Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $12.20  
ARP-4   Win (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
ARP-5   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
ARP-6   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
ARP-7   Win (2/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $12.40  
ARP-8   Win (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 10.40
ARP-9   Win (9/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 2 4 54 55   31 1 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 6.00 5.10  
JIMBO'S BIZ 5 1 21 21   1nk 2 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.00 30% 2.30 4.90 P
HOT ARTIE 3 3 11 11   2nk 3 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 25% 2.90 2.00 S
FORT KNOX 1 6 4 43   4 4 (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 1.80  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 4 5 66 6   65 5 (esquibel mark)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 6.80  
PERVASIVE 6 2 32 3   54 68 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 2.50 23% 3.30 9.40  
 
ARP-4   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY BOULEVARD 4 4 3 22   1 17 (gleason m)WALES T 124 2.50 42% 1.40 0.30 W
MASTERPIECE DAY 2 1 1 12   2 27 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 21% 3.70 4.70 P
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 1 2 4 4   3 311 (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 16% 5.40 4.80 S
RANCHER 5 5 2 3   4 416¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 8.00 13.40  
MORE ACTION 3 3 5 511½   513½ 519 (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 15.00 15.20  
SCR  HATTIES JEWEL               (childs gage)MARTIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONOMATOPOEIA               (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   06/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :523         :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YEARS LOVE 1 1 43     21 1¼ (lemburg mark)WALES T 124 6.00 17% 5.00 3.30 W
SENTIMENTAL CROSS 2 2 11     11 2¼ (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 0.70  
AUNT IRENE 4 3 21     3 3 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 5.00  
SNICKEL TE 3 5 59     5 4 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 4.50 42% 1.40 5.50  
ELEMENTAL 5 4 3     4 57 (perkinson cc)TORRES J 124 12.00 16% 5.20 6.70  
SCR  OVER EXPOSED               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-6   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :452       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIUS 3 3 3½ 2½   1nk 1 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 33% 2.00 0.20 W
BULLAWAY 2 5 5 41   31 2 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 3.50 13% 6.60 4.70 P
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 4 1 1nk 1½   2nk 3 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 31% 2.20 8.10 S
TUFF WILLY TE 5 4 42 5   43 47 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 7.30  
FRIENDLY FOE 1 2 2nk 31   5 519½ (parsons riley)LULL E 124 15.00 18.40  
 
ARP-7   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY EVELYN 3 5 1nk 1   12 13 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50 5.20  
GYPSY ROSIE 5 4 2nk 2   22 23 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 120 12.00 14% 6.30 8.30 P
HIGH GUNNER 2 6 3 32   32 3 (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 65% 0.50 0.70 S
SMOKIN AMELIA 6 1 6 46   4 4 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 6.40  
MIZZEN MILLIONS 1 7 5 5   5 513¼ (garrett j)RAMOS B 124 4.50 13.90  
WHAT A WAY TO GO 7 2 7 712   6 616¼ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 15.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
RETRO RITA 4 3 43 610½   710½ 733½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
 
ARP-8   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :454       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEGGY B FAST 4 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20 W
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 5 3 53 6   3 2 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 8.00 8% 11.10 1.40 P
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 1 8 1½ 2nk   2½ 3 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 23.50  
RAGING LADY 7 7 7 5   5 4 (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 2.50 6.10  
SWEET TATUM 3 1 32 3   6 59 (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 10% 8.60 2.70  
SEGOVIANA 2 2 4 4   4 6 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 19.90  
DOZO 6 5 6 7   7 710 (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 57% 0.80 4.20  
FLAN 8 6 8 8   8 817½ (young a)TORRES J 124 20.00 27.70  
 
ARP-9   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HEAT 8 5 2½ 1nk   11 1 (kenney dan)WALES T 124 2.50 61% 0.60 0.90 W
WHISTLING HOME 7 8 4 31   21 2 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 17% 4.80 2.40 P
VIRTUALLY 1 6 6 6   32 3 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 16.60  
TRULY A MESS 6 7 7 7   7 410 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 10.00 19.60  
CAJUN TRINITY 3 3 3 4   6 510½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 5 1 1½ 2nk   4 612 (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 124 6.00 29.00  
UNPLUCKED GEM 4 2 53 5   5 712 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
BREAKFAST BALL 2 4 8 8   86 812¼ (whitehouse wil)MARTIN A 124 5.00 18.20  
SCR  DREAMER GIRL               (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.