Handicappers' Race Results
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Emerald Downs
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
EMD-1   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
EMD-2   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
EMD-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
EMD-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
EMD-5   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
EMD-6   Win (5/8/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $4.80  
EMD-7   Win (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OUT OF STARS 4 1 21½ 2nk   2nk 11¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 19% 4.30 2.10 W
2  PERCY'S SIS 2 4 11½ 1nk   1nk 21¼ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 125 1.80 56% 0.80 1.20 P
1  GOIN' COASTAL 1 5 42 41¾   31½ 33 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00 9.20 S
3  BABY MARTINI 3 3 52¼ 51¾   43½ 48¼ (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00 15.90  
5  FLYING SYLVIA 5 2 31½ 3.2   53¾ 510 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 2.80  
 
EMD-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAT SEEKING LETA 1 5 45½ 44   2½ 13 (dronen sam)RADKE K 125 3.00 22% 3.60 2.50 W
3  WARREN'S MEMORABLE 3 4 57 56   43 23 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 17% 4.70 5.70 P
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES 2 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 33¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 5.00 2.40  
5  ROLINGA 4 1 32 32½   31½ 44½ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.90 1.80  
6  CONFIDENCE BUILDER 5 3 2nk 2nk   53 511 (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.50 6.80  
SCR  GOLD ROSE               (pirone e)ZUNINO L 125 10.00    
 
EMD-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PURPLE NIGHT 4 2 11 11   11 11¼ (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.40 31% 2.20 1.00 W
2  MIST OONA B 2 4 41½ 31½   21 21¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 1.80 4.00  
6  SHESRSECRETWEAPON 5 3 21 21   32½ 33¾ (jenne bonnie)CRUZ M 121 3.50 20% 3.90 5.60 S
4  GUNNHILD 3 1 31 42½   44 47 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 6.00 4.20  
1  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 1 5 53 52½   54½ 512 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 15% 5.70 5.30  
SCR  LONSDALEITE               (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 123 20.00    
 
EMD-4   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COASTARANDO 3 1 21½ 2½   11 12 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 123 1.80 51% 1.00 1.30 W
1  SHEMAKESCENTS 1 5 31½ 52½   31 22 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 3.00  
6  DANIELLE'S SECRET 6 3 11½ 1½   21 37 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.00 19% 4.20 3.60 S
4  RODEO ROSE 4 4 41¾ 32   42½ 48 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 15.00 12.90  
5  SPANISH CHANNEL 5 2 52¼ 42½   53 58¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 7% 12.80 4.60  
2  DONTFORGETHESUGAR 2 6 64¾ 64½   64½ 68½ (cryderman cand)OROZCO E 125 6.00 15.90  
SCR  MOSCOW LADY               (cryderman candic)ENRIQUEZ D 125 12.00    
 
EMD-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:44
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:114 1:24   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 2 6 43 43½ 31 2nk 12 (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 3.50 37% 1.70 2.20 W
6  SHERILINDA 6 3 31½ 21½ 21 3.2 22 (mccanna tim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 3.00  
5  BRILLIANT BIRD 5 2 11 11½ 11 1nk 34¼ (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
1  IN THE RED 1 4 21 32 42½ 41¾ 44½ (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 2.40  
4  EMERALD SEA 4 1 55 54½ 53½ 53¾ 57¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 6.30  
3  MS LYNN 3 5 65½ 65 65½ 64¾ 68½ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 123 6.00 37% 1.70 6.40  
 
EMD-6   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:214 :44 1:093     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPOLETANO 1 7 63¾ 64¼   41¼ 1¼ (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 1.40  
4  ICE TOWER 4 5 51¾ 21½   1nk 2¼ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00 11.10  
2  TIME 'ER TOO 2 8 73¾ 42½   31 32¼ (cooper kay)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90 S
9  REIGN OF SPEED 9 2 3½ 31½   51¾ 44¼ (alvarez sergi)ORTIZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
6  SARGENT KLINE 6 1 89¾ 87¾   64¾ 54¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00 8.60  
7  MISTER MAFIOSO 7 9 1nk 11½   2nk 64½ (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 8.70  
5  ICE NEEDS WHISKEY 5 3 2nk 54   75¾ 78½ (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 4.00 59% 0.70 2.60  
3  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW 3 6 911¾ 912¾   911¼ 89 (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
8  CONTEJAS 8 4 4¾ 75¾   89¼ 99¼ (cryderman cand)OROZCO E 119 8.00 6% 15.50 24.30  
 
EMD-7   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY BRETT 1 5 12 14   13 12 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 17% 4.80 3.40 W
5  MISS ACCELERATE 4 2 22 24   23 22 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 1.80 49% 1.00 1.90 P
3  I AM YOURS 2 7 77¾ 67¼   45½ 32¼ (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
8  SETTLER'S COVE 7 3 42¼ 44¼   35½ 45½ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 20.00 24.30  
6  AWESOME DAZE 5 1 65¾ 56¾   67½ 57¼ (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 4.70  
7  DAREDEVIL PRINCESS 6 4 32 34   56½ 67½ (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 3.60  
4  PHOENICIAN MAGIC 3 6 54¼ 79¼   710½ 712 (ramnarine larry)ANAYA V 121 15.00 13% 6.90 23.50  
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA               (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.