Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/3)-(1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
EMD-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/4)-(6/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/3/4)-(2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-5   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(2/5/1)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/5/3)-(6/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/7/4)-(1/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-8   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-9   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIKINI NATION Jul02 Jun17 May27 May12 Apr08 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
2  VANDULIE Jul02 Jun17 May28 May14   (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 1.80    
3  NADITA Sep18 Sep10 Jul15 Jun28 Jun21 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 24% 3.10    
4  MALICE TOWARD NONE Jun24         (troiani niccol)ANAYA V 121 5.00    
5  TICTALOODIE         (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 125 10.00 9% 10.30    
6  YOUGOTTAWANTIT         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 4.50    
 
EMD-2   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MOONDANCER Jul07 Jun04 May13 Apr01 Mar20 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 122 3.00    
2  BETE ROUGE Jul01 Jun17 Aug12 Jul04 Jun20 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 122 15.00    
3  RED PANTY NIGHT Jul03 Jun16 Jun03 May21 May06 (bullene michael)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  SQUARE FOOTAGE Jun18 May28 Apr05 Mar14 Feb25 (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00    
5  BIG MAMA THORNTON Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May14 Mar12 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
6  FLYIN BY Jun16 May21 Apr05 Feb25 Feb06 (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
EMD-3   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABOVE THE REST Jul03         (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
2  PEDAL TO THE METAL Jul03 Jun16 Sep02     (boyd preston)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00    
3  FIRST ENDEAVOR         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  UNCLE PETE Jun11 May27 May13 Aug28 Aug21 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 121 2.00    
5  AIN'T NO SISSY Jul03 Jun16 Sep02 Jun25 Jun10 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  NIGHT TO REMEMBER Jul03 Jun16       (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 3.50    
 
EMD-4   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jun23 Jun04 May20 Apr11 Mar20 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 4.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  EXECUTIVE ACTION Jun23 Jun04 May05 Apr26 Mar15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY May27 May06 Mar19 Feb08 Jan28 (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.50    
4  OLYMPIC LEGEND Jun25 Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr07 (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 4.50 12% 7.30    
5  WESTERN RULE Jun23 Jun04 May21 May06 Sep17 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 15.00    
6  LOOSE BALL Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun17 (cornier c)MATIAS J 125 12.00    
 
EMD-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ATTA TUDE Jul01 Jun10 Jan06 Dec02 Oct23 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
2  MS FLASHY HARBOR Jul02 May28 May14 Apr17 Mar26 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 3.00    
3  ABOVE THE STARS Jun25 Jun18 May27 May13 Mar12 (cryderman candic)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  CRAZY ABOUT YOU Jul01 Jun18 May28 Apr05 Aug25 (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARY WALKER Jun24 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 (markle dan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50    
6  RESERVOIR Jul01 Jun11 May14 Apr21 Feb03 (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
EMD-6   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kent Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPUP Jul02 Jun18 May28 May13 Aug19 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 118 15.00 14% 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  ALOHA BREEZE Jun18 May13 Dec21 Aug07 Jul10 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 0.40 33% 2.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
3  JAMIES INHERITANCE Jun18 May28 May14 Apr28 Apr01 (essex charles)ZUNINO L 118 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  DRIVEWAY Jul01 Jun11 May28 May13 Sep18 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 118 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PRIVATE FORTUNE by PRIVATE GOLD)
5  MISS DYNAMIC Jun18 May20 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of MISS SALOME by HARBOR THE GOLD)
6  DADS ESTRELLA Jul02 Jun11 May20 Apr22 Apr09 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
 
EMD-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY FOUL Jun23 Jun04 Mar03 Feb05 Jan15 (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  FOSTER BOI Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 May28 May14 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 2.00    
3  MIRROR IMAGE Jun25 Jun10 May21 Apr04 Mar05 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 12.00 6% 16.70    
4  RAAJIN RIBBON Jun24 Jun09 May21 May13 Apr17 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 8.00    
5  SAVILE ROW Jul09 Apr09 Feb17 Jan22 Dec17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 24% 3.10    
SCR  MR. FIREBALL Feb15 Feb03 Jan07     (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00    
 
EMD-8   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Irish Day Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 8:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIN TONG Jul02 Jun10 Jan01 Dec02 Nov04 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EVER ADORED by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  LANGSTON ROAD Jun25 May27 May14 Jan02 Nov27 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STORMY BELOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM Jun18 May14 Feb28     (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00 8% 11.40    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of DOUBLE DIP by FRENCH ENVOY)
4  ROYAL HALO Jun18 May27 May14 Mar25 Jul23 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SUNPENNY by GOOD REWARD)
5  STEALING HEARTS Jun25 Jun18 May21 May20 May14 (conway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
6  CLOVISCONNECTION Jun18 Apr30 Apr08 Mar17 Dec03 (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by VRONSKY out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
7  LLOYDS LOGIC Jun18 Sep18 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LA GRANGE by CURLIN)
 
EMD-9   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILEYS BLUECAT Jul01 Jun18 Jun09 May29 May20 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  SENOR FABULOSO Jul03 Jun24 Sep18 Sep09 Aug26 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 3.50    
3  SIERRA MELODY Jul03 Jun10 May28 May06 Apr15 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 1.60 25% 2.90    
4  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Mar08 Jan30 Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 5.00    
5  HULA KING Jul01 Jun24 Jun10 May28 May13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNION BLISS Jun17 Sep11 Aug26 Aug13 Jul17 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.