Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Monday - June 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-1   EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3 $15.80 $3.80 32%
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3-5 $60.20 $48.20 402%
ARP-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.00 $2.00 33%
ARP-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.00 $4.00 67%
ARP-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $17.60 $5.60 47%
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/1/4)-(4/2/5) 27 $2.00 $54.00  3-1-2 $96.00 $42.00 78%
    PK4 (2/3/5)-(3/6/1)-(3/1/4)-(4/2/5) 81 $2.00 $162  2-3-1-2 $433.80 $271.80 168%
ARP-5   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $54.80 $42.80 357%
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1-2 $153.80 $141.80 1182%
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/2/5)-(6/1/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00  1-2-6 $301.00 $247.00 457%
ARP-6   EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $16.20 $4.20 35%
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/1/2)-(1/5/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00  2-6-1 $259.80 $205.80 381%
ARP-7   PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/5/2)-(5/3/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00  6-1-3 $116.60 $62.60 116%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :464 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTAURUS 2 6 3 31   1nk 1 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.20 W
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PROVINCIAL NATIVE by BENCHMARK)
SILENCE'S NATION 3 2 2½ 1½   2nk 2 (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 4.50 17% 5.00 5.50 P
  (by TROJAN NATION out of CUPCAKE'S SURPRISE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
GUTFIELD 5 3 5 4   33 310¾ (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60 S
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 6 5 65 6   6 412½ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 28.20  
  (by ELMAZEED out of GARDEN GODDESS by BLAME)
BARTSTER 4 4 43 5   5 517 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 1.40  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ULTRA TECH by MARIA'S MON)
MAJOR TIMING 1 1 1½ 2½   44 617 (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 10.50  
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of PERFECT FINESSE by PERFECT MANDATE)
 
ARP-2   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RONALD 3 4 53 21   2nk 1 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 63% 0.60 3.00 W
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of LORNA'S TAPIT by TAPIT)
LOCO LUNA 2 5 32 31   31 2 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 120 8.00 1.00  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WILD CATOMINE by MILWAUKEE BREW)
INCREDIBE MO 1 3 11 11   1nk 3 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50 S
  (by ACCLAMATION out of THORELLEN by SWISS YODELER)
LINEARSPEED 6 1 4 4   4 4 (barraza s)WALES T 124 12.00 11% 7.70 3.10  
  (by BLAME out of JULIE BE GOOD by STORMY ATLANTIC)
ENDALE ARCH 4 6 6 6   5 525 (lavanway day)MARTIN A 120 3.50 24.50  
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of HIJRA by ORATORIO)
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 5 2 21 53   610¼ 642 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 9.70  
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
SCR  IZZY IN A TIZZY               (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SONG COLLECTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
ARP-3   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :454       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT ON TIME 1 5 11 13   13 1 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 3.50 21% 3.90 4.00 W
BORN TO RACE 4 4 49 4   23 2 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 3.80  
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 3 3 37 39   35 38 (barraza sosa )CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 12% 7.10 4.50 S
BULL RING 5 1 514 514½   57 411¼ (rushton temp)MARTIN A 124 15.00 17.10  
SEAFARING WILDCAT 2 2 21 23   46 524¼ (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 29% 2.50 0.60  
SCR  MYBESTISYETTOCOME               (simpson shannon)LULL E 124 12.00    
 
ARP-4   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :461       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR 2 5 2½ 2½   1nk 1 (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 35% 1.90 2.40 W
SUEZ 4 2 42 4   4 2 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 41% 1.40 2.60 P
LIL LATIGO 1 3 32 32   3.2 3 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 19.30  
CLEARLY MAD 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 4 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 1.00  
TOMBI 5 4 56 5   5 510½ (rushton temp)MARTIN A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
 
ARP-5   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :454 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIPLIT 6 4 612½ 6   4 1 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50 37% 1.70 6.10 W
MISS IZZY BEE 1 1 24 3   21 2 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 10.00 17% 4.90 1.80 P
EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE 2 5 46 58   6 3 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 9% 10.70 4.50 S
MANDONA 3 6 35 2   11 4 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 6.00 1.80  
T R'S FIRST 5 3 5 44   5 5 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 7.90  
MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE 4 2 14 1   32 615¼ (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 9.20  
 
ARP-6   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:211 :443 :574     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TULSA TIME 1 2 1½ 1½   1 1 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 41% 1.40 1.10 W
KNIGHTED 5 5 5 48   44 2 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 4.50 21% 3.80 3.70 P
JONO 3 1 2½ 2½   2 3 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 3.80  
THOUGHTS OF GOLD 4 3 3 33   3 410¾ (wheeler travis)WALES T 124 2.50 3.20  
AUTISM WARRIOR 2 4 4 5   510 523 (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 8% 11.60 8.20  
 
ARP-7   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 3 3 2 22   1nk 1 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 20% 4.10 0.80 W
RONAMO 2 6 4 45   4 2 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 14% 6.30 4.80 P
LAUNCHED 4 2 1 12   2nk 3 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 17.30  
BEDROCK (GB) 5 1 3 3   3 412¼ (christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50 46% 1.20 1.90  
KICK IT 1 5 511½ 511   5 518¾ (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 20.00 16.30  
GOGO OXBOW 6 4 612 613   610¾ 651 (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 5.00 11.20  
 
ARP-8   06/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :462       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEACON BEACON 1 2 4 1½   12 1 (young a)TORRES J 124 4.50 4.10  
EUSEBIO 6 7 64 52   32 2 (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
ROCHESTER'S FINEST 2 1 5 6   4 3 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
WILL TO PAR 7 3 1½ 2½   22 4 (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80 0.70  
RUNNIN BUFFALO 8 4 2½ 3   5 512¾ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 40.10  
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 3 6 7 7   78 613¾ (christian billy)LULL E 120 12.00 9% 9.60 13.90  
BIG BLUE OKIE 4 9 810½ 87   810 717½ (deisley gale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 25.20  
BIG PEN TEN 5 8 914½ 9   912 823 (gleason m)RAMOS B 124 10.00 7% 13.50 25.10  
ROCKETS AFLEET 9 5 31 4   67 925¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 11.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.