The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4 2 0 $7.10 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-4-3 3 0 $12.00 -3.00
EMD-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $26.20 -4.00
    Exacta (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 1-4 2 0 $43.30 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 1-4-3 3 0 $27.85 0.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-1 2 0 $51.70 -6.00
EMD-3   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
    Exacta (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-4 2 0 $8.60 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-4-5 3 0 $15.50 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/5)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 0 $12.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/5)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-7 2 0 $78.50 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(3/5)-(2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1-1-6/7 3 0 $90.60 -9.00
EMD-4   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $25.20 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 0 $46.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-2-3 3 0 $63.95 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/5/7)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-1 2 0 $28.30 -9.00
    Pick Three (3/5)-(2/5/7)-(2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1-6/7-1 3 0 $289.75 -9.00
EMD-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4 2 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-4-5 3 0 $11.05 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-1 2 0 $67.30 -9.00
    Pick Three (2/5/7)-(2/3/4)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 6/7-1-1 3 0 $158.95 -13.50
EMD-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.60 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2 2 0 $26.80 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-2-6 3 0 $53.85 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-5 2 0 $24.20 -9.00
    Pick Three (2/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(2/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-1-5 3 0 $162.45 -13.50
EMD-7   Win (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-2 2 1 $32.80 $32.80 20.80
    Trifecta (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-2-4 3 1 $81.65 $81.65 69.65
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-8 2 0 $25.10 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-5-8 3 0 $76.25 -18.00

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
:23 :462 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORCZY (IRE) 1 5 45 3 31 2½ 1¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.00 2.00  
ANNA'S IRON MAN 4 1 11 11 11 1½ 2¼ (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.80 52% 0.90 1.10 P
THIRSTY KISS 3 3 57 5 5 43(chattong vich)ORTIZ A 122 4.50 12.10  
PROUD LION 2 2 21 21 21 34(belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
MAMACALLMEBOO 5 4 3 4 4 5513 (pierce l)ANAYA V 125 2.00 22% 3.60 3.30  
 
EMD-2   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:27
:224 :453 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE 1 4 4 4   311 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 10.00 12.10  
THE THIRD RING 3 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 21 (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 123 3.50 1.60  
SILENT DECLARATION 2 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 31 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 56% 0.80 2.10 S
OXBOW PARK 4 1 32 3   42 4(soranno jill)RADKE K 123 1.60 21% 3.70 1.30  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (perez hilario)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
 
EMD-3   07/22/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 8:53
:22 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREIGHTLINE 6 1 21 2½   1nk 1(bullock steve)CRUZ M 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.40 W
KNIGHTLINE 4 2 11 1½   2nk 2(gibson f)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 4.00  
JOKERS FOUR 5 3 3 32   32 3(cryderman candice)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 15% 5.50 4.00 S
MINER LEAGUE 3 5 4 44   446 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 4.50 4.00  
GOLDEN AFFAIR 1 6 6 57   55(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 120 6.00 7.70  
BOSSYBYNATURE 2 4 5 67   610½ 616¾ (navarro jose)ANAYA V 120 12.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
CALORESE 7 7 714½ 713   716½ 718 (patino faustin)OROZCO E 120 8.00 22.00  
SCR  CHANCELLORS BOOM               (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-4   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
:222 :444 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OWHATARUSH 1 4 11 11   11 1¾ (wisdom anne)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 11.60  
ITS KRAKEN TIME 2 2 21 21   21 2¾ (wisdom anne)RADKE K 121 2.50 10% 9.10 3.20 P
DIVERSIFUL 3 5 4 44   31 3(toye joe)ANAYA V 121 3.50 13% 6.80 1.20 S
A SKIP IN THE PARK 4 6 6 55   44(wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 2.00 55% 0.80 2.80  
TIGER TOO 6 3 3 3   556 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00 8.70  
BRANNIGAN 5 1 55 66   64 6(perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 10.00 11.90  
 
EMD-5   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
:222 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 1 3 3 32   21 1½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50 23% 3.30 3.50 W
SEVEN SISTERS 3 1 1 12   11 2½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.60 30% 2.40 0.70 P
WILLING TO BURN 4 4 4 4   43(essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 5.70  
AMERICAN ROYALTY 5 5 5 5   54(van debbie)MATIAS J 125 5.00 13.60  
MEAN SHARON 2 2 2 22   33 5(gibson vince)RADKE K 125 2.50 21% 3.80 4.10  
SCR  LAKER JET               (bean a)ORTIZ A 125 20.00    
 
EMD-6   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:18
:213 :442 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAN ELIZABETH 5 5 5 5   22 11 (gabriel lucian)OROZCO E 125 4.00 4.30  
CLASSIC LEAH 2 3 3.2 11   12 21 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 3.50 18% 4.40 3.00 P
GOLD COAST GIRL 6 2 4 4   33 34 (bullock st)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00 5.40  
YOUR ROYAL COIL 1 6 6 6   43 4(perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 6.00 2.60  
PEARL RIVER DELTA 3 4 2nk 21   55(velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 43% 1.30 4.70  
HEART ON THE RUN 4 1 1nk 31   6612½ (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 12% 7.60 5.50  
 
EMD-7   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
:213 :442 :563     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASIAN RAIN 8 2 1 1nk   11 1¾ (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 43% 1.30 2.00 W
WARFRONT FIGHTER 2 5 2 2nk   21 2¾ (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00 15.10 P
MISO FAST 4 8 8 8   532 (silva-martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 125 4.00 22% 3.50 5.00 S
MOJAVE 1 6 3 4   34(garcia valenti)OROZCO E 125 8.00 10.80  
BOB'S SNIPER 7 1 7 7   653 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 3.50 4.00  
LOCHNESS 5 4 6 6   76(essex charles)RADKE K 125 12.00 25.00  
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 3 7 4 31   47(rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 12% 7.60 3.80  
DECIMATE 6 3 5 53   88(wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 2.50 8.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.