Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-2   DD (1/3/5)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-5 $10.80 $1.80 20%
EMD-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.40 $2.40 60%
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-5 $17.90 $11.90 198%
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-5-5 $18.65 $9.65 107%
EMD-6   EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
EMD-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.20 $3.20 53%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIKINI NATION   (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 26% 2.90 1.60 W
VANDULIE   (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 1.80 1.50  
NADITA   (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 24% 3.10 21.00 S
MALICE TOWARD NONE   (troiani niccol)ANAYA V 121 5.00 9.00  
YOUGOTTAWANTIT   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 4.50 3.10  
TICTALOODIE   (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 125 10.00 9% 10.30 22.20  
 
EMD-2   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG MAMA THORNTON   (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50 16% 5.10 2.10 W
SQUARE FOOTAGE   (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00 2.10  
RED PANTY NIGHT   (bullene michael)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 19% 4.30 5.20 S
MY MOONDANCER   (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 2.80  
FLYIN BY   (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 122 4.50 25% 3.00 7.50  
BETE ROUGE   (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 122 15.00 59.90  
 
EMD-3   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T NO SISSY   (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.50 39% 1.60 2.20 W
PEDAL TO THE METAL   (boyd preston)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 1.00  
NIGHT TO REMEMBER   (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 3.60  
FIRST ENDEAVOR   (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00 23% 3.40 4.30  
SCR  ABOVE THE REST   (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE PETE   (bullock stev)OROZCO E 121 2.00    
 
EMD-4   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN RULE   (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 15.00 9.60  
OLYMPIC LEGEND   (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 4.50 12% 7.30 1.50 P
ABRAAJ MIRAGE   (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 4.50 66% 0.50 0.50 S
LOOSE BALL   (cornier c)MATIAS J 125 12.00 11.50  
SCR  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY   (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.50    
SCR  EXECUTIVE ACTION   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.00    
 
EMD-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESERVOIR   (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 2.50 51% 1.00 1.10 W
MS FLASHY HARBOR   (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 3.00 2.00  
MARY WALKER   (markle dan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 4.80  
CRAZY ABOUT YOU   (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
LADY ATTA TUDE   (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 13.70  
ABOVE THE STARS   (cryderman candic)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 24% 3.20 8.10  
 
EMD-6   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kent Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALOHA BREEZE   (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 0.40 33% 2.10 0.20 W
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
STEPUP   (navarro jose)ANAYA V 118 15.00 14% 6.00 19.00 P
  (by UPSTART out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
JAMIES INHERITANCE   (essex charles)ZUNINO L 118 12.00 14.70  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
DADS ESTRELLA   (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00 4.40  
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
DRIVEWAY   (navarro jose)CRUZ M 118 30.00 35.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PRIVATE FORTUNE by PRIVATE GOLD)
MISS DYNAMIC   (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 118 4.50 20% 4.10 12.50  
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of MISS SALOME by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
EMD-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY FOUL   (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 3.00 46% 1.20 3.60 W
FOSTER BOI   (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 2.00 1.50  
MIRROR IMAGE   (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 12.00 6% 16.70 21.00 S
SAVILE ROW   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 24% 3.10 1.20  
RAAJIN RIBBON   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 8.00 9.20  
SCR  MR. FIREBALL   (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00    
 
EMD-8   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Irish Day Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 8:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOVISCONNECTION   (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.20 55% 0.80 0.70 W
  (by VRONSKY out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
LLOYDS LOGIC   (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 3.00 15% 5.80 2.10 P
  (by THE FACTOR out of LA GRANGE by CURLIN)
JIN TONG   (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 6.00 5.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EVER ADORED by FOREST WILDCAT)
ROYAL HALO   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SUNPENNY by GOOD REWARD)
LANGSTON ROAD   (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 5.00 12.80  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STORMY BELOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
STEALING HEARTS   (conway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 20.00 35.10  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM   (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00 8% 11.40    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of DOUBLE DIP by FRENCH ENVOY)
 
EMD-9   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUMAC MOUNTAIN   (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 5.00 6.70  
SENOR FABULOSO   (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 3.50 14.30  
MILEYS BLUECAT   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 S
UNION BLISS   (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 12.00 6.50  
HULA KING   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
SIERRA MELODY   (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 1.60 25% 2.90 2.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.