Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delaware Park
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   TRI (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-8-1 $16.25 $4.25 35%
    SFT (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-8-1-4 $9.30 $6.90 288%
DEL-8   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.80 $2.80 47%
Simulator Race results
 
DEL-1   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:15     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEAUTY IN MOTION 5 1 3½ 31½ 1½ 11 13 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 1.60 33% 2.00 1.60 W
8  EXAGERADORA 8 7 63¼ 64 53½ 51¼ 23 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 17% 4.80 3.00 P
1  PEACE PACT 1 6 41 52 42½ 31 33 (hendriks rich)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 6.00 10% 9.20 6.90 S
4  DUSTED 4 2 51¼ 42 32 21 43 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 16% 5.20 2.30  
2  RED RIVER SUSI 2 4 1nk 11 2½ 41¼ 57 (deiter l)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 39.90  
3  PAUL'S TRICKY TALE 3 3 2nk 21 65½ 65¼ 612¾ (yovanovich dona)MENA E 123 12.00 28.10  
7  MS KAYS COWGIRL 7 8 85¾ 77 810½ 78¼ 718¾ (kravets bruce )CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00 26.20  
6  DON'T ANNOY ME 6 5 73¾ 87¼ 710½ 89¼ 820½ (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 111 10.00 15.10  
 
DEL-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PROVIDING 4 1 5¾ 1½   14 14¼ (gorham michael )CENTENO E 125 2.00 2.70  
7  WIN OR CELLAR 5 3 4¾ 2½   24 24¼ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00 5.10  
4  THROWBACK 3 2 3.2 42   46 37½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00 45% 1.20 3.50 S
1  G G'S DARK STAR 1 5 1nk 31   35½ 47¾ (delgado jorg)SANTIAGO EDDIE 123 6.00 18% 4.60 20.70 DQ↓5
2  ANGELIC GAL 2 4 2nk 53½   512 515¼ (o'connell )ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00 0.90  
SCR  COMODA               (gayle d)MENA E 120 10.00    
SCR  SAWEETIE GIRL               (d'angelo jos)ARROYO S 120 3.00    
 
DEL-3   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:131 1:40   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DON'T TELL KELLY 3 4 2½ 2½ 11 110 115¼ (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 54% 0.80 1.10 W
1  TURBO MILLIE 1 1 31½ 31½ 34 312 215¼ (simoff andrew)MENA E 114 6.00 5.20  
6  EASTERN SUNRISE 5 5 1½ 1½ 21 210 315¼ (servis t)HENRY JR 114 4.00 6.50  
5  AMORICA 4 2 53½ 63 55 515 416½ (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 10.00 9% 9.80 10.40  
7  FOREVER HOPEFUL 6 6 42 42 45 415 518 (stidham mich)ARROYO S 118 3.00 13% 6.70 2.30  
2  INTOLERANT (ARG) 2 3 63½ 53 66½ 621 643½ (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00 16.00  
SCR  NOSY               (arnold pamela)BEATO INOEL 114 8.00    
 
DEL-4   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY 2 1 1½ 11 11½ 17 114 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.50 W
3  LAWLESSNESS 3 2 74¼ 87¾ 810½ 610½ 214 (lake a)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 12.70  
4  RUTHENIAN 4 4 62¼ 62¾ 32½ 49 314¼ (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 ★ 1.70 S
6  HONOR MY WORLD 6 5 2½ 21 21½ 27 415¼ (horner ellen)ARROYO S 122 10.00 38.40  
8  HE'S ON FIRE 7 7 41 32½ 55½ 510 515¼ (mancilla carlos)CENTENO E 119 3.50 4.00  
5  STREET LAMP 5 6 31 42½ 44½ 39 616 (sillaman rich)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 8.00 33% 2.00 9.60  
9  STARSHIP GOTHAM 8 8 84¼ 76¾ 68½ 712½ 717¾ (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00 58.50  
1  PAPA JIMMY 1 3 51¼ 52¾ 79½ 821½ 843½ (wagner karin)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
SCR  THE COLORA KID               (smith colli)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 6.00    
 
DEL-5   10/12/2023 5490ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:132 1:40   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT BOTTOM GIRL 1 6 64 43 31 1nk 12¼ (kelly blake)ARROYO S 123 12.00 5% 19.00 1.80 W
4  TRES MARIA'S DREAM 4 3 85¾ 54 52 32 22¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 5.00 27% 2.70 1.90 P
3  LADY RAVEN 3 7 116 88½ 74 53 33¼ (voss eliza)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 15.00 65.60  
9  WINE IN THE DARK 9 1 32 32 1nk 2nk 45¼ (hendriks richa)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00 7% 13.70 8.70  
6  BOUNTY KILLAH 6 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 42½ 56¾ (richards ma)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 15.00 32.60  
13  APPLE LOVER 11 10 95¾ 119¼ 84½ 67 68¼ (carvajal luis )MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 25.20  
5  BIG SIS NIC 5 4 43 64½ 63 79 711 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 20.00 63.20  
12  SHAYMYNAME 10 11 106 109¼ 105¾ 910½ 812½ (chichakly)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 18.50  
2  SEA IMAGE 2 12 127 1210¼ 115¾ 89½ 915 (strauss beverl)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 ######  
8  PALACSINTA 8 2 1nk 1nk 41½ 1017½ 1025 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 40% 1.50 4.60  
14  APRIL'S GOLD 12 8 53½ 77½ 95½ 1120½ 1126¼ (ashby lynn)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 6% 16.50 13.20  
7  AKIVA 7 9 74¼ 98¾ 126¾ 1230½ 1236¼ (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  DIVINE PROMISE               (wagner karin)HIRALDO JOHN 123 15.00    
SCR  HURRY UP DEAR               (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00    
 
DEL-6   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :444 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUN POPPY 2 6 21 32½   31½ 1¾ (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50 5.60  
6  STREET HUSTLE 6 2 53¼ 52¾   42 2¾ (eubanks annette)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
1  TAKE A HINT 1 5 31 1nk   1nk 31¼ (capuano gary)ARROYO S 120 1.50 55% 0.80 1.30 S
3  SWIFTY DEVIL 3 4 11 2nk   2nk 41¾ (gorham michael )CENTENO E 118 8.00 5.20  
5  LIBERTY STAR 5 1 63¾ 65¾   54 52¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 2.50 14% 6.30 4.60  
4  DISCO DEVIL 4 3 41¼ 42¾   64¼ 68¾ (nazario pedro)HIRALDO JOHN 125 10.00 14.30  
 
DEL-7   10/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123     1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  APRIL FOOLS ANDY 7 10 1013¼ 87¾   32 1½ (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 117 10.00 7.80  
6  PHILEAS FOGG 4 4 26 21½   1nk 2½ (stidham mich)ARROYO S 117 6.00 27% 2.70 5.60 P
12  TWIST 'N TWIRL 9 7 58 32½   42½ 33½ (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 6.00 15% 5.70 1.50 S
7  FURIOUSLY 5 5 911¼ 98¼   74¾ 43½ (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 4.50 26% 2.80 7.30  
9  ADMIRAL'S WAVE 6 9 710½ 76¾   54½ 54½ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 10.00 5.00  
1  BIG LOUIE 1 3 16 11½   2nk 65¾ (marino gary)FUENTES MARIO 117 20.00 65.00  
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 2 37½ 52¾   64¾ 76½ (jacobson d)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 8% 12.20 28.00  
14  SAGRADA RAY 10 8 69 64¾   86¾ 87 (capuano g)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
11  BOMBOLONI 8 6 48 42½   99¾ 912¼ (capuano phill)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00 18.70  
4  POSITIVELY AWESOME 3 1 810¾ 109¾   1018¾ 1024¼ (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 20.00 73.10  
SCR  HASHTAG NO WONDER               (morris r)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MY DANNY BOY               (strauss beve)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
SCR  MYSTERY MO               (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE               (russell br)SANCHEZ J 117 3.00    
 
DEL-8   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVIN' AT THE BU 1 1 12 1½ 12½ 16 112¾ (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 15% 5.80 3.40 W
6  WICKED T 5 5 58½ 67½ 610½ 38 212¾ (bobadilla)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00 23.80  
7  MIKEY'S JEWEL 6 6 69 56½ 46 48 312¾ (salinas jos)INIRIO J 120 8.00 16.70  
2  CAGED PIXIE 2 4 22 2½ 22½ 26 413½ (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 4.00 10% 8.60 0.50  
3  NURSE RACHETT 3 3 32½ 3½ 34 511 523 (cronk sa)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 10.00 5.80  
4  FREE KITTY 4 2 44½ 43½ 510 617 652¼ (corrales jose)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00 53% 0.90 8.90  
SCR  GRAPHITE DUTCHESS               (gorham michael )MENA E 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.