The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (10/9/2/3/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $10.84 $10.84 0.84
CD-2   Win (6/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $18.06 -8.00
CD-3   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.04 $5.04 -0.96
CD-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.64 -6.00
CD-5   Win (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.26 -6.00
CD-6   Win (3/4/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $14.28 $14.28 4.28
CD-7   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.76 $6.76 0.76
CD-8   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.38 $4.38 -1.62
CD-9   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
CD-10   Win (1/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $48.40 $48.40 40.40
CD-11   Win (12/11/4/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.42 $5.42 -4.58

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/23/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:00
:231 :491 1:141 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCHU 2 1 3 4 4 1½ 1(bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 13% 6.90 4.42 W
LUZ DIVINA 8 6 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 2(hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 29% 2.50 5.26 P
11  MOSHINE 10 7 7 84 8 839 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 11.55  
BA DEE YAH 4 9 84 74 64 549 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 10.86  
12  SHE IS INVINCIBLE (GB) 11 11 9 10 9 75 5(maker michael )TORRES A 114 15.00 34.45  
WITHOUT CAUSE 6 2 5 52 52 43 611 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 7.75  
PACE'S TWO SENSE 3 5 6 6 7 65 713¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
HIGH FASHION KATE 7 3 11 1½ 1nk 3815 (minnock g)LANERIE J 119 15.00 16.94  
13  AARALYN 12 8 42 31 3½ 96 916¾ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.48  
10  WEIGHTED AVERAGE 9 12 116 9 10 1111¼ 1020 (brown chad )TORRES A 119 3.00 34% 1.90 2.64  
SPIRIT IN THE MIST (FR) 1 4 10 11 11 1011 1120 (danner kelsey)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 36.69  
DASH OF LEMON 5 10 12 12 12 1214¼ 1226¼ (catalano m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 61.73  
SCR  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  I'M A MESS               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   09/23/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 6:28
:23 :464 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE BABE 1 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 1¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 8.03  
SWEET MIMI 5 7 41 2nk   1nk 2¾ (cox h)TORRES A 119 4.00 62% 0.60 3.85 P
ART QUEEN 2 3 6 7   536 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 16.79  
BIKINI BOTTOM 4 6 52 5   44(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 6% 15.90 5.57  
10  CORKAGE FEE 9 1 74 6   34 58 (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 114 10.00 18.57  
BACKWOODS BARBIE 7 8 9 8   769 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 5% 19.00 6.38  
LADY OF DEVON 3 4 2½ 3½   8710½ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 119 5.00 12.18  
WAMPUS KITTEN 6 5 31 41   6810½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 1.52  
THE BIG BANSHEE 8 9 85 9   911¾ 920½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 34.07  
SCR  QUIMICHIS               (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   09/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
:251 :494 1:14 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPOLOGIST 4 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 1¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 10% 8.70 1.52 W
JR'S GIFT 1 2 4 4 42 22 2¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 11.17  
ROUTE RUNNER 5 4 32 31 3 43(asmussen st)TORRES A 118 5.00 6.39  
B SUDD 6 1 2nk 2nk 2½ 33 4(stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 58% 0.70 1.50  
BRIGHT SPARK 3 6 66 6 64 55 5(flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 5.87  
WESLAN 2 5 5 53 53 66(wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 17.90 16.96  
SCR  QUATERNION               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 3.50    
 
CD-4   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
:214 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEATHER MAP 2 6 2nk 2nk   12 1(cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 4.32  
THE PRINCESS SAYS 5 1 1nk 1nk   22 2(hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 23% 3.30 1.50 P
AUNT JO 6 2 4 3   34 3(blair jordan)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 47% 1.10 3.27 S
EVIE'S ENCORE 1 8 3 5   45 48 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 7.82  
SOULFUL TARA 7 3 5 43   55(miller f)COURT K 121 10.00 23.86  
LADY FREE WILL 4 7 9 7   76(minnock g)LANERIE J 121 15.00 42.91  
GOING TO TOWN 8 5 6 65   6710¼ (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 15.56  
SHA GIRL 3 9 7 8   8811¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.85  
ENGLISH CHARM 9 4 8 911   914½ 926¾ (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 11.13  
 
CD-5   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:223 :463 :581     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU AIN'T POPPN 2 3 4 3½   31 1½ (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 4.13  
SHORTSTOP 4 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2½ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 51% 1.00 3.33 P
FURIOUS ANGER 3 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 3½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 11% 7.80 1.90 S
BEN FRANKLIN 5 5 53 53   43 4¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 6.47  
PERFECT UPSTART 1 6 3 42   55(barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00 28.71  
BEARINGS 6 4 6 65   67 6(mott i)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 10% 9.30 2.63  
SCR  BOPTROT               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 12.00    
SCR  NOT SO HOLY               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
SCR  SAHALAT               (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.60    
 
CD-6   09/23/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
:231 :473 1:12 1:36   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCREDIT 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 12 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 9% 9.60 6.14 W
GRAY'S FABLE 6 2 52 4 4 22 22 (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 6.08  
CELLIST 4 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 33(arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.97 S
10  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 10 10 1010¼ 1010¾ 9 99 4(williamson )LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 22.21  
VINTAGE PRINT 7 3 31 3 3 45(lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.86  
STREET READY 3 7 74 64 5 56 68 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 37% 1.70 9.18  
DROPPIN G'S 9 5 63 7 6 66 7(antonuik jerr)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00 45.07  
TWO BIRDS 5 6 86 8 8 88 89 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 122 30.00 12.03  
WAR CAMPAIGN 8 9 9 9 7 7910¼ (sims a)LANERIE J 122 6.00 5% 18.00 3.43  
NATIVE THUNDER 1 8 42 5 1016¾ 1034 10100 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 34.00  
SCR  PINE KNOLL               (medina robe)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.50    
 
CD-7   09/23/2023 6270ft DIRT FAST Bourbon Trail Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 9:05
:233 :48 1:123 1:372   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIP MAHONEY 2 1 3 4 4 32 1¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.38 W
BIG DATA 6 5 4 3 3½ 1½ 2¼ (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00 2.95  
OSCAR ECLIPSE 5 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ 3(lynch brian)TORRES A 118 3.00 16% 5.30 2.48 S
DENINGTON 3 2 5 5 63 447 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.50 7.97  
MANCIATA D'ORO 1 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 68 58 (cox h)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.00 25% 3.10 5.42  
SHIRL'S BEE 4 6 6 6 5 57 617¼ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 8.10  
SCR  LINCOLN HIGHWAY               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Harrods Creek Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 9:39
:224 :452 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 6 2 2½ 2½   12 1(cox h)TORRES A 118 2.00 34% 1.90 1.19 W
BOURBON BASH 1 4 3 4   22 2(lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 6.00 11.62  
LOYAL COMPANY 3 6 6 53   536 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 17% 4.80 2.99 S
DETERMINEDLY 2 3 53 6   44 46 (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 7.76  
BOUNCER 4 1 1½ 1½   35(casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5.00  
MOUNT UP 5 5 4 3   66(pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50 27% 2.70 5.80  
SCR  PRAETORIAN GUARD               (linder jr)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   09/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Seneca Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT-10:11
:24 :48 1:121 1:353   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XIGERA 7 4 21 21 2½ 13 1(bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 37% 1.70 2.90 W
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 3 2 11 11 1½ 23 2(shirer mat)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 7.29  
TAXED 1 3 32 3 3 35 3(morse randy)TORRES A 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.69 S
SABRA TUFF 2 5 7 7 5 4414 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 15.39  
POBLANO 4 6 5 42 43 5519½ (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 1.56  
FUN AND FEISTY 6 1 42 52 7 713 624¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.62  
CHAMPAGNE CALLING 5 7 6 6 65 612½ 724¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 17.67  
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Dogwood Purse ($300K) 3 F PT-10:42
:221 :452 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY RADLER 5 5 4 41   11(campbell michael)CASTANON L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 23.20 W
METAPHYSICAL 2 4 7 5   22(hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 2.74  
YESTERNIGHT 1 9 910¼ 9   43(schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.59 S
TWICE AS SWEET 7 1 2nk 2nk   3410½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 4.13  
SANTA FE GOLD 6 6 6 7   88 513¼ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 12.27  
ALEXA LOU 9 3 5 6   78 613¼ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 33% 2.10 4.12  
B G WARRIOR 4 2 1nk 1nk   6716¾ (andrade hugo)RAMOS D 120 6.00 18.16  
NORAH G 8 7 31 3½   5817 (west patricia)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 10% 9.10 15.30  
FLAMAND 3 8 8 8   910½ 920¾ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 20.08  
 
CD-11   09/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
:243 :491 1:133 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRU NA BOINNE 3 2 2½ 21 1½ 11(calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 13% 6.70 1.71 W
AMBER CASCADE 5 4 5 5 5 22(devaux cher)TORRES A 118 8.00 11.21  
12  LET'S DUET 10 8 85 8 8 736 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 32% 2.10 10.29 S
HER LADYSHIP 6 5 3 4 3½ 45 46 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 16.56  
SHOPLIFTER 2 1 1½ 11 2½ 34 5(kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 14.69  
11  FOREVER AFTER ALL 9 7 74 75 7 55 6(stall m)LANERIE J 122 4.00 23% 3.30 4.64  
10  DAWNY 8 3 63 6 6 87(jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 37.03  
LEXA 7 10 9 96 9 98(beckman whitwort)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 15.81  
CALL AGAIN 1 9 4 32 42 66 9(mott i)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 7% 12.70 2.68  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 6 10 108 1010¼ 1016¼ 1038 (bahena ismael)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 47.96  
SCR  FINE COTTON               (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
SCR  GRAND ENTRANCE               (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.