tbrs_res_20230506.mc.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Race Results

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Miles City
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager			Pick												Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay		Pay		Profit/
			Type			Numbers												Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit		Amt		Loss

MC-2			Win			(2/4/5)												3		$2.00	$6.00	1	1		0	$5.20		$0.00		-6.00
			Exacta			(2/4/5)-(2/4/5)												6		$0.20	$1.20	1-3	2		0	$15.00		$0.00		-1.20
MC-3			Win			(1/3)												2		$2.00	$4.00	1	1		1	$3.80		$3.80		-0.20
			Exacta			(1/3)-(1/3)												2		$2.00	$4.00	1-3	2		1	$10.60		$10.60		6.60
			Trifecta			NO BET												0		$2.00	$0.00	1-3-4	3		0	$37.20		$0.00		0.00
MC-4			Win			(2/4)												2		$2.00	$4.00	4	1		1	$8.60		$8.60		4.60
			Exacta			(2/4)-(2/4)												2		$2.00	$4.00	4-2	2		1	$5.60		$5.60		1.60
			Trifecta			NO BET												0		$2.00	$0.00	4-2-1	3		0	$77.80		$0.00		0.00
MC-5			Win			(1/2/5)												3		$2.00	$6.00	1	1		1	$7.60		$7.60		1.60
			Exacta			(1/2/5)-(1/2/5)												6		$2.00	$12.00	1-2	2		1	$14.40		$14.40		2.40
			Trifecta			(1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5)												6		$2.00	$12.00	1-2-4	3		0	$69.20		$0.00		-12.00
MC-8			Win			(1/2/6)												3		$2.00	$6.00	3	1		0	$38.80		$0.00		-6.00
			Exacta			(1/2/6)-(1/2/6)												6		$2.00	$12.00	3-1	2		0	$162.80		$0.00		-12.00
			Trifecta			(1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6)												6		$2.00	$12.00	3-1-6	3		0	$318.60		$0.00		-12.00

Simulator Race results


MC-2				05/06/2023	3465ft			DIRT			FAST				Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 3:25
	1:06⁴						1:06⁴				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
1	BUFFUM'S BEAUTY								1	1		2^½		2¹		2^½	1^1¼		(warren kayla)LARSEN S 119								2.50			1.60
3	PALACEDANCER								3	2		1^½		1¹		1^½	2^1¼		(ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 119								2.00			3.90
2	CARRIZO SPRINGS								2	3		4⁵		4⁶		4¹	3³		(nelson buck)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 122								7.00	28%	2.60	12.00	S
5	GEBO								5	5		3^4½		3⁵		3^½	4³		(warren ka)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124								4.00	17%	4.90	2.00
4	STEALING HEARTS								4	4		5¹⁵		5¹⁰⁰		5¹⁰⁰	5¹⁰⁰		(ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 122								5.00	9%	10.10	2.80

MC-3				05/06/2023	3465ft			DIRT			FAST				Claiming ($3.2K)									Purse ($5.5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 3:50
	1:08⁴						1:08⁴				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
1	GOTTA LOVE IKE								1	4		4^2½		3⁷		3⁷	1^3¼		(cross p)LARSEN S 126								3.00	24%	3.30	0.90	W
3	I'M LUCKY								3	3		3^2½		4^9½		4¹²	2^3¼		(ecoffey w)MORIN RYAN 126								3.50	24%	3.20	2.40	P
4	HILL CROOME								4	1		1^½		1¹		1⁴	3¹¹		(meineke j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126								1.60			6.30
2	NEW GOSPEL								2	2		2^½		2¹		2⁴	4¹⁸		(ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 126								2.00			2.00

MC-4				05/06/2023	3465ft			DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 4:15
	1:04¹						1:04¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	DANCE FOR RANSOM								4	2		1²		1^½		1³	1^3½		(ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 124								2.00	15%	5.60	3.30	W
2	SAN GIORGIO								2	1		2²		2^½		2³	2^3½		(warren kayla)LARSEN S 124								1.60	58%	0.70	0.70	P
1	FINDING SILVER								1	3		3^2½		3^3½		3⁶	3^7¾		(ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 124								3.00			3.10
3	GOLDEN TIGER								3	4		4^2½		4^5½		4¹⁴	4^18¼		(meineke j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124								3.50			3.70

MC-5				05/06/2023	1980ft			DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 4:40
	:31⁴						:31⁴				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
1	FIREFLOWER								1	1						1^½	1^1½		(meineke j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119								2.00	41%	1.50	2.80	W
2	PIERPONT								2	2						2^½	2^1½		(meineke jessica)PINON DAVID 124								5.00	16%	5.20	2.10	P
4	LONE SHOTGUN RIDER								4	3						3^1½	3^4¼		(ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 124								7.00			3.20
5	STONE SECRET								5	5						4^2½	4^5¼		(ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 124								4.00	14%	6.00	5.20
3	MIDNIGHT DRAMA								3	4						5^4½	5¹²		(warren kayla)JIMENEZ DAVID 124								2.50			2.50

MC-8				05/06/2023	3465ft			DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($6.5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 5:55
	1:05¹						1:05¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
3	THE BONDSMAN								3	2		1^½		1^nk		1^1½	1^1¼		(cross ken)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124								3.50			18.40
1	MAGIC IN A HAT								1	4		3^2½		3²		2^1½	2^1¼		(ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 119								4.00	13%	6.70	5.20	P
6	CIRCLE BACK								6	1		2^½		2^nk		3^1½	3^3¼		(ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 124								6.00	8%	11.60	9.50	S
5	ARBUCKLE OUTLAW								5	6		6⁸		6^8½		6^5¾	4^11¾		(johnson a)PINON DAVID 124								8.00			1.60
2	IMA CARPE DIEM								2	3		4^5½		5^6½		5^4¾	5^13¼		(warren kayla)LARSEN S 122								2.00	52%	0.90	1.40
4	NUMMY NUM								4	5		5⁷		4⁶		4^4½	6^16¼		(nelson buck)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 124								3.00			5.30



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

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