Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Miles City
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MC-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
MC-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
MC-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
MC-7   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
MC-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
MC-9   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
MC-10   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MC-2   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARRIZO SPRINGS May06 Mar26 Mar19 Mar06 Feb20 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MASTERY out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
2  PALACEDANCER May07 May06 Apr21 Mar25 Mar18 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 121 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by PALACE out of DILLY'S DANCER by EDDINGTON)
3  TIK TOKER Jul31 Jul15 Jun10     (johnson robert )GERVAIS M 126 7.00    
  (by STROLL out of TAPIT TIME by TAPIT)
4  GEBO May06 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  STEALING HEARTS May06 Apr29 Jul28 Jul16   (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
 
MC-3   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CALI GIRL Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 Jul03 Jun17 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 121 1.60 34% 2.00    
2  NUMMY NUM May06 Mar25 Mar05 Feb25 Feb05 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 3.00    
3  CIRCLE BACK May06 Apr15 Sep26 Sep13 Aug28 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  QUEEN OF THE ICE Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 Sep26 Sep11 (ducheneaux jami)GERVAIS M 121 2.00    
 
MC-4   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 (ducheneaux ja)TARASENCO P 121 3.00    
2  MAGIC IN A HAT May07 May06 Apr14 Apr02 Mar26 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW May06 Nov20 Oct28 Aug28 Aug05 (johnson robert )GERVAIS M 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  SANDPLUM CREEK May07 Apr16 Apr02 Mar11 Feb25 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 121 1.60    
 
MC-6   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY JOKE May07 Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 Mar04 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 4.00 14% 6.40    
2  SAN GIORGIO May06 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Sep10 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 39% 1.50    
3  PO BOY May07 Apr29 Mar30 Mar12 Dec16 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50    
4  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Apr24 Apr05 Mar04 Feb09 Jan02 (johnson robert )GERVAIS M 121 7.00    
SCR  HANSENS MISCHIEF Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Mar19 (ducheneaux ja)TARASENCO P 126 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
MC-7   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN TIGER May06 Sep09 Sep04 Aug27 Jul31 (meineke jessica)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00    
2  TEXAS LONG BOW May07 Apr02 Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 (nelson bu)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 2.00 72% 0.40    
3  HILL CROOME May06 May21 May08     (conway la)IRONEYES R 126 4.00    
4  LOST THE MINISTER May07 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 3.50 ★    
5  MORO CHARLIE Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Oct03 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00 ★    
6  DANCE FOR RANSOM May07 May06 Apr22 Apr15 Apr01 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 3.00    
 
MC-8   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOODNIGHTSUGAR Apr14 Feb25 Feb11 Sep18 Sep10 (ecoffey w)DELORME L 124 4.00    
SCR  SWEET LADY LANA Feb25 Feb07 Jan09 Dec14 Nov21 (matt r)LARSEN S 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  UNTETHERED SOUL Apr14 Apr02 Jun25 Jun18 Jun11 (ducheneaux jami)ELLIS DEVON 124 8.00    
4  JOE G'S PAYBACK May07 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 May15 (cross p)GERVAIS M 124 3.50 8% 11.30    
5  BLUEGRASS SOUL Jun12 May22 May15     (hanson debora)TARASENCO P 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  MALIBU ROSE May07 Oct02 Sep25 Jul30 Jul23 (meineke j)IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
 
MC-9   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREFLOWER May06 Aug13 Jul23 May08   (meineke j)IRONEYES R 124 4.00    
SCR  TIPSY AT THE BAR Jun26 May22 May08     (hanson debora)TARASENCO P 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
3  SASSY CAT May07 Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 Feb07 (johnson robert )GERVAIS M 124 1.60    
4  FLAMING INDY Jul30 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26   (allery mark)MORIN RYAN 121 10.00 ★    
5  OUR PETUNIA Apr14 Apr02 Mar17 Mar10 Feb26 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STERN Apr02 Mar17 Feb12 Dec03 Nov13 (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 124 10.00    
7  HAYNESPUN May07 Apr01 Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
MC-10   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL FOR TRUTH Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00    
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE May02 Apr01 Feb19 Dec26 Nov30 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  ROSAT Mar19 Jan07 Dec11 Sep25 Aug20 (crooke)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00    
4  STONE SECRET May06 Jan26 Jan06     (ecoffey gilbert)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00    
5  LADDIE BOY May07 Apr21 Mar24 Mar12 Mar04 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 126 3.50 11% 7.80    
6  XTREME LYRA May07 Oct02 Sep24 Sep18 Sep04 (schindler)IRONEYES R 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.