Handicappers' Race Results

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Miles City
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MC-2   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
MC-3   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
MC-4   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
MC-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00

Simulator Race results

 
MC-2   05/20/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
1:052         1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACEDANCER 3 1 1 1½   1 1 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 121 7.00 12% 7.70 4.10 W
STEALING HEARTS 1 3 2 32   33 2 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00 20% 3.90 3.90 P
CARRIZO SPRINGS 4 4 4 2½   2 3 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 1.60 31% 2.20 1.50 S
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 2 2 32 44   45 4 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 121 2.00 2.40  
PRIVATE TRAX 5 5 53 59   512 512¾ (dennis clif)IRONEYES R 121 5.00 5.20  
 
MC-3   05/20/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIPSY AT THE BAR 7 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 1½ (hanson de)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 1.60 53% 0.90 2.10 W
ABRAA JABRAA 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (birdrattler shaw)LUARK T 124 4.00 23% 3.30 2.70 P
UNTETHERED SOUL 3 2 4 45   4 3 (ducheneaux jamie)CALZADA ERIC 119 8.00 5.20 S
STERN 1 3 3 33   3 4 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 124 10.00 10.50  
MALIBU ROSE 2 7 76 79   69 5 (meineke jes)IRONEYES R 119 5.00 8.00  
MOLLYS CHALLENGE 6 6 54 57   5 610¼ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 3.50 3.80  
DECADENT DIAMOND 4 5 6 6   713 734¼ (laforge kirt)GERVAIS M 124 10.00 9.20  
 
MC-4   05/20/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
1:044         1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO CHARLIE 1 1 11 2nk   1nk 12 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 2.00 58% 0.70 1.60 W
HOLIDAY JOKE 4 2 3 3.2   2nk 22 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 124 1.60 20% 3.90 1.60 P
FRIENDOFTHECOURT 3 3 21 1nk   3½ 3 (ducheneaux jamie)ELLIS DEVON 124 5.00 2.00  
CO CO KID 2 4 4 410¼   412½ 436 (laforge kir)IRONEYES R 119 7.00 4.90  
 
MC-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PO BOY 1 4 2nk 1nk   1 1¼ (conway la)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00 35% 1.90 3.00 W
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW 4 7 7 4   32 2¼ (johnson a)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 3.20  
TALE OF A STORM 6 1 1nk 2nk   2 33 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 6.00 22% 3.50 4.50 S
HILL CROOME 7 2 6 77   510½ 4 (conway laur)IRONEYES R 121 8.00 11.70  
DANCE FOR RANSOM 5 6 5 31   4 5 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 126 2.50 3.40  
WARREN'S QUEEN BEE 3 3 3½ 52   611½ 625 (whiteman)BIRDRATTLER E 121 4.50 6.40  
AFTER THE CANDY 2 5 42 66   717½ 726¼ (birdrattler shawn)PINON DAVID 126 15.00 16% 5.20 5.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.