Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - June 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/1/4)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/2/5)-(6/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/1/2)-(1/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-5   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/5/2)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(7/3/5/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ARP-8   WIN (7/3/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2/6)-(7/3/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2/6)-(7/3/5/2/6)-(7/3/5/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR TIMING         (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00    
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of PERFECT FINESSE by PERFECT MANDATE)
2  CENTAURUS Mar04 Feb06 Jan03 Aug28   (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PROVINCIAL NATIVE by BENCHMARK)
3  SILENCE'S NATION         (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of CUPCAKE'S SURPRISE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
4  BARTSTER Oct01 Sep11 Aug28 Jul24   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ULTRA TECH by MARIA'S MON)
5  GUTFIELD Jul24         (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
6  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Apr28 Oct01       (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00    
  (by ELMAZEED out of GARDEN GODDESS by BLAME)
 
ARP-2   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCREDIBE MO Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Aug29 Aug06 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of THORELLEN by SWISS YODELER)
2  LOCO LUNA Dec10 Nov12 Aug20     (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 120 8.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WILD CATOMINE by MILWAUKEE BREW)
3  THE RONALD Apr18 Mar12 Feb20 Jan05 Nov07 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of LORNA'S TAPIT by TAPIT)
4  ENDALE ARCH May21 May06 Apr05 Mar20 Feb28 (lavanway day)MARTIN A 120 3.50    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of HIJRA by ORATORIO)
5  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT May20 May06 Apr23 Apr14 Mar17 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
6  LINEARSPEED         (barraza s)WALES T 124 12.00 11% 7.70    
  (by BLAME out of JULIE BE GOOD by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  IZZY IN A TIZZY May13 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28   (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SONG COLLECTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
ARP-3   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT ON TIME May20 Sep08 Aug03 May07 Apr23 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  MYBESTISYETTOCOME May02 Jan17 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 (simpson shannon)LULL E 124 12.00    
3  SEAFARING WILDCAT May02 Apr10 Mar05 Feb13 Dec20 (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  IMPASSIONED CLAIM May05 Apr05 Mar28 Mar19 Feb18 (barraza sosa )CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
5  BORN TO RACE Apr16 Mar05 Feb25 Jan01   (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50    
6  BULL RING Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Mar12 Sep27 (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
 
ARP-4   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL LATIGO Apr01 Mar27 Mar18 Mar11 Mar01 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
2  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR May20 May12 Apr21 Apr02 Mar12 (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  CLEARLY MAD Apr29 Mar18 Feb18 Oct02 Sep20 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
4  SUEZ May13 May06 Apr22 Mar18 Mar04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  TOMBI Mar31 Feb25 Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 (rushton temp)MARTIN A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS IZZY BEE Oct03 Aug21 Jul31 Jul04   (parsons riley)WALES T 121 10.00 17% 4.90    
2  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE May06 Apr09 Mar12 Feb05 Jan22 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 9% 10.70    
3  MANDONA Apr08 Mar28 Mar14 Feb15 Jan17 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
4  MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE Sep04 Aug21 Jul10     (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50    
5  T R'S FIRST Apr29 Apr15 Apr08 Mar12 Feb15 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50    
6  FLIPLIT Apr25 Mar24 Feb24 Feb17 Jan14 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-6   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TULSA TIME Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
2  AUTISM WARRIOR Mar18 Jan31 Dec22 Sep19 Aug22 (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 8% 11.60    
3  JONO May05 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Aug29 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
4  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Apr29 Aug06 Jul18 Apr03 Mar26 (wheeler travis)WALES T 124 2.50    
5  KNIGHTED May20 May13 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
ARP-7   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK IT May07 Mar27 Mar05 Feb05 Jan25 (lavanway day)RAMOS A 124 20.00    
2  RONAMO Apr26 Mar14 Feb28 Jan28 Jan10 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
3  COLLUSIONIST Nov04 Oct04 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  LAUNCHED Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Aug29 Aug14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
5  BEDROCK (GB) Jun03 Apr26 Apr17 Mar27 Mar11 (christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
6  GOGO OXBOW Apr29 Apr16 Jan10 Dec14 Dec01 (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 5.00    
 
ARP-8   06/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEACON BEACON May14 Mar12 Dec14 Dec01 Nov07 (young a)TORRES J 124 4.50    
2  ROCHESTER'S FINEST May06 Apr16 Feb07 Nov21 Jul24 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Jun04 Mar18 Nov30     (christian billy)LULL E 120 12.00 9% 9.60    
4  BIG BLUE OKIE May13         (deisley gale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00    
5  BIG PEN TEN Apr12 Jan28       (gleason m)RAMOS B 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
6  EUSEBIO Jan08 Dec09       (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  WILL TO PAR May21 Mar30       (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
8  RUNNIN BUFFALO Apr21         (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00    
9  ROCKETS AFLEET May13 Apr23       (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.