Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-2   DD (1/3/5)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-5 $10.80 $1.80 20%
EMD-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.40 $2.40 60%
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-5 $17.90 $11.90 198%
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-5-5 $18.65 $9.65 107%
EMD-6   EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
EMD-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.20 $3.20 53%
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:113     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIKINI NATION 1 4 42 41½   1½ 12 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 26% 2.90 1.60 W
2  VANDULIE 2 2 31½ 31   2½ 22 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 1.80 1.50  
3  NADITA 3 5 55½ 54   42 33 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 24% 3.10 21.00 S
4  MALICE TOWARD NONE 4 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 44¾ (troiani niccol)ANAYA V 121 5.00 9.00  
6  YOUGOTTAWANTIT 6 3 1nk 2nk   55 59¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 4.50 3.10  
5  TICTALOODIE 5 6 66½ 69   613 625¼ (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 125 10.00 9% 10.30 22.20  
 
EMD-2   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG MAMA THORNTON 5 3 1nk 1½   12 1¾ (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50 16% 5.10 2.10 W
4  SQUARE FOOTAGE 4 1 41¾ 42   22 2¾ (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00 2.10  
3  RED PANTY NIGHT 3 5 52¾ 52¼   42½ 31¼ (bullene michael)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 19% 4.30 5.20 S
1  MY MOONDANCER 1 4 3.2 2½   32 44 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 2.80  
6  FLYIN BY 6 2 2nk 3½   53½ 55¾ (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 122 4.50 25% 3.00 7.50  
2  BETE ROUGE 2 6 63¼ 65¼   69½ 616 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 122 15.00 59.90  
 
EMD-3   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:04
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AIN'T NO SISSY 3 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.50 39% 1.60 2.20 W
2  PEDAL TO THE METAL 1 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (boyd preston)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 1.00  
6  NIGHT TO REMEMBER 4 3 31 3.2   31 31 (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 3.60  
3  FIRST ENDEAVOR 2 4 41½ 41¼   42½ 45 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00 23% 3.40 4.30  
SCR  ABOVE THE REST               (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE PETE               (bullock stev)OROZCO E 121 2.00    
 
EMD-4   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WESTERN RULE 3 2 32 1nk   1nk 1hd (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 15.00 9.60  
4  OLYMPIC LEGEND 2 1 11 2nk   2nk 2hd (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 4.50 12% 7.30 1.50 P
1  ABRAAJ MIRAGE 1 3 21 31½   33 32 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 4.50 66% 0.50 0.50 S
6  LOOSE BALL 4 4 47 44½   48 410½ (cornier c)MATIAS J 125 12.00 11.50  
SCR  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY               (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.50    
SCR  EXECUTIVE ACTION               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.00    
 
EMD-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RESERVOIR 6 1 63 3½   1½ 1½ (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 2.50 51% 1.00 1.10 W
2  MS FLASHY HARBOR 2 5 52½ 61¾   61¼ 2½ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 3.00 2.00  
5  MARY WALKER 5 3 42 51¼   2½ 31¼ (markle dan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 4.80  
4  CRAZY ABOUT YOU 4 2 31 4¾   3½ 43¼ (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
1  LADY ATTA TUDE 1 6 2nk 2nk   4¾ 56 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 13.70  
3  ABOVE THE STARS 3 4 1nk 1nk   5¾ 68¾ (cryderman candic)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 24% 3.20 8.10  
 
EMD-6   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kent Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:214 :434 1:08     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALOHA BREEZE 2 3 11 12½   15 16¼ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 0.40 33% 2.10 0.20 W
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
1  STEPUP 1 5 32 22½   25 26¼ (navarro jose)ANAYA V 118 15.00 14% 6.00 19.00 P
  (by UPSTART out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  JAMIES INHERITANCE 3 6 67 68   49 37½ (essex charles)ZUNINO L 118 12.00 14.70  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  DADS ESTRELLA 6 4 42½ 34   37½ 47¾ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00 4.40  
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
4  DRIVEWAY 4 1 54 56½   512½ 58½ (navarro jose)CRUZ M 118 30.00 35.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PRIVATE FORTUNE by PRIVATE GOLD)
5  MISS DYNAMIC 5 2 21 45   614½ 634½ (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 118 4.50 20% 4.10 12.50  
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of MISS SALOME by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
EMD-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
See original race card.
:214 :441 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY FOUL 1 5 12½ 13   14 13¼ (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 3.00 46% 1.20 3.60 W
2  FOSTER BOI 2 2 33 23   24 23¼ (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 2.00 1.50  
3  MIRROR IMAGE 3 3 44½ 55½   36 33½ (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 12.00 6% 16.70 21.00 S
5  SAVILE ROW 5 1 54½ 45½   47½ 45 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 24% 3.10 1.20  
4  RAAJIN RIBBON 4 4 22½ 34½   57½ 58½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 8.00 9.20  
SCR  MR. FIREBALL               (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00    
 
EMD-8   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Irish Day Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 8:19
See original race card.
:221 :434 1:081     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLOVISCONNECTION 5 3 31 1nk   1nk 1¼ (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.20 55% 0.80 0.70 W
  (by VRONSKY out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
7  LLOYDS LOGIC 6 1 11 2nk   2nk 2¼ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 3.00 15% 5.80 2.10 P
  (by THE FACTOR out of LA GRANGE by CURLIN)
1  JIN TONG 1 6 45½ 45   43 32½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 6.00 5.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EVER ADORED by FOREST WILDCAT)
4  ROYAL HALO 3 5 55¾ 55¼   55 44 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SUNPENNY by GOOD REWARD)
2  LANGSTON ROAD 2 4 21 31½   32½ 55 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 5.00 12.80  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STORMY BELOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  STEALING HEARTS 4 2 66¼ 610¼   615 616¾ (conway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 20.00 35.10  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM               (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00 8% 11.40    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of DOUBLE DIP by FRENCH ENVOY)
 
EMD-9   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TUMAC MOUNTAIN 4 3 1nk 11   13 12½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 5.00 6.70  
2  SENOR FABULOSO 2 5 55¼ 52¾   43½ 22½ (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 3.50 14.30  
1  MILEYS BLUECAT 1 2 2nk 42½   55 34¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 S
6  UNION BLISS 6 6 66¼ 63¼   65½ 45 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 12.00 6.50  
5  HULA KING 5 4 4¼ 21   23 55 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
3  SIERRA MELODY 3 1 3.2 31   33½ 65½ (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 1.60 25% 2.90 2.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.