Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Miles City
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MC-2   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MC-3   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MC-4   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MC-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MC-2   05/20/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALING HEARTS May14 May06 Apr29 Jul28 Jul16 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00 20% 3.90    
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY May06 Mar25 Mar12 Mar05 Dec17 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 121 2.00    
PALACEDANCER May14 May07 May06 Apr21 Mar25 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 121 7.00 12% 7.70    
CARRIZO SPRINGS May14 May06 Mar26 Mar19 Mar06 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 1.60 31% 2.20    
PRIVATE TRAX May14 Apr30 Apr10     (dennis clif)IRONEYES R 121 5.00    
 
MC-3   05/20/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STERN May14 Apr02 Mar17 Feb12 Dec03 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 124 10.00    
MALIBU ROSE May14 May07 Oct02 Sep25 Jul30 (meineke jes)IRONEYES R 119 5.00    
UNTETHERED SOUL May14 Apr14 Apr02 Jun25 Jun18 (ducheneaux jamie)CALZADA ERIC 119 8.00    
DECADENT DIAMOND Jul16         (laforge kirt)GERVAIS M 124 10.00    
ABRAA JABRAA May07 Sep25 Sep10 Sep05 Jul31 (birdrattler shaw)LUARK T 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
MOLLYS CHALLENGE Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 Jun19   (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 3.50    
TIPSY AT THE BAR Jun26 May22 May08     (hanson de)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
 
MC-4   05/20/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO CHARLIE May14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
CO CO KID         (laforge kir)IRONEYES R 119 7.00    
FRIENDOFTHECOURT May12 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb22 (ducheneaux jamie)ELLIS DEVON 124 5.00    
HOLIDAY JOKE May14 May07 Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 124 1.60 20% 3.90    
 
MC-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PO BOY May14 May07 Apr29 Mar30 Mar12 (conway la)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00 35% 1.90    
AFTER THE CANDY May07 Feb19 Feb05 Jan12 Dec27 (birdrattler shawn)PINON DAVID 126 15.00 16% 5.20    
WARREN'S QUEEN BEE Mar05 Feb13 Dec18 Nov04 Oct10 (whiteman)BIRDRATTLER E 121 4.50    
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW May06 Nov20 Oct28 Aug28 Aug05 (johnson a)GERVAIS M 126 3.50    
DANCE FOR RANSOM May14 May07 May06 Apr22 Apr15 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 126 2.50    
TALE OF A STORM May13 Apr29 Apr15 Mar04 Feb17 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 6.00 22% 3.50    
HILL CROOME May14 May06 May21 May08   (conway laur)IRONEYES R 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.