Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $6.70 $0.70 12%
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-2-1 $7.90 $4.90 163%
EMD-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $14.60 $8.60 143%
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-1 $16.30 $7.30 81%
EMD-3   DD (5/1/3)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-5 $11.00 $2.00 22%
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/1/3)-(5/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50  4-1-3/5 $18.90 $5.40 40%
EMD-7   WIN (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    TRI (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-3 $15.90 $3.90 33%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF STARS   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 19% 4.30 2.10 W
PERCY'S SIS   (bullock steve)CRUZ M 125 1.80 56% 0.80 1.20 P
GOIN' COASTAL   (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00 9.20 S
BABY MARTINI   (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00 15.90  
FLYING SYLVIA   (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 2.80  
 
EMD-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAT SEEKING LETA   (dronen sam)RADKE K 125 3.00 22% 3.60 2.50 W
WARREN'S MEMORABLE   (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 17% 4.70 5.70 P
BELLS AND WHISTLES   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 5.00 2.40  
ROLINGA   (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.90 1.80  
CONFIDENCE BUILDER   (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.50 6.80  
SCR  GOLD ROSE   (pirone e)ZUNINO L 125 10.00    
 
EMD-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURPLE NIGHT   (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.40 31% 2.20 1.00 W
MIST OONA B   (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 1.80 4.00  
SHESRSECRETWEAPON   (jenne bonnie)CRUZ M 121 3.50 20% 3.90 5.60 S
GUNNHILD   (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 6.00 4.20  
DRINKUP BUTTERCUP   (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 15% 5.70 5.30  
SCR  LONSDALEITE   (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 20.00    
 
EMD-4   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTARANDO   (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 1.80 51% 1.00 1.30 W
SHEMAKESCENTS   (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 3.00  
DANIELLE'S SECRET   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.00 19% 4.20 3.60 S
RODEO ROSE   (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 15.00 12.90  
SPANISH CHANNEL   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 7% 12.80 4.60  
DONTFORGETHESUGAR   (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 125 6.00 15.90  
SCR  MOSCOW LADY   (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 12.00    
 
EMD-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS   (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 3.50 37% 1.70 2.20 W
SHERILINDA   (mccanna tim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 3.00  
BRILLIANT BIRD   (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
IN THE RED   (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 2.40  
EMERALD SEA   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 6.30  
MS LYNN   (bullock steve)CRUZ M 123 6.00 37% 1.70 6.40  
 
EMD-6   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPOLETANO   (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 1.40  
ICE TOWER   (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00 11.10  
TIME 'ER TOO   (cooper kay)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90 S
REIGN OF SPEED   (alvarez ser)ORTIZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
SARGENT KLINE   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00 8.60  
MISTER MAFIOSO   (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 8.70  
ICE NEEDS WHISKEY   (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 4.00 59% 0.70 2.60  
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW   (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
CONTEJAS   (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 119 8.00 6% 15.50 24.30  
 
EMD-7   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY BRETT   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 17% 4.80 3.40 W
MISS ACCELERATE   (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 1.80 49% 1.00 1.90 P
I AM YOURS   (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
SETTLER'S COVE   (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 20.00 24.30  
AWESOME DAZE   (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 4.70  
DAREDEVIL PRINCESS   (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 3.60  
PHOENICIAN MAGIC   (ramnarine larr)ANAYA V 121 15.00 13% 6.90 23.50  
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA   (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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