Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(4/2/1)-(3/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/1/6)-(3/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(3/4/2)-(2/5/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(9/8/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ARP-8   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-9   WIN (9/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/4)-(9/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/4)-(9/8/5/4)-(9/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT KNOX Apr23 Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 Dec15 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
2  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) May29 May21 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 6.00    
3  HOT ARTIE Jun03 May21 Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
4  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Apr15 Mar25 Feb22 Feb13 Feb01 (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
5  JIMBO'S BIZ May06 Apr22 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  PERVASIVE May20 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
ARP-4   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBONNAIRE DUDE May12 Apr29 Apr15 Apr07 Feb26 (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  MASTERPIECE DAY May20 May06 Apr21 Apr07 Sep27 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
3  MORE ACTION May20 Apr08 Mar26 Feb13 Jan24 (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
4  VICTORY BOULEVARD Apr26 Apr15 Mar27 Feb28 Feb04 (gleason m)WALES T 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  HATTIES JEWEL May06 Apr21 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 (childs gage)MARTIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RANCHER Apr25 Apr11 Mar04 Feb14 Feb02 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 8.00    
SCR  ONOMATOPOEIA May07 Apr14 Apr05 Mar07 Jan22 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   06/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YEARS LOVE Apr30 Apr14 Mar31 Mar03 Feb17 (lemburg mark)WALES T 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
2  SENTIMENTAL CROSS Apr23 Apr14 Mar18 Feb18 Sep27 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
3  SNICKEL TE Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 Aug09 Jul25 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 4.50 42% 1.40    
5  AUNT IRENE May20 May14 Apr30 Apr14 Mar25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00    
6  ELEMENTAL Apr01 Mar19 Feb07 Dec17 Nov19 (perkinson cc)TORRES J 124 12.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  OVER EXPOSED Apr14 Mar10 Oct03 Aug22 Aug09 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-6   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY FOE Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 (parsons riley)LULL E 124 15.00    
2  BULLAWAY Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 Aug29 Aug15 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
3  MAIUS Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Jul18 Jul04 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
5  TUFF WILLY TE Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 Jul19 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
 
ARP-7   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZEN MILLIONS Mar26 Feb21 Jan15 Dec16 Nov27 (garrett j)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
2  HIGH GUNNER Mar27 Mar11 Feb14 Jan23 Dec14 (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 65% 0.50    
3  NAUGHTY EVELYN Apr24 Apr10 Mar12 Jan27 Mar25 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50    
4  RETRO RITA May19 May05 Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GYPSY ROSIE Apr08 Feb26 Jan03 Nov20   (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
6  SMOKIN AMELIA Dec09 Oct28 Sep25 Aug26 Jul01 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50    
7  WHAT A WAY TO GO May05 Apr18 Mar27 Mar07 Jan30 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-8   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTHEMOONANDBACK May13 Apr01 Mar25 Mar04 Feb09 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
2  SEGOVIANA May05 Apr28 Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
3  SWEET TATUM Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 Sep27 Sep13 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
4  PEGGY B FAST May07 Apr22 Feb21 Nov21 Oct10 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Apr17 Mar19 Mar01 Nov30 Sep03 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 8.00 8% 11.10    
6  DOZO Jun04 May02 Apr08 Mar06 Feb07 (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 57% 0.80    
7  RAGING LADY May02 Apr22 Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 2.50    
8  FLAN May19 Sep20 Sep06 Jul25 Jul11 (young a)TORRES J 124 20.00    
 
ARP-9   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRTUALLY May06 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Sep16 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00    
2  BREAKFAST BALL Apr19 Mar26 Mar01 Feb14 Jan28 (whitehouse w)MARTIN A 124 5.00    
SCR  DREAMER GIRL May02 Apr04 Mar11 Feb16 Jan26 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
4  CAJUN TRINITY May13 Apr16 Mar25 Mar17 Feb26 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNPLUCKED GEM Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Oct03 Aug22 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK May13 Apr16 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
7  TRULY A MESS May06 Apr01 Mar13 Mar01 Feb15 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 10.00    
8  WHISTLING HOME Apr17 Mar18 Aug08 Jul11 Apr28 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
9  BIG HEAT Feb25 Jan25 Aug20 Jul11 Apr21 (kenney dan)WALES T 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.