Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.00  
EMD-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $26.20  
EMD-3   Win (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
EMD-4   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $25.20  
EMD-5   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
EMD-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.60  
EMD-7   Win (8/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORCZY (IRE) 1 5 45 3 31 2½ 1¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.00 2.00  
ANNA'S IRON MAN 4 1 11 11 11 1½ 2¼ (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.80 52% 0.90 1.10 P
THIRSTY KISS 3 3 57 5 5 4 3 (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 122 4.50 12.10  
PROUD LION 2 2 21 21 21 3 4 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
MAMACALLMEBOO 5 4 3 4 4 5 513 (pierce l)ANAYA V 125 2.00 22% 3.60 3.30  
 
EMD-2   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:27
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE 1 4 4 4   3 11 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 10.00 12.10  
THE THIRD RING 3 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 21 (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 123 3.50 1.60  
SILENT DECLARATION 2 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 31 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 56% 0.80 2.10 S
OXBOW PARK 4 1 32 3   42 4 (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 1.60 21% 3.70 1.30  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (perez hilario)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
 
EMD-3   07/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:22 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREIGHTLINE 6 1 21 2½   1nk 1 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.40 W
KNIGHTLINE 4 2 11 1½   2nk 2 (gibson f)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 4.00  
JOKERS FOUR 5 3 3 32   32 3 (cryderman candice)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 15% 5.50 4.00 S
MINER LEAGUE 3 5 4 44   4 46 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 4.50 4.00  
GOLDEN AFFAIR 1 6 6 57   5 5 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 120 6.00 7.70  
BOSSYBYNATURE 2 4 5 67   610½ 616¾ (navarro jose)ANAYA V 120 12.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
CALORESE 7 7 714½ 713   716½ 718 (patino faustin)OROZCO E 120 8.00 22.00  
SCR  CHANCELLORS BOOM               (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-4   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OWHATARUSH 1 4 11 11   11 1¾ (wisdom anne)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 11.60  
ITS KRAKEN TIME 2 2 21 21   21 2¾ (wisdom anne)RADKE K 121 2.50 10% 9.10 3.20 P
DIVERSIFUL 3 5 4 44   31 3 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 3.50 13% 6.80 1.20 S
A SKIP IN THE PARK 4 6 6 55   4 4 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 2.00 55% 0.80 2.80  
TIGER TOO 6 3 3 3   5 56 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00 8.70  
BRANNIGAN 5 1 55 66   64 6 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 10.00 11.90  
 
EMD-5   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 1 3 3 32   21 1½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50 23% 3.30 3.50 W
SEVEN SISTERS 3 1 1 12   11 2½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.60 30% 2.40 0.70 P
WILLING TO BURN 4 4 4 4   4 3 (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 5.70  
AMERICAN ROYALTY 5 5 5 5   5 4 (van debbie)MATIAS J 125 5.00 13.60  
MEAN SHARON 2 2 2 22   33 5 (gibson vince)RADKE K 125 2.50 21% 3.80 4.10  
SCR  LAKER JET               (bean a)ORTIZ A 125 20.00    
 
EMD-6   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:18
See original race card.
:213 :442 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAN ELIZABETH 5 5 5 5   22 11 (gabriel lucian)OROZCO E 125 4.00 4.30  
CLASSIC LEAH 2 3 3.2 11   12 21 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 3.50 18% 4.40 3.00 P
GOLD COAST GIRL 6 2 4 4   33 34 (bullock st)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00 5.40  
YOUR ROYAL COIL 1 6 6 6   43 4 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 6.00 2.60  
PEARL RIVER DELTA 3 4 2nk 21   5 5 (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 43% 1.30 4.70  
HEART ON THE RUN 4 1 1nk 31   6 612½ (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 12% 7.60 5.50  
 
EMD-7   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
See original race card.
:213 :442 :563     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASIAN RAIN 8 2 1 1nk   11 1¾ (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 43% 1.30 2.00 W
WARFRONT FIGHTER 2 5 2 2nk   21 2¾ (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00 15.10 P
MISO FAST 4 8 8 8   5 32 (silva-martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 125 4.00 22% 3.50 5.00 S
MOJAVE (GB) 1 6 3 4   3 4 (garcia valenti)OROZCO E 125 8.00 10.80  
BOB'S SNIPER 7 1 7 7   6 53 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 3.50 4.00  
LOCHNESS 5 4 6 6   7 6 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 12.00 25.00  
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 3 7 4 31   4 7 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 12% 7.60 3.80  
DECIMATE 6 3 5 53   8 8 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 2.50 8.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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