The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -1.10
BAQ-2   Win (9/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
BAQ-3   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $6.70 $6.70 2.70
BAQ-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $37.40 -6.00
BAQ-5   Win (2/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
BAQ-6   Win (4/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
BAQ-7   Win (6/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 1.70
BAQ-8   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.20 -6.00
BAQ-9   Win (10/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:24 :471 1:12 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL WAYS 1 2 2nk 1½ 12 15 16¼ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.60 36% 1.80 0.45 W
4  UNION LIGHTS 4 5 52½ 51½ 22 25 26¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 19% 4.20 2.70 P
3  CHEEKY TICO 3 3 3½ 31 34 38½ 39¾ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00 12.20  
2  CHARGER 2 1 1nk 2½ 54½ 49½ 416 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 6.40  
5  PRINCE OF JOY 5 4 41 41 44½ 511½ 516½ (legall r)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 23.60  
SCR  GUT FEELING               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.60    
 
BAQ-2   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
:232 :472 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  IRISH GENT (IRE) 6 2 11 11½   12½ 11½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 72% 0.40 0.70 W
11  TYPHOON FURY 7 3 21 21½   22½ 21½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 3.05  
5  FIRST TRUMPET 4 1 31 31½   33½ 35 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 8.20  
2  PET MAT 1 5 53½ 54½   55½ 47 (d'angelo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 17.40  
4  STREET EARNINGS 3 7 41½ 42½   44 57½ (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 ★ 5.90  
1  WON TEAM 2 6 77½ 714½   717½ 614¼ (terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOURBON OUTLAW 5 4 64 610½   615½ 717¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 17.30  
SCR  RAPTURE BAY               (delgado jorge)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  OCALA ROCKET               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
SCR  MIGRATORY               (antonacci phil)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
SCR  LASER SHARP               (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  IZZY D'ORO               (kelly blake)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  DILGER (IRE)               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  ZINGALES KING               (d'angelo fra)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  AIR INVASION               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
:233 :47 1:123 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 3 5 58 511½ 511½ 35½ 12¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 48% 1.10 2.35 W
2  SISTER LINDA 2 1 31½ 21 2nk 1½ 22¼ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 2.15  
7  VEGAS WEEKEND 5 3 1½ 11 1nk 2½ 34¼ (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 18% 4.60 1.05 S
1  GRINGOTTS 1 2 43 43½ 48½ 59½ 49¾ (younghans wil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 12.30  
5  TRIPLE P 4 4 2½ 31½ 34 46½ 511 (jones eduard)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00 36.00  
SCR  HALO CITY               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  I'M BUZZY               (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:241 :474 1:131 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STRONG LIGHT 5 7 74¼ 74½ 66¼ 43½ 11 (younghan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 17.70  
8  GOOD RAPPORT 7 3 11 11½ 13½ 12½ 21 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 1.60  
2  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 2 5 52¾ 53½ 56 22½ 31¼ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 9% 9.60 1.55 S
6  PROVEN HOPE 6 4 21 21½ 33½ 33 46 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 33% 2.00 5.50  
3  LEGENDARY LORE 3 2 31 31½ 23½ 54 56¼ (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 24% 3.20 8.80  
1  UNCLE WATER FLOW 1 1 41¼ 42 45 65 68 (dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 9.90  
4  SCOTTO 4 6 63¼ 64 79¾ 78 710½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00 51.50  
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
:23 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BAD LARRY 7 2 1nk 1½   12½ 12 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 19% 4.30 1.60 W
2  WOODSIDE WARRIOR 1 6 51¾ 54   22½ 22 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 37% 1.70 1.20 P
4  WAR PRINCE 3 3 41½ 44   34 36¾ (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7% 13.50 12.50 S
3  WATCH HILL 2 4 75¾ 710½   79 48 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 14.80  
6  MAJESTIC ARC 5 7 31 32   44½ 58 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 33.75  
5  CHALKY CAT 4 5 62¾ 66½   67 610¼ (barker r)RUIZ ELISEO 116 3.00 16% 5.10 7.00  
7  MALIBU MYSTERY 6 1 2nk 2½   55 712½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 14.40  
SCR  MR. BUSTA               (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:231 :464 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PHELPSY 5 4 1½ 11½   14 16¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 20% 4.10 1.10 W
7  LOGIN REQUIRED 6 5 31 21½   24 26¼ (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 11.60  
5  LIGHT THE WAY 4 1 2½ 32   35½ 311½ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 3.70  
3  BURTON WAY 3 2 52 65   48 412½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
8  OPPORTUNITY SET 7 3 63 53½   59 516½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 16% 5.10 6.20  
1  HOLDING AU PAIR 1 7 711 711½   712½ 617 (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00 15.80  
2  FLYING LIAM 2 6 41½ 43   69½ 719¼ (margotta anthony )CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 15.10  
SCR  SILO RIDGE               (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 39% 1.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:24 :471 1:114 1:234   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STRAIGHT ARROW 1 2 41¾ 42 31 13 19 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00 5% 17.40 2.85 W
13  SHADOW DRAGON 5 4 2nk 2½ 2nk 23 29 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 25% 2.90 1.90 P
12  CALLALOO 4 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 33½ 39½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 7.80  
11  CUT THE CORD 3 5 62¼ 62½ 65½ 68 412¼ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.00 3.50  
14  BIG BOBBY 6 6 31½ 31½ 42 58 512¾ (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 13.90  
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE 2 1 52¼ 52½ 53½ 47 614½ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 39% 1.50 4.20  
SCR  KING OF COMEDY               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
SCR  OCALA DREAM               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA               (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
SCR  CURLY LARRY AND MO               (russell brittany)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K               (de horacio)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  BORN DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 126 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY               (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SCR  AGENT CREED               (asmussen steven)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:224 :463 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL BANKER 1 5 53½ 54   2½ 1½ (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 4.10  
2  MY LAST MISSION 2 2 1½ 1½   3½ 2½ (dilodovico damon )DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 7% 12.80 8.00 P
3  G MUNNING 3 4 31½ 42½   53½ 32¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 21% 3.70 2.30 S
6  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM 6 3 41½ 31   1½ 43¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9.00  
5  NEWPORT BRIDGE 5 1 2½ 2½   41½ 518¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 41% 1.40 2.20  
4  TEN CENT TOWN 4 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.70  
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
:233 :474 1:142 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHARISSE 3 6 65½ 34 1½ 13½ 15¼ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 18.50 2.30 W
2  PUREST PERFORMANCE 2 2 1nk 13 2½ 23½ 25¼ (pregman jr)USKE S 120 30.00 16.50  
8  DEBBIE DARLING 4 5 53 64¼ 57 49½ 313¼ (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 3.65  
10  MY ROYAL VOW 6 4 32 44 34 38½ 413¾ (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 57% 0.80 1.75  
9  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES 5 3 42½ 54¼ 44½ 59½ 518¼ (falcone n)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 14% 6.30 4.30  
1  BENEVOLENTLY 1 1 2nk 23 611 622½ 642 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 12.60  
SCR  MISS BARB               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  JANNIE MAE               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE FED               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
SCR  DUNEEN BAY               (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  PINSTRIPEPIZZO               (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.50    
SCR  BOMB SQUAD               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.