Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-3   WIN (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/5/4)-(6/7/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/4)-(6/7/1/8)-(2/4/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/8)-(2/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/8)-(2/4/7/3)-(7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/3)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(7/2/5)-(2/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-7   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(2/5/4)-(1/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-9   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/3)-(1/7/5)-(4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-10   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-11   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-3   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VICTOR ALY Jul09         (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 4.50    
2  CONNECTER Jul09 Jun25       (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00    
3  GENERAL CROOK Jun18 May06 Apr15     (kereluk edward)ANAYA V 120 6.00    
4  RIMROCK LAKE         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHESHIRE KID Jul09 Jun18       (wisdom anne)RADKE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CONRAD MEADOWS Jul09         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
7  WELL IMAGINE THAT Jul09         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
8  DIGITAL SOLDIER Jul09         (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 2.50 24% 3.30    
 
EMD-4   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CANDY Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 May27 Nov30 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 10% 8.70    
2  NORTHERN BLEND Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May27 Sep04 (dronen sam)CRUZ M 123 8.00    
3  ATTORNEY LOUIS Jul23 Jun11 Jun04 May13 Apr17 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 5.00    
4  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU Jul15 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May20 (bean rober)ORANTES R 114 30.00    
5  PHILIPIE FAST Jul09 Jun11 May28 Apr03 Mar06 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 15.00    
6  SENOR FABULOSO Jul16 Jul03 Jun24 Sep18 Sep09 (raudales jose)RADKE K 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
7  DIRT ROAD DOLLARS Jul09 Jun04 Dec22 Nov14 Oct22 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
8  RAMPATIOUS Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May28 (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00 10% 9.00    
 
EMD-5   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER TEN Jul07 May29 Apr04 Mar05 Feb01 (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50    
2  LIBBY'S GAMBIT         (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  DRAGON WORKS Jul03         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 5% 17.90    
4  CHROME'S BEST COPY Jul07 Jun24 Jun02 Apr16 Mar25 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  EVA MAXINE Jul14         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
6  POCKET KNIFE Jul14 Jun11 May14 Sep11   (carlson a)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
7  SHE HAD A SECRET Jul23 Jul03 May21 Apr29 Apr16 (roberson don)NEGRON LUIS 125 8.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  SENSIBLE LUTE Jul03 Jun03 May20     (simkins rosie)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50    
 
EMD-6   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIE AND DENY Jul09 Jan24 Dec22 Nov09 Sep11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00    
2  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 May20 Apr11 (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  LARSEN BAY Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May21 Sep18 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 15.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC LEGEND Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Apr29 (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 2.50    
5  HADLEES HONOR Jul08 Jul01 Jun11 May27 May13 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 4.50    
6  DEVILS WORKSHOP Jul08 Jun04 Apr17 Feb08 Jan19 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  FORTY SMOOCHES Jul15 Jun09 May20 Sep10 Aug27 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 1.80 59% 0.70    
 
EMD-7   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKS FIX IT Jul15 Jun18 Jun10 May28 May14 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 2.50    
2  ARTHUR SPOONER Jul07 Jun24 Jun10 Jun03 May13 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN Jul09 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May13 (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.00    
4  PICK YOUR BID Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun09 May20 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 122 5.00    
5  MAMACALLMEBOO Jul22 Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 May29 (pierce michael)ANAYA V 122 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 Apr08 Mar04 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
7  CANDIED LUTE Jul15 Jun24 Jun09 Jun03 May20 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
EMD-8   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE VAULT Jul09 Jun04 May06 Apr17 Mar14 (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
2  DAFFODIL SWEET Jun25 Jun26 Jun12 Mar11 Feb02 (allen marshall)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  YOU GO GIRL Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May20 Sep18 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 123 3.50    
4  SILVERY ORB Jun25 May20 Jul03     (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 4.00 10% 8.80    
5  MISS BELLA Jun17 May27 May14 Jan22 Jan08 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
6  STEPUP Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 May28 May13 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 121 5.00    
 
EMD-9   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY SEQUOIA Jul09 Jun23 Jun10 May29 May06 (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  HYDROGEN Jul02 Jun10 May29 Jan31 Jan12 (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ 123 15.00    
3  MOSQUITO FLEET Jul09 Jun23 May29 May06 Apr11 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 125 8.00 12% 7.70    
4  SPROSTON Jul09 Jul02 Jun23 May29 May21 (nunnally jennif)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
5  TRIBAL IMPACT Jul15 Jun25 May20 May13 Apr04 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
6  MR. FIREBALL Feb15 Feb03 Jan07     (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 22% 3.40    
7  FOSTER BOI Jul16 Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 May28 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 2.00    
 
EMD-10   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POVERTY BAY Jul02 Jun10 May13 Mar26 Feb28 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  FIREWALKER Jul15 Jul02 Jun23 Jun10 May27 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 5.00    
3  MANGIA PANE Jun24 Jun11 May27     (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  WIREWYRE Jul17         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
5  NAVAL ESCORT Jul09 May27 Sep18 Sep02 Aug14 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.00 11% 8.30    
6  VORPAL Jul02 Jun11       (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 6.00    
7  COMPANY'S DREAM Jun18 May14 Feb28     (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
EMD-11   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKLES AND SPURS Jul14 Jun03 May20 Aug06 Jul17 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00    
2  CALIFORNIA HALO Jul08 Jun17 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  NADITA Jul16 Sep18 Sep10 Jul15 Jun28 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  AUNT NOREEN Jul07 Jun16 May21 May04 Mar11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  A STORM TOO SOON Jul02 Jun11 Jun03     (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
6  PISTA GIRL Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May13   (martinez dav)OROZCO E 121 12.00    
7  NOW SAY SO         (patino fausti)VALDES ALEXIS 125 20.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  MY YVONNE Jul07 Jun23 May13 Nov27 Nov06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50    
9  VANDULIE Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 May28 May14 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.