Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-3   WIN (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $17.60 $9.60 120%
    EXA (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $39.10 $27.10 226%
    TRI (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-8 $84.65 $72.65 605%
    SFT (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-5-8-7 $57.27 $54.87 2286%
EMD-5   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $17.20 $9.20 115%
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $66.40 $54.40 453%
EMD-6   DD (2/4/7/3)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-7 $21.80 $9.80 82%
EMD-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $14.00 $8.00 133%
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $27.20 $21.20 353%
EMD-9   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $21.00 $13.00 163%
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $63.70 $51.70 431%
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-3-5 $211.85 $199.85 1665%
    SFT (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-3-5-1 $88.70 $86.30 3596%
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $65.10 $53.10 443%
EMD-10   DD (1/6/5/3)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $45.50 $33.50 279%
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-6-1 $172.20 $154.20 857%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-3   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 6:32
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIMROCK LAKE 3 3 32 3.2   11 1 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.80 W
CHESHIRE KID 4 1 1½ 1nk   32 2 (wisdom anne)RADKE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40 P
DIGITAL SOLDIER 7 2 2½ 2nk   21 3 (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 2.50 24% 3.30 1.30 S
WELL IMAGINE THAT 6 6 6 6   54 46 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.00 51% 1.00 2.60  
GENERAL CROOK 2 5 54 5   44 5 (kereluk edward)ANAYA V 120 6.00 10.50  
CONRAD MEADOWS 5 7 710¼ 7   66 68 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 15.00 10.10  
CONNECTER 1 4 42 4   7 714½ (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00 19.50  
SCR  VICTOR ALY               (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 4.50    
 
EMD-4   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTORNEY LOUIS 3 1 63 64   42 1¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 5.00 11.70  
NORTHERN BLEND 2 7 5 5   32 2¼ (dronen sam)CRUZ M 123 8.00 15.70  
DIRT ROAD DOLLARS 7 3 42 3   2½ 3 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 17% 5.00 3.10 S
ROYAL CANDY 1 8 2½ 11   1½ 4 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 10% 8.70 1.20  
PHILIPIE FAST 5 4 3 4   5 5 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 15.00 11.10  
SENOR FABULOSO 6 6 810 8   7 6 (raudales jose)RADKE K 123 1.80 35% 1.90 4.90  
RAMPATIOUS 8 2 1½ 21   64 7 (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00 10% 9.00 15.00  
CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU 4 5 77 77   8 8 (bean rober)ORANTES R 114 30.00 22.10  
 
EMD-5   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE HAD A SECRET 7 7 41 3.2   2½ 1½ (roberson don)NEGRON LUIS 125 8.00 5% 17.90 7.60 W
LIBBY'S GAMBIT 2 6 5 4   41 2½ (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 3.50 47% 1.10 5.50 P
POCKET KNIFE 6 5 7 5   52 3½ (carlson a)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 14.00  
DRAGON WORKS 3 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 41 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 5% 17.90 2.70  
CHROME'S BEST COPY 4 1 31 2nk   3½ 54 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 4.00 21% 3.70 2.10  
EVA MAXINE 5 3 6 7   65 67 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 12.00 7.20  
ANOTHER TEN 1 4 1½ 6   76 710¾ (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 5.20  
SCR  SENSIBLE LUTE               (simkins rosie)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50    
 
EMD-6   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY SMOOCHES 5 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 1.80 59% 0.70 1.40 W
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 1 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 14% 6.20 0.70 P
HADLEES HONOR 3 1 4 4   3 3 (van debbie)MONTALVO C 121 4.50 7.50  
LARSEN BAY 2 3 5 5   5 4 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 15.00 18.50  
DEVILS WORKSHOP 4 5 3 3   4 5 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 123 30.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
SCR  LIE AND DENY               (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC LEGEND               (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 2.50    
 
EMD-7   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 5 6 6 5   4 1 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 13.70  
CANDIED LUTE 6 3 2nk 11   1 2 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 122 3.50 47% 1.10 3.20 P
FRANKS FIX IT 1 5 31 4   2 3 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 2.50 0.90  
ARTHUR SPOONER 2 1 5 31   32 4 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00 16% 5.40 4.60  
MAMACALLMEBOO 4 4 1nk 21   6 516 (pierce michael)ANAYA V 122 10.00 9% 10.20 9.40  
PICK YOUR BID 3 2 4 6   5 616 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 122 5.00 10.00  
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN               (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.00    
 
EMD-8   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAFFODIL SWEET 2 5 64 63   41 1¼ (allen marshall)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00 45% 1.20 6.00 W
SILVERY ORB 4 2 4 52   3½ 2¼ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 4.00 10% 8.80 1.60 P
STEPUP 6 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 3 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 121 5.00 5.30  
IN THE VAULT 1 3 32 4   5 4 (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 9.60  
YOU GO GIRL 3 4 2½ 1nk   6 5 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 123 3.50 5.60  
MISS BELLA 5 6 5 3½   1nk 6 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.00 23% 3.40 2.60  
 
EMD-9   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. FIREBALL 6 1 1½ 12   13 12 (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 22% 3.40 9.50 W
MOSQUITO FLEET 3 4 4 4   23 22 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 125 8.00 12% 7.70 2.90 P
TRIBAL IMPACT 5 6 32 33   3 37 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 123 4.00 12% 7.10 6.00 S
HEY SEQUOIA 1 5 6 6   5 49 (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.00 23% 3.30 4.40  
FOSTER BOI 7 2 2½ 22   4 510¾ (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 2.00 1.80  
HYDROGEN 2 3 7 710   710¾ 612¾ (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ 123 15.00 10.10  
SPROSTON 4 7 5 5   6 713 (nunnally jennif)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 11.60  
 
EMD-10   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:48
See original race card.
:22 :451 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POVERTY BAY 1 3 2 1nk   1 1 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 2.50 46% 1.20 1.20 W
FIREWALKER 2 2 3 3   32 2 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 5.00 6.20  
NAVAL ESCORT 4 4 44 6   44 3 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.00 11% 8.30 2.70 S
COMPANY'S DREAM 6 1 1 2nk   2 4 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 3.50 21% 3.90 3.70  
VORPAL 5 5 54 4   55 5 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 10.40  
MANGIA PANE 3 6 6 5   6 69 (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00 18.80  
SCR  WIREWYRE               (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
 
EMD-11   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:16
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLES AND SPURS 1 6 3 2   2½ 1¼ (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 3.50  
CALIFORNIA HALO 2 3 1 1   1½ 2¼ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 4.00 22% 3.60 1.70 P
VANDULIE 6 1 44 3   32 3¾ (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 6.00 3.40  
PISTA GIRL 4 4 5 5   44 4 (martinez dav)OROZCO E 121 12.00 9.90  
AUNT NOREEN 3 2 2 4   56 57 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.00 43% 1.30 3.30  
NOW SAY SO 5 5 6 6   68 610½ (patino fausti)VALDES ALEXIS 125 20.00 5% 17.60 14.20  
SCR  A STORM TOO SOON               (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
SCR  MY YVONNE               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50    
SCR  NADITA               (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.