Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
EMD-2   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
EMD-3   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 2.40
EMD-4   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $21.20  
EMD-5   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
EMD-6   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
EMD-7   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
EMD-8   Win (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
EMD-9   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.40  

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:113     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIKINI NATION 1 4 42 4   1½ 12 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 26% 2.90 1.60 W
VANDULIE 2 2 3 31   2½ 22 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 1.80 1.50  
NADITA 3 5 5 54   42 33 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 24% 3.10 21.00 S
MALICE TOWARD NONE 4 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 4 (troiani niccolo)ANAYA V 121 5.00 9.00  
YOUGOTTAWANTIT 6 3 1nk 2nk   55 5 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 4.50 3.10  
TICTALOODIE 5 6 6 69   613 625¼ (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 125 10.00 9% 10.30 22.20  
 
EMD-2   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG MAMA THORNTON 5 3 1nk 1½   12 1¾ (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50 16% 5.10 2.10 W
SQUARE FOOTAGE 4 1 4 42   22 2¾ (troiani niccolo)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00 2.10  
RED PANTY NIGHT 3 5 5 5   4 3 (bullene michael)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 19% 4.30 5.20 S
MY MOONDANCER 1 4 3.2 2½   32 44 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 2.80  
FLYIN BY 6 2 2nk 3½   5 5 (johnston kimberle)CRUZ M 122 4.50 25% 3.00 7.50  
BETE ROUGE 2 6 6 6   6 616 (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 122 15.00 59.90  
 
EMD-3   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:04
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T NO SISSY 3 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.50 39% 1.60 2.20 W
PEDAL TO THE METAL 1 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (boyd preston)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 1.00  
NIGHT TO REMEMBER 4 3 31 3.2   31 31 (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 3.60  
FIRST ENDEAVOR 2 4 4 4   4 45 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00 23% 3.40 4.30  
SCR  ABOVE THE REST               (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE PETE               (bullock steve)OROZCO E 121 2.00    
 
EMD-4   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN RULE 3 2 32 1nk   1nk 1hd (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 15.00 9.60  
OLYMPIC LEGEND 2 1 11 2nk   2nk 2hd (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 4.50 12% 7.30 1.50 P
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 1 3 21 3   33 32 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 4.50 66% 0.50 0.50 S
LOOSE BALL 4 4 47 4   48 410½ (cornier c)MATIAS J 125 12.00 11.50  
SCR  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY               (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.50    
SCR  EXECUTIVE ACTION               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.00    
 
EMD-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESERVOIR 6 1 63 3½   1½ 1½ (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 2.50 51% 1.00 1.10 W
MS FLASHY HARBOR 2 5 5 6   6 2½ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 3.00 2.00  
MARY WALKER 5 3 42 5   2½ 3 (markle dan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 4.80  
CRAZY ABOUT YOU 4 2 31 4¾   3½ 4 (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
LADY ATTA TUDE 1 6 2nk 2nk   4¾ 56 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 13.70  
ABOVE THE STARS 3 4 1nk 1nk   5¾ 6 (cryderman candice )ZUNINO L 121 4.00 24% 3.20 8.10  
 
EMD-6   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kent Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:214 :434 1:08     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALOHA BREEZE 2 3 11 1   15 1 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 0.40 33% 2.10 0.20 W
STEPUP 1 5 32 2   25 2 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 118 15.00 14% 6.00 19.00 P
JAMIES INHERITANCE 3 6 67 68   49 3 (essex charles)ZUNINO L 118 12.00 14.70  
DADS ESTRELLA 6 4 4 34   3 4 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00 4.40  
DRIVEWAY 4 1 54 5   512½ 5 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 118 30.00 35.20  
MISS DYNAMIC 5 2 21 45   614½ 634½ (velasquez rigob)VALDES ALEXIS 118 4.50 20% 4.10 12.50  
 
EMD-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
See original race card.
:214 :441 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY FOUL 1 5 1 13   14 1 (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 3.00 46% 1.20 3.60 W
FOSTER BOI 2 2 33 23   24 2 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 123 2.00 1.50  
MIRROR IMAGE 3 3 4 5   36 3 (garcia valenti)OROZCO E 123 12.00 6% 16.70 21.00 S
SAVILE ROW 5 1 5 4   4 45 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 24% 3.10 1.20  
RAAJIN RIBBON 4 4 2 3   5 5 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 8.00 9.20  
SCR  MR. FIREBALL               (simkins ro)AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00    
 
EMD-8   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Irish Day Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 8:19
See original race card.
:221 :434 1:081     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOVISCONNECTION 5 3 31 1nk   1nk 1¼ (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.20 55% 0.80 0.70 W
LLOYDS LOGIC 6 1 11 2nk   2nk 2¼ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 3.00 15% 5.80 2.10 P
JIN TONG 1 6 4 45   43 3 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 6.00 5.40  
ROYAL HALO 3 5 5 5   55 44 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
LANGSTON ROAD 2 4 21 3   3 55 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 119 5.00 12.80  
STEALING HEARTS 4 2 6 610¼   615 616¾ (conway la)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 20.00 35.10  
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM               (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00 8% 11.40    
 
EMD-9   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUMAC MOUNTAIN 4 3 1nk 11   13 1 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 5.00 6.70  
SENOR FABULOSO 2 5 5 5   4 2 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 3.50 14.30  
MILEYS BLUECAT 1 2 2nk 4   55 3 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 S
UNION BLISS 6 6 6 6   6 45 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 12.00 6.50  
HULA KING 5 4 4¼ 21   23 55 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
SIERRA MELODY 3 1 3.2 31   3 6 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 1.60 25% 2.90 2.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.