The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Miles City
Saturday - May 21, 2022

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MC-1   05/21/2022 3465ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELIEVE IN PARTS 2 1 1 1½   11¼ (schindler kyle)WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.60 36% 1.80 1.30 W
EMMETT CAT 5 3 2 2½   22¼ (schindler jeff)BEETEM BRIAN 126 4.00 3.10 P
MAMMA RAMA 3 5 4 3   333 (smith b)ALAYA ERIC 121 2.00 20% 4.00 1.80 S
FLUSHING FLASH 1 4 5 5   4414 (crooked dale)BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00 11% 8.00 7.20  
DO DA DAN 4 2 3 4   512½ 527 (coleman michael)WHITE J 126 4.50 8.20  
 
MC-3   05/21/2022 3465ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE FOR RANSOM 1 2 1nk 1nk   16 1(ecoffey w)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.50 2.50  
ROYAL SEEKER 5 5 5 45   26 2(nelson buckshot)LARSEN S 126 2.00 54% 0.80 1.60 P
THREE RED SEVENS 2 4 31 33   49 314¼ (birdrattler harlan)PRECIADO A 126 8.00 9% 10.40 6.70 S
MITCHELL COUNTY 3 1 2nk 2nk   37 414¾ (coleman michael)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.00 9% 10.20 4.90  
SMACKFIRE 6 3 4 6   511 516¼ (lafferty duane)BEETEM BRIAN 121 2.50 5.20  
AUNT GAYLE 4 6 6 5   612 624½ (birdrattler harlan)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 121 7.00 6.50  
 
MC-5   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUS THE GREAT 4 2 1nk 15   16 111½ (ecoffey w)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 20% 4.00 1.20 W
EPIC ADVENTURE 5 1 2nk 25   26 211½ (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 4.50 11% 8.10 2.10 P
HILL CROOME 6 3 4 410½   310 316¾ (meineke jessica)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 12.00 9.90 S
XINGFU 2 5 5 511½   511½ 418 (crooked dale)BEETEM BRIAN 121 8.00 12.10  
GO GET THAT 1 4 33 310   411 519½ (schmitt bill)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00 20% 4.10 5.20  
OFF THE BOOKS 3 6 6 613½   613½ 621¼ (birdrattler harlan)WHITE J 126 10.00 5.00  
SCR  FANTASTRY (BRZ)               (lafferty duane)PRECIADO A 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  MOONLIGHT BLUE               (birdrattler harlan)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.