Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-4 $3.50 $1.50 75%
BAQ-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.70 $2.70 68%
    DD (9/10/1)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  9-3 $7.70 $1.70 28%
BAQ-7   WIN (6/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.70 $1.70 28%
    EXA (6/13/5)-(6/13/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-13 $12.10 $6.10 102%
BAQ-9   WIN (10/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $6.60 $0.60 10%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL WAYS 1 2 2nk 1½ 12 15 1 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.60 36% 1.80 0.45 W
UNION LIGHTS 4 5 5 5 22 25 2 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 19% 4.20 2.70 P
CHEEKY TICO 3 3 3½ 31 34 3 3 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00 12.20  
CHARGER 2 1 1nk 2½ 5 4 416 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 6.40  
PRINCE OF JOY 5 4 41 41 4 511½ 516½ (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 23.60  
SCR  GUT FEELING               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.60    
 
BAQ-2   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:232 :472 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH GENT (IRE) 6 2 11 1   1 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 72% 0.40 0.70 W
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of INDIGO BUTTERFLY by LE HAVRE)
11  TYPHOON FURY 7 3 21 2   2 2 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 3.05  
  (by MITOLE out of TIZ RAE ANNA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
FIRST TRUMPET 4 1 31 3   3 35 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 8.20  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
PET MAT 1 5 5 5   5 47 (d'angelo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 17.40  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
STREET EARNINGS 3 7 4 4   44 5 (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5.90  
  (by STREET BOSS out of SOUPER SCOOP by TAPIT)
WON TEAM 2 6 7 714½   717½ 614¼ (terranova john)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COOL JAZZ by HENNY HUGHES)
BOURBON OUTLAW 5 4 64 610½   615½ 717¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 17.30  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR OF THE EAST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  RAPTURE BAY               (delgado jor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SPINDLE by MARI'S BOOK)
SCR  OCALA ROCKET               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MINE ALL MINE by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  MIGRATORY               (antonacci ph)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HOUTZEN by I AM INVINCIBLE)
SCR  LASER SHARP               (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAISIE by STAY THIRSTY)
SCR  IZZY D'ORO               (kelly blake)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of COLOGNE by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
SCR  DILGER (IRE)               (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  ZINGALES KING               (d'angelo f)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DISCREET DECEIT by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  AIR INVASION               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
 
BAQ-3   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 3 5 58 511½ 511½ 3 1 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 48% 1.10 2.35 W
SISTER LINDA 2 1 3 21 2nk 1½ 2 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 2.15  
VEGAS WEEKEND 5 3 1½ 11 1nk 2½ 3 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 18% 4.60 1.05 S
GRINGOTTS 1 2 43 4 4 5 4 (younghans w)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 12.30  
TRIPLE P 4 4 2½ 3 34 4 511 (jones edua)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00 36.00  
SCR  HALO CITY               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  I'M BUZZY               (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:131 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG LIGHT 5 7 7 7 6 4 11 (youngh)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 17.70  
GOOD RAPPORT 7 3 11 1 1 1 21 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 1.60  
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 2 5 5 5 56 2 3 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 9% 9.60 1.55 S
PROVEN HOPE 6 4 21 2 3 33 46 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 33% 2.00 5.50  
LEGENDARY LORE 3 2 31 3 2 54 5 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 24% 3.20 8.80  
UNCLE WATER FLOW 1 1 4 42 45 65 68 (dutrow anth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 9.90  
SCOTTO 4 6 6 64 7 78 710½ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00 51.50  
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LARRY 7 2 1nk 1½   1 12 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 19% 4.30 1.60 W
WOODSIDE WARRIOR 1 6 5 54   2 22 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 37% 1.70 1.20 P
WAR PRINCE 3 3 4 44   34 3 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7% 13.50 12.50 S
WATCH HILL 2 4 7 710½   79 48 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 14.80  
MAJESTIC ARC 5 7 31 32   4 58 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 33.75  
CHALKY CAT 4 5 6 6   67 610¼ (barker r)RUIZ ELISEO 116 3.00 16% 5.10 7.00  
MALIBU MYSTERY 6 1 2nk 2½   55 712½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 14.40  
SCR  MR. BUSTA               (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHELPSY 5 4 1½ 1   14 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 20% 4.10 1.10 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
LOGIN REQUIRED 6 5 31 2   24 2 (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 11.60  
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
LIGHT THE WAY 4 1 2½ 32   3 311½ (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 3.70  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
BURTON WAY 3 2 52 65   48 412½ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
OPPORTUNITY SET 7 3 63 5   59 516½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 16% 5.10 6.20  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
HOLDING AU PAIR 1 7 711 711½   712½ 617 (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00 15.80  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of STEEL SHED by THEATRICAL (IRE))
FLYING LIAM 2 6 4 43   6 719¼ (margotta anthon)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 15.10  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  SILO RIDGE               (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 39% 1.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GRAND PORTEGE by GRAND SLAM)
 
BAQ-7   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:114 1:234   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHT ARROW 1 2 4 42 31 13 19 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00 5% 17.40 2.85 W
13  SHADOW DRAGON 5 4 2nk 2½ 2nk 23 29 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 25% 2.90 1.90 P
12  CALLALOO 4 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 3 3 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 7.80  
11  CUT THE CORD 3 5 6 6 6 68 412¼ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.00 3.50  
14  BIG BOBBY 6 6 3 3 42 58 512¾ (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 13.90  
LET'S GO BIG BLUE 2 1 5 5 5 47 614½ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 39% 1.50 4.20  
SCR  KING OF COMEDY               (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
SCR  OCALA DREAM               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA               (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
SCR  CURLY LARRY AND MO               (russell britta)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K               (de horac)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  BORN DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 126 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY               (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SCR  AGENT CREED               (asmussen stev)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL BANKER 1 5 5 54   2½ 1½ (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 4.10  
MY LAST MISSION 2 2 1½ 1½   3½ 2½ (dilodovico damo)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 7% 12.80 8.00 P
G MUNNING 3 4 3 4   5 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 21% 3.70 2.30 S
DR. SETTLE'S DREAM 6 3 4 31   1½ 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9.00  
NEWPORT BRIDGE 5 1 2½ 2½   4 518¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 41% 1.40 2.20  
TEN CENT TOWN 4 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.70  
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:142 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARISSE 3 6 6 34 1½ 1 1 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 18.50 2.30 W
PUREST PERFORMANCE 2 2 1nk 13 2½ 2 2 (pregman jr)USKE S 120 30.00 16.50  
DEBBIE DARLING 4 5 53 6 57 4 313¼ (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 3.65  
10  MY ROYAL VOW 6 4 32 44 34 3 413¾ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 57% 0.80 1.75  
SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES 5 3 4 5 4 5 518¼ (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 14% 6.30 4.30  
BENEVOLENTLY 1 1 2nk 23 611 622½ 642 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 12.60  
SCR  MISS BARB               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  JANNIE MAE               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE FED               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
SCR  DUNEEN BAY               (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  PINSTRIPEPIZZO               (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.50    
SCR  BOMB SQUAD               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.