apr23 Apr14 Mar17 Mar10 (thomsen pau)MORALES ROBERTO 125 20.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of SHEZA DIVINE DIVA by DIVINE PARK)
8  WHAT'S THE SCORE May05 Apr15 Mar24 Mar10   (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MABLOOM by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
9  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT May06 Apr23 Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 ★    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
 
FON-8   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST ASK JOEL May13 Apr29 Apr15 Sep15 Aug17 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
2  KNIGHTED May13 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
3  OREGON COUNTY May13 Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 Mar26 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  LARCH May13 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (mitzner r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 9% 10.70    
5  GOOSE DRANK WINE Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Sep25 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00    
6  SCOOTER'S BOY May06 Apr30 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00    
7  LOVETHATCAUSE May13 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 59% 0.70    
8  THREE BALL Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Feb25 Oct01 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 ★    
 
FON-9   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Spice Swirl Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING CHARMER SING May06 Apr28 Apr16 Mar31 Mar19 (compton jess)BETHKE A 119 8.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of C. R. CHARMER by SHAWKLIT PLAYER)
2  JUST LUCK Apr28 Apr16 Mar11 Feb17 Aug30 (anderson davi)FACKLER CHRIS 119 5.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
3  JUDGE ON THE RUN May06 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of RETRO RUNNER by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  ZIBBY TOO May06 Apr16 Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
5  TELLITTOTHEJUDGE Apr28 Apr07 Mar11 Mar03 Feb17 (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 4.50    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
6  P R ODDS SETTER May06 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of A WISH FOR MY LADY by PIKEPASS)
7  QUEENSCABALLO May06 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by EL CABALLO out of INCLUDING MARY by INCLUDE)
8  JOY FOREVER May12 Apr30 Apr16 Mar25 Mar03 (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ R 119 15.00    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of SILENT REASON by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
FON-10   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ADDISYN K Mar25 Mar03 Feb17 Jun11 May28 (anderson davi)FACKLER CHRIS 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
2  REPORT TO DUTY May12 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jun19 (musquiz j)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
3  NAME THE PRICE May12 Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT May05 Apr21 Apr02 Mar26 Mar17 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 27% 2.80    
5  PICKELJUICE May12 Sep05 Aug09 Jul12 Jun18 (musquiz j)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
6  PAISANO JIM May05 Apr22 Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 ★    
7  KENHEDOIT May12 Apr22 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 10% 9.10    
8  LITTLEBIT DON Apr30 Apr14 Mar26 Mar17 Apr24 (rivera gregori)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.50    
9  L B GOLD May05 Apr22 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (krause bill)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.