Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
EMD-2   Win (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
EMD-3   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $11.00  
EMD-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
EMD-5   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
EMD-6   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
EMD-7   Win (3/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRE 3 4 4 43   2nk 1¼ (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 1.20 34% 1.90 1.50 W
IRON ROB 4 1 32 31   1nk 2¼ (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 17% 5.00 5.10 P
NATIONHEART 5 2 1 2nk   4 3 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 2.70  
MANAALABOUTDAMONEY 6 3 2 1nk   3.2 4 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 12.60  
RIVER ROSE 1 6 56 54   5 57 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 27% 2.70 3.00  
SMOKE AND BURN 2 5 68 65   6 6 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 123 15.00 17.00  
 
EMD-2   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:11 1:234   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYOFF BOUND 4 4 1 11 13 15 14 (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.00 36% 1.70 1.50 W
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 5 1 2 21 23 25 24 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00 6.80  
DYF 1 5 4 42 4 3 3 (silva-martinez)OROZCO E 125 2.50 28% 2.60 1.80 S
POPPY'S C NOTE 3 3 5 67 57 4 4 (madrigal elo)ORANTES R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
TWO PRINCES 6 6 76 56 610 611 510¼ (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 5.00 5.60  
PARTY FOR ONE 7 2 32 31 3 5 612¼ (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00 11% 7.80 18.50  
SECRET LIFE STYLE 2 7 6 79 713 713 714¼ (roberson don)CRUZ M 125 12.00 26.40  
 
EMD-3   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:01
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:264   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTE'S DIAMOND 1 1 1½ 11 1 1 1 (pierce l)ANAYA V 121 8.00 4.50  
BABY MARTINI 6 4 55 5 33 3 2 (navarro jose)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 8% 12.20 2.60 P
MALICE TOWARD NONE 7 7 4 3 2 2 34 (troiani niccolo)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 5.20  
FOREVER AMBER 3 5 65 6 6 5 412 (belvoir howard)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 5.50  
ZEVA DEE 4 3 2½ 21 43 47 514 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 2.50 19% 4.20 7.20  
SENSUOUS KITTY 5 2 3 43 5 611½ 622¼ (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.80 39% 1.50 2.50  
IN PLAIN SIGHT 2 6 78 79 715½ 721½ 738¼ (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 121 15.00 7% 13.10 43.00  
 
EMD-4   07/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-11:27
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101 1:371   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFFIRM CHIEF 3 6 6 6 34 22 1 (gabriel lu)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 27% 2.70 1.90 W
PROVOST 1 3 1nk 1nk 14 12 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 2.10  
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 2 1 2nk 2nk 4 38 311¼ (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00 9.30  
JEDI KNIGHT 6 2 4 5 5 59 415¾ (gabriel m)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 33% 2.00 4.70  
CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) 4 5 5 32 24 49 519¼ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 6.00 10% 8.60 9.80  
Y VEE R 5 4 3 43 6 614 630¾ (gilker robert)RADKE K 125 4.00 4.90  
 
EMD-5   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:53
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PESO 4 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.20 52% 0.90 0.60 W
HARBOR OUTLAW 5 2 31 3½   1nk 2¼ (jenne bonn)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 3.00  
TIG 3 3 1nk 1nk   3½ 3 (simkins rosie)RADKE K 123 12.00 11.60  
SMOKEN SHADOW 2 4 42 42   43 45 (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 15.00 8% 12.10 4.20  
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 1 5 57 55   54 5 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 125 8.00 18% 4.60 10.40  
SCR  PRIME EXAMPLE               (birdwell tena)OROZCO E 125 3.00    
 
EMD-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:19
See original race card.
:213 :441 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRT ROAD RED 3 4 3½ 42   21 1 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 2.00 48% 1.10 2.00 W
BRADY BOY 6 2 1nk 1½   11 2 (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 2.50 14% 6.10 2.20 P
COASTAL JAZZ 4 3 2nk 2½   3 3 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 8.80  
GOLD CRUSHER 2 6 5¾ 31   43 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 17% 5.00 1.80  
HOLIDAY HUSTLE 1 5 6 68   55 5 (belvoir howard)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00 17.70  
HARD TO DENY 5 1 4¾ 55   67 611¾ (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 12.00 18.30  
 
EMD-7   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :443 :571     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKS FLYIN 3 4 2 2   2 1hd (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.50 12% 7.20 3.20 W
SINGLE MERIT 4 2 1 1   1 2hd (van debbie)MONTALVO C 125 15.00 26.10  
TREASURE'S REALITY 7 1 65 3   3 36 (metz jeffr)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00 16% 5.30 3.10 S
FOYT 1 6 76 67   610½ 411¾ (pierce l)ANAYA V 125 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
LET GEORGE DO IT 2 7 55 56   4 513 (gabriel m)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30  
CASH'S CAT 6 5 4 45   510½ 613 (silva-martinez al)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00 21.70  
EXIT STAGE LEFT 5 3 34 77   711½ 715¼ (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 8.00 7.90  
SCR  HE'S A FLYIN               (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.