Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-2   Win (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-3   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (2/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (6/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (10/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL WAYS Aug10 Jul03 May13 Apr21 Mar03 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  GUT FEELING Oct07 Sep14 Aug12 Apr01 Jan28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.60    
CHARGER Sep22 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 Apr14 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
CHEEKY TICO Sep22 Jul03 Jun04 May13 Apr07 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00    
UNION LIGHTS Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun04 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
PRINCE OF JOY Sep22 Jul16 Jun18 May21 Apr28 (legall r)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WON TEAM         (terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LASER SHARP         (terranova p)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
PET MAT         (d'angelo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  AIR INVASION         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
STREET EARNINGS         (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
FIRST TRUMPET Aug26 Aug10 Jul09     (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
BOURBON OUTLAW         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  MIGRATORY Sep22         (antonacci phil)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
SCR  ZINGALES KING Jun24 May26       (d'angelo fra)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
IRISH GENT (IRE) Sep22 Sep01       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 72% 0.40    
SCR  DILGER (IRE)         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
11  TYPHOON FURY Sep02         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  OCALA ROCKET Sep02         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
SCR  IZZY D'ORO         (kelly blake)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  RAPTURE BAY Aug20         (delgado jorge)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRINGOTTS Aug16 Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 May18 (younghans wil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
SISTER LINDA Jun01 Mar30 Dec29 Dec01 Sep24 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50    
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Oct06 Aug16 Aug03 Jun16 Apr30 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  HALO CITY Aug30 Jul20 Jun02 May26 Apr03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
TRIPLE P Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 (jones eduard)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
SCR  I'M BUZZY Jul28 Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr16 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
VEGAS WEEKEND Aug16 May11 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
BAQ-4   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE WATER FLOW May11 Dec09 Dec02 Oct21 Sep15 (dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Oct06 Aug16 Jul28 Jul03 Jun18 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
LEGENDARY LORE Oct03 Aug20 Jun25 May26 May06 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCOTTO Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00    
STRONG LIGHT Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul22 (younghan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
PROVEN HOPE Oct04 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 May14 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB Sep14 Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 May27 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
GOOD RAPPORT Sep14 Aug20 Jun15 May26 Apr13 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. BUSTA Jun04 May14 Apr20 Mar30 Mar11 (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
WOODSIDE WARRIOR Sep22 Aug20 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
WATCH HILL Aug20         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
WAR PRINCE Sep22 Jun03 May13 Apr23 Sep16 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7% 13.50    
CHALKY CAT Aug20 Aug02 Jul07 Feb24 Jan26 (barker r)RUIZ ELISEO 116 3.00 16% 5.10    
MAJESTIC ARC Sep22 Aug19       (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
MALIBU MYSTERY May06         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
BAD LARRY Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 Jun03 May14 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
BAQ-6   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDING AU PAIR Jun03         (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00    
FLYING LIAM Aug18 Jul14       (margotta anthony )CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
BURTON WAY Aug17 Jul30 Jun23 Sep25   (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILO RIDGE Aug20 Jul21       (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 39% 1.50    
LIGHT THE WAY Mar04 Jan21       (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
PHELPSY Jul22 Jun17 Apr21 Sep18 Jul23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
LOGIN REQUIRED Feb11 Dec16 Nov06 Aug22   (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
OPPORTUNITY SET Sep14 Aug04 Mar03 Dec15 Nov11 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
 
BAQ-7   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING OF COMEDY Sep15 Aug17 Jul02 Jun10 May14 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY Aug18 Jul30 May29 Dec22 Oct21 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SCR  CURLY LARRY AND MO Sep09 Aug18 Jun10 May17 Apr15 (russell brittany)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 May29 Apr13 (de horacio)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  AGENT CREED Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 May28 (asmussen steven)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
STRAIGHT ARROW Sep15 Aug23 Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00 5% 17.40    
LET'S GO BIG BLUE Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 Jun10 Nov26 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  BORN DANCER Aug27 Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 Jul09 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 126 15.00    
SCR  OCALA DREAM Sep15 Aug27 Jul20 May29 May06 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May06 Apr07 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
11  CUT THE CORD Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 May31 Mar11 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.00    
12  CALLALOO Oct01 Sep04 Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
13  SHADOW DRAGON Oct04 Aug02 Jul07 Jun03 Apr08 (mott i)RIDER TBA 120 1.60 25% 2.90    
14  BIG BOBBY Oct04 Aug24 Jul07 Oct30 Sep24 (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL BANKER May14 Apr22 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
MY LAST MISSION Sep03 Aug11 Jul08 Jun17 May20 (dilodovico damon )DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 7% 12.80    
G MUNNING Aug31 Jul15 Oct15 Aug27 Jul31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 21% 3.70    
TEN CENT TOWN Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 Apr22 Mar17 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
NEWPORT BRIDGE Sep04 Aug26 Jun09 May05 Apr07 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Aug31 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 Nov26 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM Sep26 Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENEVOLENTLY Jul29 Aug04 Jul04     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
PUREST PERFORMANCE Jun24 May18       (pregman jr)USKE S 120 30.00    
SCR  JANNIE MAE Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 Apr14 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Sep02 Aug19 Jul03 Jun01 Apr15 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.50    
SCR  MISS BARB Sep02 Jan06 Dec16 Nov04   (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
CHARISSE Jul13 Jun03 May05 Apr08 Mar11 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 18.50    
DEBBIE DARLING Mar11 Feb11 Jan14     (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Sep01 Jun23 May28 Apr14 Nov04 (falcone n)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
10  MY ROYAL VOW         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  DUNEEN BAY Sep02         (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  BOMB SQUAD Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 Nov04 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Sep15 Aug10 Jul15 Jun16   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Sep16 Sep02 Jun23 May28 Apr14 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE FED Oct06 Sep03 Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.