Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(9/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(9/1)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/1)-(9/1/4)-(9/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (9/1)-(3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9/1)-(3/7)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(6/3/2)-(2/8/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/8/5/4)-(6/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (2/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/4)-(6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/4)-(6/8/3)-(6/13/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(6/13/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(6/13/5)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (6/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/13/5)-(6/13/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/13/5)-(6/13/5)-(6/13/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/13/5)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/13/5)-(5/3/2)-(10/9/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(10/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (10/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/7)-(10/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/9/7)-(10/9/7)-(10/9/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL WAYS Aug10 Jul03 May13 Apr21 Mar03 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  GUT FEELING Oct07 Sep14 Aug12 Apr01 Jan28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.60    
2  CHARGER Sep22 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 Apr14 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
3  CHEEKY TICO Sep22 Jul03 Jun04 May13 Apr07 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00    
4  UNION LIGHTS Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun04 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
5  PRINCE OF JOY Sep22 Jul16 Jun18 May21 Apr28 (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WON TEAM         (terranova john)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COOL JAZZ by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  LASER SHARP         (terranova p)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAISIE by STAY THIRSTY)
2  PET MAT         (d'angelo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  AIR INVASION         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
4  STREET EARNINGS         (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 ★    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SOUPER SCOOP by TAPIT)
5  FIRST TRUMPET Aug26 Aug10 Jul09     (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
6  BOURBON OUTLAW         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR OF THE EAST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MIGRATORY Sep22         (antonacci ph)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HOUTZEN by I AM INVINCIBLE)
SCR  ZINGALES KING Jun24 May26       (d'angelo f)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DISCREET DECEIT by DISCREETLY MINE)
9  IRISH GENT (IRE) Sep22 Sep01       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 72% 0.40    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of INDIGO BUTTERFLY by LE HAVRE)
SCR  DILGER (IRE)         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
11  TYPHOON FURY Sep02         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TIZ RAE ANNA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  OCALA ROCKET Sep02         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MINE ALL MINE by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  IZZY D'ORO         (kelly blake)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of COLOGNE by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
SCR  RAPTURE BAY Aug20         (delgado jor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SPINDLE by MARI'S BOOK)
 
BAQ-3   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRINGOTTS Aug16 Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 May18 (younghans w)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
2  SISTER LINDA Jun01 Mar30 Dec29 Dec01 Sep24 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50    
3  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Oct06 Aug16 Aug03 Jun16 Apr30 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  HALO CITY Aug30 Jul20 Jun02 May26 Apr03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
5  TRIPLE P Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 (jones edua)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
SCR  I'M BUZZY Jul28 Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr16 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
7  VEGAS WEEKEND Aug16 May11 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
BAQ-4   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE WATER FLOW May11 Dec09 Dec02 Oct21 Sep15 (dutrow anth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
2  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Oct06 Aug16 Jul28 Jul03 Jun18 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
3  LEGENDARY LORE Oct03 Aug20 Jun25 May26 May06 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  SCOTTO Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00    
5  STRONG LIGHT Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul22 (youngh)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
6  PROVEN HOPE Oct04 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 May14 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB Sep14 Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 May27 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
8  GOOD RAPPORT Sep14 Aug20 Jun15 May26 Apr13 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. BUSTA Jun04 May14 Apr20 Mar30 Mar11 (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
2  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Sep22 Aug20 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  WATCH HILL Aug20         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
4  WAR PRINCE Sep22 Jun03 May13 Apr23 Sep16 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7% 13.50    
5  CHALKY CAT Aug20 Aug02 Jul07 Feb24 Jan26 (barker r)RUIZ ELISEO 116 3.00 16% 5.10    
6  MAJESTIC ARC Sep22 Aug19       (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
7  MALIBU MYSTERY May06         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
8  BAD LARRY Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 Jun03 May14 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
BAQ-6   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLDING AU PAIR Jun03         (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of STEEL SHED by THEATRICAL (IRE))
2  FLYING LIAM Aug18 Jul14       (margotta anthon)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  BURTON WAY Aug17 Jul30 Jun23 Sep25   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  SILO RIDGE Aug20 Jul21       (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 39% 1.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GRAND PORTEGE by GRAND SLAM)
5  LIGHT THE WAY Mar04 Jan21       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
6  PHELPSY Jul22 Jun17 Apr21 Sep18 Jul23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
7  LOGIN REQUIRED Feb11 Dec16 Nov06 Aug22   (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
8  OPPORTUNITY SET Sep14 Aug04 Mar03 Dec15 Nov11 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
 
BAQ-7   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING OF COMEDY Sep15 Aug17 Jul02 Jun10 May14 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY Aug18 Jul30 May29 Dec22 Oct21 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SCR  CURLY LARRY AND MO Sep09 Aug18 Jun10 May17 Apr15 (russell britta)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 May29 Apr13 (de horac)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  AGENT CREED Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 May28 (asmussen stev)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
5  STRAIGHT ARROW Sep15 Aug23 Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00 5% 17.40    
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 Jun10 Nov26 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  BORN DANCER Aug27 Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 Jul09 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 126 15.00    
SCR  OCALA DREAM Sep15 Aug27 Jul20 May29 May06 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May06 Apr07 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
11  CUT THE CORD Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 May31 Mar11 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.00    
12  CALLALOO Oct01 Sep04 Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
13  SHADOW DRAGON Oct04 Aug02 Jul07 Jun03 Apr08 (mott i)RIDER TBA 120 1.60 25% 2.90    
14  BIG BOBBY Oct04 Aug24 Jul07 Oct30 Sep24 (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL BANKER May14 Apr22 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
2  MY LAST MISSION Sep03 Aug11 Jul08 Jun17 May20 (dilodovico damo)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 7% 12.80    
3  G MUNNING Aug31 Jul15 Oct15 Aug27 Jul31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 21% 3.70    
4  TEN CENT TOWN Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 Apr22 Mar17 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
5  NEWPORT BRIDGE Sep04 Aug26 Jun09 May05 Apr07 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Aug31 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 Nov26 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM Sep26 Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENEVOLENTLY Jul29 Aug04 Jul04     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
2  PUREST PERFORMANCE Jun24 May18       (pregman jr)USKE S 120 30.00    
SCR  JANNIE MAE Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 Apr14 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Sep02 Aug19 Jul03 Jun01 Apr15 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.50    
SCR  MISS BARB Sep02 Jan06 Dec16 Nov04   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
7  CHARISSE Jul13 Jun03 May05 Apr08 Mar11 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 18.50    
8  DEBBIE DARLING Mar11 Feb11 Jan14     (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
9  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Sep01 Jun23 May28 Apr14 Nov04 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
10  MY ROYAL VOW         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  DUNEEN BAY Sep02         (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  BOMB SQUAD Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 Nov04 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Sep15 Aug10 Jul15 Jun16   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Sep16 Sep02 Jun23 May28 Apr14 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE FED Oct06 Sep03 Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.