The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Emerald Downs
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-2 2 1 $6.70 $6.70 0.70
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-2-1 3 1 $7.90 $7.90 4.90
EMD-2   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 1 $14.60 $14.60 8.60
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-3-2 3 0 $25.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-1 2 1 $16.30 $16.30 7.30
EMD-3   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2 2 0 $8.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-2-6 3 0 $11.25 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-3 2 0 $4.40 -9.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-5 2 1 $11.00 $11.00 2.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(1/3/5)-(1/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 4-1-3/5 3 1 $18.90 $18.90 5.40
EMD-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-1 2 0 $6.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-1-6 3 0 $16.90 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/5/6)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 5-3 2 1 $5.30 $5.30 -3.70
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(1/5/6)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-3/5-3 3 1 $11.00 $11.00 -2.50
EMD-5   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-6 2 0 $14.40 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-6-5 3 0 $110.15 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/5/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-2 2 1 $8.90 $8.90 -0.10
    Pick Three (1/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 3/5-3-2 3 1 $12.15 $12.15 -1.35
EMD-6   Win (2/3/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $4.80 -10.00
    Exacta (2/3/5/8/9)-(2/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-4 2 0 $17.10 -20.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5/8/9)-(2/3/5/8/9)-(2/3/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 1-4-2 3 0 $52.25 -30.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-1 2 0 $10.70 -15.00
    Pick Three (3/5/6)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5/8/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 3-2-1 3 0 $13.00 -22.50
EMD-7   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
    Exacta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-5 2 1 $10.20 $10.20 -1.80
    Trifecta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-5-3 3 1 $15.90 $15.90 3.90
    Daily Double (2/3/5/8/9)-(1/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-1 2 0 $11.60 -20.00
    Pick Three (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/8/9)-(1/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 2-1-1 3 0 $29.15 -30.00

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
:224 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF STARS 4 1 2 2nk   2nk 1(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 19% 4.30 2.10 W
PERCY'S SIS 2 4 1 1nk   1nk 2(bullock steve)CRUZ M 125 1.80 56% 0.80 1.20 P
GOIN' COASTAL 1 5 42 4   333 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00 9.20 S
BABY MARTINI 3 3 5 5   44(navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00 15.90  
FLYING SYLVIA 5 2 3 3.2   5510 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 2.80  
 
EMD-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
:22 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAT SEEKING LETA 1 5 4 44   2½ 13 (dronen sam)RADKE K 125 3.00 22% 3.60 2.50 W
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 3 4 57 56   43 23 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 17% 4.70 5.70 P
BELLS AND WHISTLES 2 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 3(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 5.00 2.40  
ROLINGA 4 1 32 3   34(gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.90 1.80  
CONFIDENCE BUILDER 5 3 2nk 2nk   53 511 (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.50 6.80  
SCR  GOLD ROSE               (pirone e)ZUNINO L 125 10.00    
 
EMD-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
:224 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURPLE NIGHT 4 2 11 11   11 1(metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.40 31% 2.20 1.00 W
MIST OONA B 2 4 4 3   21 2(toye joe)ANAYA V 123 1.80 4.00  
SHESRSECRETWEAPON 5 3 21 21   33(jenne bonnie)CRUZ M 121 3.50 20% 3.90 5.60 S
GUNNHILD 3 1 31 4   44 47 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 6.00 4.20  
DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 1 5 53 5   5512 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 15% 5.70 5.30  
SCR  LONSDALEITE               (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 123 20.00    
 
EMD-4   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
:22 :443 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTARANDO 3 1 2 2½   11 12 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 123 1.80 51% 1.00 1.30 W
SHEMAKESCENTS 1 5 3 5   31 22 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 3.00  
DANIELLE'S SECRET 6 3 1 1½   21 37 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.00 19% 4.20 3.60 S
RODEO ROSE 4 4 4 32   448 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 15.00 12.90  
SPANISH CHANNEL 5 2 5 4   53 5(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 7% 12.80 4.60  
DONTFORGETHESUGAR 2 6 6 6   66(cryderman cand)OROZCO E 125 6.00 15.90  
SCR  MOSCOW LADY               (cryderman candic)ENRIQUEZ D 125 12.00    
 
EMD-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:44
:24 :474 1:114 1:24   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 2 6 43 4 31 2nk 12 (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 3.50 37% 1.70 2.20 W
SHERILINDA 6 3 3 2 21 3.2 22 (mccanna tim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 3.00  
BRILLIANT BIRD 5 2 11 1 11 1nk 3(bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
IN THE RED 1 4 21 32 4 44(pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 2.40  
EMERALD SEA 4 1 55 5 5 55(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 6.30  
MS LYNN 3 5 6 65 6 66(bullock steve)CRUZ M 123 6.00 37% 1.70 6.40  
 
EMD-6   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
:214 :44 1:093     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPOLETANO 1 7 6 6   41¼ (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 1.40  
ICE TOWER 4 5 5 2   1nk 2¼ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00 11.10  
TIME 'ER TOO 2 8 7 4   31 3(cooper kay)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90 S
REIGN OF SPEED 9 2 3½ 3   54(alvarez sergi)ORTIZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
SARGENT KLINE 6 1 8 8   65(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00 8.60  
MISTER MAFIOSO 7 9 1nk 1   2nk 6(patino faustino)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 8.70  
ICE NEEDS WHISKEY 5 3 2nk 54   77(cooper kay)RADKE K 123 4.00 59% 0.70 2.60  
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW 3 6 911¾ 912¾   911¼ 89 (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
CONTEJAS 8 4 4¾ 7   89(cryderman cand)OROZCO E 119 8.00 6% 15.50 24.30  
 
EMD-7   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
:214 :444 :572     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY BRETT 1 5 12 14   13 12 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 17% 4.80 3.40 W
MISS ACCELERATE 4 2 22 24   23 22 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 1.80 49% 1.00 1.90 P
I AM YOURS 2 7 7 6   43(dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
SETTLER'S COVE 7 3 4 4   34(belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 20.00 24.30  
AWESOME DAZE 5 1 6 5   65(martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 4.70  
DAREDEVIL PRINCESS 6 4 32 34   56(gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 3.60  
PHOENICIAN MAGIC 3 6 5 7   710½ 712 (ramnarine larry)ANAYA V 121 15.00 13% 6.90 23.50  
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA               (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.