Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-3   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-5   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-6   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-7   Win (3/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER ROSE May29 Apr15 Mar25 Mar01 Feb16 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
SMOKE AND BURN Aug10 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 (van debbie)MATIAS J 123 15.00    
SPIRE Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May05 Apr25 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 1.20 34% 1.90    
IRON ROB Jul14 Jul03 Jun18 May29 Sep11 (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
NATIONHEART Jul08 Jul01 Jun18 May28 Sep04 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
MANAALABOUTDAMONEY Jul08 Jun25 May22 Mar18 Feb25 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 
EMD-2   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYF Jul14 Jun17 May29 Mar13 Aug21 (silva-martinez)OROZCO E 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
SECRET LIFE STYLE Jul14 Feb28 Nov01 Sep17 Apr09 (roberson don)CRUZ M 125 12.00    
POPPY'S C NOTE Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 Aug26 (madrigal elo)ORANTES R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYOFF BOUND Jul07 Jun17 Apr17 Mar28 Mar12 (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.00 36% 1.70    
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 Oct16 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00    
TWO PRINCES Jul07 Jun10 Feb20 Feb08 Jan31 (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 5.00    
PARTY FOR ONE Jul14 Jul01 Jun18 Jun10 Jul03 (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
EMD-3   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTE'S DIAMOND Jul14 May29 May14 Apr12 Mar27 (pierce l)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
IN PLAIN SIGHT Jul02         (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 121 15.00 7% 13.10    
FOREVER AMBER Jul07 May20 Sep17 Sep02 Jul31 (belvoir howard)MONTALVO C 121 10.00    
ZEVA DEE Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 May13 Jul02 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
SENSUOUS KITTY Jul14 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Mar27 (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.80 39% 1.50    
BABY MARTINI Jul21 Jul03       (navarro jose)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 8% 12.20    
MALICE TOWARD NONE Jul16 Jun24       (troiani niccolo)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00    
 
EMD-4   07/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-11:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVOST Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May28 May06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00    
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jun11 May20 Mar19 Feb27 Feb07 (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00    
AFFIRM CHIEF Jul02 May29 May20 May06 Apr01 (gabriel lu)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May20 Dec14 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
Y VEE R Jun18 May27 May14 Oct22 Oct02 (gilker robert)RADKE K 125 4.00    
JEDI KNIGHT Jul02 Jan27 Jan14 Nov19 Nov13 (gabriel m)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
EMD-5   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 Apr04 Mar18 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
SMOKEN SHADOW Jul09 Jan07 Dec14 Aug14 Jul31 (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 15.00 8% 12.10    
TIG Jul15 Jun17 May27 Sep11 Aug19 (simkins rosie)RADKE K 123 12.00    
PESO Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 May27 Aug18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.20 52% 0.90    
SCR  PRIME EXAMPLE Jul01 Jun03 May27 Apr12 Mar26 (birdwell tena)OROZCO E 125 3.00    
HARBOR OUTLAW Jul02 Jun09 Sep10 Sep02 Aug13 (jenne bonn)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50    
 
EMD-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY HUSTLE Jul08 Jun10 May21 Apr30 Apr02 (belvoir howard)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00    
GOLD CRUSHER Jul08 Jun23 Jun02 May01 Apr11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 17% 5.00    
DIRT ROAD RED Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May21 May06 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
COASTAL JAZZ Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May20 Sep17 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00    
HARD TO DENY Aug14 Jul02 Mar14 Jan05   (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 12.00    
BRADY BOY Jul09 May29 Apr17 Sep03 Aug21 (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
EMD-7   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'S A FLYIN Jul01 Jun04 Feb28 Feb16 Jan18 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00    
FOYT Jul09 May19 Apr08     (pierce l)ANAYA V 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
LET GEORGE DO IT Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 May28 May20 (gabriel m)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
SPARKS FLYIN Jun24 Jun04 May20     (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.50 12% 7.20    
SINGLE MERIT Apr14 Mar24       (van debbie)MONTALVO C 125 15.00    
EXIT STAGE LEFT Jul07 Jun16 Sep10 Aug13 Jul17 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 8.00    
CASH'S CAT Jul07 Jun24 May28 May05 Apr16 (silva-martinez al)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00    
TREASURE'S REALITY Jul09 Jun23       (metz jeffr)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00 16% 5.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.