Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Miles City
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MC-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $17.40 $11.40 190%
MC-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $7.00 $3.00 75%
MC-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.40 $2.40 40%
MC-9   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $18.80 $12.80 213%
Simulator Race results
 
MC-2   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 1 1½ 12   15 16 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 5.00 23% 3.40 7.70 W
  (by MASTERY out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
5  STEALING HEARTS 5 5 48 38   36 26 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.00 4.10  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
4  GEBO 4 3 512 59½   410 39 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.50 31% 2.20 2.50 S
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  PALACEDANCER 2 2 2½ 22   25 410½ (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 121 4.00 15% 5.80 2.40  
  (by PALACE out of DILLY'S DANCER by EDDINGTON)
3  TIK TOKER 3 4 36½ 48   512 514½ (johnson robert )GERVAIS M 126 7.00 1.60  
  (by STROLL out of TAPIT TIME by TAPIT)
 
MC-3   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:053         1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CIRCLE BACK 3 3 2nk 12   12½ 12 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 3.50 27% 2.70 2.50 W
2  NUMMY NUM 2 2 1nk 22   37½ 22 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 3.00 1.10  
4  QUEEN OF THE ICE 4 4 42¾ 36   22½ 38¾ (ducheneaux jami)GERVAIS M 121 2.00 3.90  
1  BIG CALI GIRL 1 1 32½ 46½   410½ 417¼ (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 121 1.60 34% 2.00 2.30  
 
MC-6   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAN GIORGIO 2 4 45½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 39% 1.50 1.30 W
4  IMA TROUBLE MAKER 4 1 1½ 2nk   2½ 2¾ (johnson robert )GERVAIS M 121 7.00 3.60  
1  HOLIDAY JOKE 1 3 3½ 31½   32½ 33¼ (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 4.00 14% 6.40 4.70 S
3  PO BOY 3 2 2½ 42   43 44 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50 1.30  
SCR  HANSENS MISCHIEF               (ducheneaux ja)TARASENCO P 126 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
MC-7   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:05         1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DANCE FOR RANSOM 6 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¾ (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 3.00 4.00  
4  LOST THE MINISTER 4 5 56½ 56   32 2¾ (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 3.50 ★ 1.70 P
5  MORO CHARLIE 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 31 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00 ★ 2.60 S
2  TEXAS LONG BOW 2 4 34 32   43½ 42 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 2.00 72% 0.40 3.50  
3  HILL CROOME 3 6 610½ 67½   55 54¼ (conway la)IRONEYES R 126 4.00 10.80  
1  GOLDEN TIGER 1 3 44½ 44   610 610 (meineke jessica)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 7.90  
 
MC-8   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:052         1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JOE G'S PAYBACK 2 1 12 12   16 13¾ (cross p)GERVAIS M 124 3.50 8% 11.30 3.20 W
6  MALIBU ROSE 4 4 48 48   26 23¾ (meineke j)IRONEYES R 124 6.00 3.30  
5  BLUEGRASS SOUL 3 2 22 22   36 34¾ (hanson)BIRDRATTLER E 124 3.00 24% 3.20 1.50 S
3  UNTETHERED SOUL 1 3 34 34   49 48 (ducheneaux jami)ELLIS DEVON 124 8.00 1.50  
SCR  GOODNIGHTSUGAR               (ecoffey w)DELORME L 124 4.00    
SCR  SWEET LADY LANA               (matt r)LARSEN S 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
MC-9   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
1:042         1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUR PETUNIA 4 3 13 13   14 13¼ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40 W
1  FIREFLOWER 1 2 33 33   34½ 23¼ (meineke j)IRONEYES R 124 4.00 5.40  
3  SASSY CAT 2 4 23 23   24 33¼ (johnson robert )GERVAIS M 124 1.60 1.10  
6  STERN 5 5 55½ 44½   410½ 410½ (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 124 10.00 10.50  
4  FLAMING INDY 3 1 44½ 55½   513½ 513½ (allery mark)MORIN RYAN 121 10.00 ★ 7.30  
7  HAYNESPUN 6 6 65¾ 65¾   614½ 614 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.20  
SCR  TIPSY AT THE BAR               (hanson debora)TARASENCO P 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
 
MC-10   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LADDIE BOY 4 5 42½ 32   1½ 12½ (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 3.50 11% 7.80 1.30 W
1  ALL FOR TRUTH 1 2 21½ 2nk   2½ 22½ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00 4.10  
3  ROSAT 2 1 11½ 1nk   3½ 33 (crooke)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00 4.20  
6  XTREME LYRA 5 4 56½ 55½   41½ 44¼ (schindler)IRONEYES R 126 3.00 22% 3.60 3.20  
4  STONE SECRET 3 3 32½ 45   55½ 528¼ (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00 4.00  
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE               (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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