Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (10/9/2/3/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $10.84 $10.84 0.84
CD-2   Win (6/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $18.06  
CD-3   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.04 $5.04  
CD-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.64  
CD-5   Win (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.26  
CD-6   Win (3/4/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $14.28 $14.28 4.28
CD-7   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.76 $6.76 0.76
CD-8   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.38 $4.38  
CD-9   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
CD-10   Win (1/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $48.40 $48.40 40.40
CD-11   Win (12/11/4/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.42 $5.42  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:231 :491 1:141 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BUCHU 2 1 31½ 41½ 41½ 1½ 14¾ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 13% 6.90 4.42 W
9  LUZ DIVINA 8 6 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 24¾ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 29% 2.50 5.26 P
11  MOSHINE 10 7 73½ 84 84¼ 85½ 39 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 11.55  
4  BA DEE YAH 4 9 84 74 64 54½ 49 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 10.86  
12  SHE IS INVINCIBLE (GB) 11 11 94½ 105¾ 95¾ 75 59¼ (maker michael )TORRES A 114 15.00 34.45  
7  WITHOUT CAUSE 6 2 52½ 52 52 43 611 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 7.75  
3  PACE'S TWO SENSE 3 5 63½ 63½ 74¼ 65 713¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
8  HIGH FASHION KATE 7 3 11 1½ 1nk 32½ 815 (minnock g)LANERIE J 119 15.00 16.94  
13  AARALYN 12 8 42 31 3½ 96 916¾ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.48  
10  WEIGHTED AVERAGE 9 12 116 95½ 106¾ 1111¼ 1020 (brown chad )TORRES A 119 3.00 34% 1.90 2.64  
1  SPIRIT IN THE MIST (FR) 1 4 105½ 115¾ 117¼ 1011 1120 (danner kelsey)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 36.69  
5  DASH OF LEMON 5 10 126¼ 126¼ 129¼ 1214¼ 1226¼ (catalano m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 61.73  
SCR  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  I'M A MESS               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   09/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAKE CHARGE BABE 1 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 1¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 8.03  
6  SWEET MIMI 5 7 41 2nk   1nk 2¾ (cox h)TORRES A 119 4.00 62% 0.60 3.85 P
3  ART QUEEN 2 3 63½ 75¾   55¾ 36 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 16.79  
5  BIKINI BOTTOM 4 6 52 51½   44¼ 46½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 6% 15.90 5.57  
10  CORKAGE FEE 9 1 74 61¾   34 58 (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 114 10.00 18.57  
8  BACKWOODS BARBIE 7 8 96½ 86¼   76¾ 69 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 5% 19.00 6.38  
4  LADY OF DEVON 3 4 2½ 3½   88¼ 710½ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 119 5.00 12.18  
7  WAMPUS KITTEN 6 5 31 41   66¾ 810½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 ★ 1.52  
9  THE BIG BANSHEE 8 9 85 96¼   911¾ 920½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 34.07  
SCR  QUIMICHIS               (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   09/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:14 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ESCAPOLOGIST 4 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 1¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 10% 8.70 1.52 W
1  JR'S GIFT 1 2 42½ 41½ 42 22 2¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 11.17  
5  ROUTE RUNNER 5 4 32 31 31½ 43½ 36½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 5.00 6.39  
7  B SUDD 6 1 2nk 2nk 2½ 33 46¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 58% 0.70 1.50  
3  BRIGHT SPARK 3 6 66 63½ 64 55 56¾ (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 5.87  
2  WESLAN 2 5 54½ 53 53 65½ 68¼ (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 17.90 16.96  
SCR  QUATERNION               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 3.50    
 
CD-4   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WEATHER MAP 2 6 2nk 2nk   12 12½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 ★ 4.32  
5  THE PRINCESS SAYS 5 1 1nk 1nk   22 22½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 23% 3.30 1.50 P
6  AUNT JO 6 2 41¾ 32½   34 37¼ (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 47% 1.10 3.27 S
1  EVIE'S ENCORE 1 8 31½ 53½   45 48 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 7.82  
7  SOULFUL TARA 7 3 53¼ 43   55½ 58¼ (miller f)COURT K 121 10.00 23.86  
4  LADY FREE WILL 4 7 97¼ 76½   76½ 68¾ (minnock g)LANERIE J 121 15.00 42.91  
8  GOING TO TOWN 8 5 64¾ 65   66½ 710¼ (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 15.56  
3  SHA GIRL 3 9 74¾ 89½   89½ 811¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.85  
9  ENGLISH CHARM 9 4 86¼ 911   914½ 926¾ (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 11.13  
 
CD-5   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 :581     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  YOU AIN'T POPPN 2 3 41½ 3½   31 1½ (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 4.13  
4  SHORTSTOP 4 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2½ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 51% 1.00 3.33 P
3  FURIOUS ANGER 3 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 3½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 11% 7.80 1.90 S
8  BEN FRANKLIN 5 5 53 53   43 4¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 6.47  
1  PERFECT UPSTART 1 6 31½ 42   53½ 55½ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00 28.71  
9  BEARINGS 6 4 63¼ 65   67 67¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 10% 9.30 2.63  
SCR  BOPTROT               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 12.00    
SCR  NOT SO HOLY               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
SCR  SAHALAT               (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.60    
 
CD-6   09/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:12 1:36   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ACCREDIT 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 12 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 9% 9.60 6.14 W
6  GRAY'S FABLE 6 2 52 42½ 41½ 22 22 (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 6.08  
4  CELLIST 4 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 33½ 35¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.97 S
10  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 10 10 1010¼ 1010¾ 99¾ 99 45¾ (williamson )LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 22.21  
7  VINTAGE PRINT 7 3 31 32½ 31½ 45½ 56½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.86  
3  STREET READY 3 7 74 64 51¾ 56 68 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 37% 1.70 9.18  
9  DROPPIN G'S 9 5 63 75½ 63¾ 66 78½ (antonuik jerr)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00 45.07  
5  TWO BIRDS 5 6 86 85¾ 86¾ 88 89 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 122 30.00 12.03  
8  WAR CAMPAIGN 8 9 96¼ 95¾ 74¾ 77½ 910¼ (sims a)LANERIE J 122 6.00 5% 18.00 3.43  
1  NATIVE THUNDER 1 8 42 53½ 1016¾ 1034 10100 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 34.00  
SCR  PINE KNOLL               (medina robe)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.50    
 
CD-7   09/23/2023 6270ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bourbon Trail Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:372   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SLIP MAHONEY 2 1 31½ 41¾ 41½ 32 1¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.38 W
7  BIG DATA 6 5 41¾ 31½ 3½ 1½ 2¼ (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00 2.95  
5  OSCAR ECLIPSE 5 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ 33½ (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 3.00 16% 5.30 2.48 S
3  DENINGTON 3 2 54¼ 53¼ 63 44½ 47 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.50 7.97  
1  MANCIATA D'ORO 1 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 68 58 (cox h)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.00 25% 3.10 5.42  
4  SHIRL'S BEE 4 6 64¾ 63¾ 52½ 57 617¼ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 8.10  
SCR  LINCOLN HIGHWAY               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harrods Creek Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 6 2 2½ 2½   12 13¼ (cox h)TORRES A 118 2.00 34% 1.90 1.19 W
1  BOURBON BASH 1 4 32½ 41½   22 23¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 6.00 11.62  
3  LOYAL COMPANY 3 6 64½ 53   54½ 36 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 17% 4.80 2.99 S
2  DETERMINEDLY 2 3 53 63¼   44 46 (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 7.76  
4  BOUNCER 4 1 1½ 1½   32½ 57¼ (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5.00  
5  MOUNT UP 5 5 42½ 31½   64½ 69¼ (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50 27% 2.70 5.80  
SCR  PRAETORIAN GUARD               (linder jr)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   09/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Seneca Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:121 1:353   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  XIGERA 7 4 21 21 2½ 13 16¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 37% 1.70 2.90 W
3  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 3 2 11 11 1½ 23 26¼ (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 7.29  
1  TAXED 1 3 32 31½ 32½ 35 37¼ (morse randy)TORRES A 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.69 S
2  SABRA TUFF 2 5 74¾ 73¾ 54½ 47½ 414 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 15.39  
4  POBLANO 4 6 53½ 42 43 59½ 519½ (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 1.56  
6  FUN AND FEISTY 6 1 42 52 75½ 713 624¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.62  
5  CHAMPAGNE CALLING 5 7 63¾ 63½ 65 612½ 724¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 17.67  
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Dogwood Purse ($300K) 3 F PT-10:42
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LADY RADLER 5 5 41½ 41   11½ 12¾ (campbell michael)CASTANON L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 23.20 W
2  METAPHYSICAL 2 4 75½ 52½   21½ 22¾ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 2.74  
1  YESTERNIGHT 1 9 910¼ 98¼   43½ 34½ (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.59 S
7  TWICE AS SWEET 7 1 2nk 2nk   32½ 410½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 4.13  
6  SANTA FE GOLD 6 6 64½ 73¾   88 513¼ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 12.27  
9  ALEXA LOU 9 3 52½ 62¾   78 613¼ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 33% 2.10 4.12  
4  B G WARRIOR 4 2 1nk 1nk   67½ 716¾ (andrade hugo)RAMOS D 120 6.00 18.16  
8  NORAH G 8 7 31 3½   56½ 817 (west patricia)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 10% 9.10 15.30  
3  FLAMAND 3 8 85¾ 85¼   910½ 920¾ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 20.08  
 
CD-11   09/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:133 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRU NA BOINNE 3 2 2½ 21 1½ 12½ 12¾ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 13% 6.70 1.71 W
7  AMBER CASCADE 5 4 52½ 53½ 52¼ 22½ 22¾ (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 8.00 11.21  
12  LET'S DUET 10 8 85 85½ 85¼ 76¼ 36 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 32% 2.10 10.29 S
8  HER LADYSHIP 6 5 31½ 42½ 3½ 45 46 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 16.56  
3  SHOPLIFTER 2 1 1½ 11 2½ 34 56½ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 14.69  
11  FOREVER AFTER ALL 9 7 74 75 75¼ 55 66¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 122 4.00 23% 3.30 4.64  
10  DAWNY 8 3 63 64½ 64¾ 87¾ 76¾ (jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 37.03  
9  LEXA (FR) 7 10 95¼ 96 96¼ 98¼ 87¼ (beckman whitwort)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 15.81  
2  CALL AGAIN 1 9 41½ 32 42 66 99½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 7% 12.70 2.68  
5  CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 6 106¾ 108 1010¼ 1016¼ 1038 (bahena ismael)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 47.96  
SCR  FINE COTTON               (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
SCR  GRAND ENTRANCE               (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.