Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/5)-(7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(7/5/2)-(4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-3   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(4/1/3)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(3/2/4)-(8/4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(8/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORCZY (IRE) Jul01 Jun25 Jun03 Mar26 Mar09 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
2  PROUD LION Jul09 Jul01 May06 Sep11 Aug21 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  THIRSTY KISS Jul08 Jul03 May27 May13 Mar12 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 122 4.50    
4  ANNA'S IRON MAN Jul14 Jun17 Jun04 May20 May01 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
5  MAMACALLMEBOO Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 May29 May14 (pierce michael)ANAYA V 125 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
EMD-2   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE Jul03 Jun09 Jun19 May28   (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 10.00    
SCR  BARBARIAN Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 May29 May20 (perez hilario)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
3  SILENT DECLARATION Jul03 Jun09 May21 May13 Feb28 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  THE THIRD RING Jul14 Jun24 Jun17 Jun09 Nov23 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 3.50    
5  OXBOW PARK Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 Sep18 Aug28 (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
EMD-3   07/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN AFFAIR Jul09         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PADEN AFFAIR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  BOSSYBYNATURE         (navarro jose)ANAYA V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of OUR SILVER LINING by PACKY)
3  MINER LEAGUE         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 4.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SUBTLE STEP by SMART STRIKE)
4  KNIGHTLINE         (gibson f)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT CLUB by ICY GLOW)
5  JOKERS FOUR Jun18         (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of MANITOBA MISS by D'WILDCAT)
SCR  CHANCELLORS BOOM         (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHANCE ENCOUNTER by MASS MEDIA)
7  FREIGHTLINE Jul09 Jun18       (bullock steve)CRUZ M 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT RAIDER by TOUGH KNIGHT)
8  CALORESE         (patino faust)OROZCO E 120 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHITELACENPROMISES by MORE THAN READY)
 
EMD-4   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWHATARUSH Jun23 Jun04 May13     (wisdom anne)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of OWHATABLAST by OLMODAVOR)
2  ITS KRAKEN TIME Jul02 Jun11 May13 Sep18 Sep10 (wisdom anne)RADKE K 121 2.50 10% 9.10    
  (by RUNNING TAP out of ITS DIVA TIME by YOU AND I)
3  DIVERSIFUL Oct30 Sep21       (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
  (by TOURIST out of LA MANICA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  A SKIP IN THE PARK Jul02 Jun11       (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of YOU ME AND EMA B by YOU AND I)
5  BRANNIGAN Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 Sep18 Aug20 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 10.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of MISS BEEKMAN PLACE by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  TIGER TOO Jul02         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LIMITLESS ALEX by AFLEET ALEX)
 
EMD-5   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Jul03 May27 May14 Apr08 Mar21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  LAKER JET Jun24 Jun11 Oct15 Sep18 Sep10 (bean robert)ORTIZ A 125 20.00    
3  MEAN SHARON Jul07 Jun18 Jun04 May14 Feb27 (gibson vince)RADKE K 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  SEVEN SISTERS Jul03 May28 Mar01 Feb15 Jan31 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.60 30% 2.40    
5  WILLING TO BURN Jul03 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50    
6  AMERICAN ROYALTY Mar19 Mar12 Feb27 Feb14 Jan31 (van debbie)MATIAS J 125 5.00    
 
EMD-6   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUR ROYAL COIL Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May21 Dec18 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 6.00    
2  CLASSIC LEAH Jul08 Jul02 May21 Sep11 Aug14 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  PEARL RIVER DELTA Jul02 Jun09 May20 Sep10 Sep03 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  HEART ON THE RUN May21 Mar18 Mar08 Feb07 Jan02 (nunnally jennif)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
5  NAN ELIZABETH Jul01 Jun10 May21 Apr14 Mar18 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 4.00    
6  GOLD COAST GIRL Jun18 Apr19 Apr04 Feb28 Jan07 (bullock )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00    
 
EMD-7   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOJAVE (GB) Jun25 Jun10 May29 May14 Mar28 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
2  WARFRONT FIGHTER Jul03 Jun17 May28 May14 Mar08 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 May20 Mar21 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 12% 7.60    
4  MISO FAST Jul14 Jun18 Jun09 May29 May14 (silva-martinez )NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  LOCHNESS Jun25 Sep17 Aug19 Aug05 Jul17 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 12.00    
6  DECIMATE Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May20 Sep10 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
7  BOB'S SNIPER Apr16 Mar25 Jan07 Dec17 Sep17 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 3.50    
8  ASIAN RAIN Jul14 Dec11 Nov27 Jun18   (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.