Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-5   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-6   Win (5/8/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EMD-7   Win (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOIN' COASTAL Jun24 Jun11 May28 Sep17 Aug28 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
PERCY'S SIS Jul03 Jun11 Jun26 Jun05 May22 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 125 1.80 56% 0.80    
BABY MARTINI Jul03         (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
OUT OF STARS Sep17 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17   (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
FLYING SYLVIA Jul03 Jun10 May21 Nov24 Oct30 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50    
 
EMD-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAT SEEKING LETA Jul07 Jun23 May28 Feb26 Feb10 (dronen sam)RADKE K 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
BELLS AND WHISTLES Jun24 Jun18 May14 Apr18 Mar29 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 5.00    
WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jul03 Jun10 May28 May14 Apr19 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  GOLD ROSE Jun24 Sep11 Sep03 Feb28 Jan25 (pirone e)ZUNINO L 125 10.00    
ROLINGA Jun18 Apr29 Apr03 Mar05 Feb19 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.90    
CONFIDENCE BUILDER Jul02 Jun11 May27 May06 Sep18 (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.50    
 
EMD-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jun17 Jun03 May27 May14 Apr16 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 15% 5.70    
MIST OONA B May29 Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Feb14 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 1.80    
SCR  LONSDALEITE Jul09 Jun18 Oct15 Oct08 Sep03 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 123 20.00    
GUNNHILD Jul07 Jun16 May29 May13 Sep17 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 6.00    
PURPLE NIGHT Jul09 Jul01 Jun18 May29 Feb25 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.40 31% 2.20    
SHESRSECRETWEAPON Jul08 Jun11 May28 May14 Aug19 (jenne bonnie)CRUZ M 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
EMD-4   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEMAKESCENTS Jun25 Jun10 May29 May13 Apr23 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50    
DONTFORGETHESUGAR Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 May13 Sep10 (cryderman cand)OROZCO E 125 6.00    
COASTARANDO Jun25 May28 Dec04 Nov11 Sep30 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 123 1.80 51% 1.00    
RODEO ROSE Jul07 Jun10 May28 Mar18 Feb28 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 15.00    
SPANISH CHANNEL Jul07 May28 Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 7% 12.80    
DANIELLE'S SECRET Jun18 May13 Apr08 Feb19 Jan29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MOSCOW LADY Jun25 Jun17 May29 Sep10 Aug27 (cryderman candic)ENRIQUEZ D 125 12.00    
 
EMD-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE RED Jul03 May20 Mar29 Mar11 Jan28 (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00    
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jul03 Jun16 Jun04 May21 Apr01 (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
MS LYNN Jul02 Jun09 May20 Sep18 Aug19 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 123 6.00 37% 1.70    
EMERALD SEA Jul03 Jun09 May27 Sep18 Aug14 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
BRILLIANT BIRD Jul02 Jun17 May27 Oct16 Sep18 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHERILINDA Jun11 May12 Apr09 Mar09 Mar03 (mccanna tim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50    
 
EMD-6   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPOLETANO Jun10 May27 Sep11 Sep03 Aug14 (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50    
TIME 'ER TOO Jun23 May27 May13 Sep18 Aug28 (cooper kay)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Jul03 Jun23 Jun03 May06 Apr16 (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
ICE TOWER Jun25 May27 May14 Sep18 Sep04 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 12.00    
ICE NEEDS WHISKEY Jul02 May13 Jun04     (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 4.00 59% 0.70    
SARGENT KLINE Jul03 Jun11 May28 May13 Apr11 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00    
MISTER MAFIOSO Jul03 Jun17 May27 Apr03 Mar07 (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 121 6.00    
CONTEJAS Jul02 Jun17 Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 (cryderman cand)OROZCO E 119 8.00 6% 15.50    
REIGN OF SPEED Jun17 Jun04 May13 Jan05 Nov07 (alvarez sergi)ORTIZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-7   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY BRETT Nov04 Oct21 Sep23 Sep04 Jul10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA Jun24 May29 May13 Aug28 Jul10 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
I AM YOURS Jun24 Jun03 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
PHOENICIAN MAGIC Mar26 Mar07 Feb20 Feb04 Jan03 (ramnarine larry)ANAYA V 121 15.00 13% 6.90    
MISS ACCELERATE Jul08 Jun24 May27 May14 Mar24 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
AWESOME DAZE Jul09 Jul01 Jun17 May29 Sep09 (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00    
DAREDEVIL PRINCESS Jul01 May21 Apr07 Mar24 Feb18 (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50    
SETTLER'S COVE Jul02 Jun11 May28 May14 Sep17 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.