Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Miles City
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MC-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
MC-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
MC-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-8   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MC-2   05/06/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Mar25 Mar12 Mar05 Dec17 Dec03 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 119 2.50    
  (by BUFFUM out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
2  CARRIZO SPRINGS Mar26 Mar19 Mar06 Feb20 Feb02 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 122 7.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MASTERY out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
3  PALACEDANCER Apr21 Mar25 Mar18 Sep26 Aug21 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 119 2.00    
  (by PALACE out of DILLY'S DANCER by EDDINGTON)
4  STEALING HEARTS Apr29 Jul28 Jul16     (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
5  GEBO Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04 Dec17 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MC-3   05/06/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA LOVE IKE Sep18 Aug19 Jul03 Jun13 May15 (cross p)LARSEN S 126 3.00 24% 3.30    
2  NEW GOSPEL Apr02 Mar12 Feb17 Sep25 Sep11 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.00    
3  I'M LUCKY Apr21 Sep11 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  HILL CROOME May21 May08       (meineke )BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 1.60    
 
MC-4   05/06/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINDING SILVER Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 Dec16 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 124 3.00    
2  SAN GIORGIO Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Sep10 Jul31 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 124 1.60 58% 0.70    
3  GOLDEN TIGER Sep09 Sep04 Aug27 Jul31 Jul24 (meineke)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 3.50    
4  DANCE FOR RANSOM Apr22 Apr15 Apr01 Mar12 Mar04 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 124 2.00 15% 5.60    
 
MC-5   05/06/2023 1980ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREFLOWER Aug13 Jul23 May08     (meineke)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 2.00 41% 1.50    
2  PIERPONT Jul30 Jul23 Jun26 Jun12 Jun04 (meineke jessica)PINON DAVID 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
3  MIDNIGHT DRAMA Apr02 Mar11 Mar01 Feb12 Oct01 (warren kayla)JIMENEZ DAVID 124 2.50    
4  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER Apr21 Apr02 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 124 7.00    
5  STONE SECRET Jan26 Jan06       (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
MC-8   05/06/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC IN A HAT Apr14 Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 Sep29 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  IMA CARPE DIEM Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Feb02 Jan13 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  THE BONDSMAN Jun25 Jun11 May22 Apr08 Mar26 (cross k)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 3.50    
4  NUMMY NUM Mar25 Mar05 Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 124 3.00    
5  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW Nov20 Oct28 Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 (johnson robert )PINON DAVID 124 8.00    
6  CIRCLE BACK Apr15 Sep26 Sep13 Aug28 Aug02 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 124 6.00 8% 11.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.