Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (5/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/1)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/1)-(4/1)-(4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(4/7/5)-(2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-3   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(2/5/1)-(8/4/9/14/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(8/4/9/14/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(8/4/9/14/1)-(1/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-5   WIN (8/4/9/14/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/14/1)-(8/4/9/14/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/14/1)-(8/4/9/14/1)-(8/4/9/14/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/9/14/1)-(1/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/14/1)-(1/5/6)-(6/7/12/2/14) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
DEL-6   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(6/7/12/2/14) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(6/7/12/2/14)-(4/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-7   WIN (6/7/12/2/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/12/2/14)-(6/7/12/2/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/12/2/14)-(6/7/12/2/14)-(6/7/12/2/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/12/2/14)-(4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DEL-8   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACE PACT Sep27 Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 Jan27 (hendriks rich)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 6.00 10% 9.20    
2  RED RIVER SUSI Sep22 Sep09 Jul22     (deiter l)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
3  PAUL'S TRICKY TALE Sep22 Sep07 Aug09 Jul20 Oct14 (yovanovich dona)MENA E 123 12.00    
4  DUSTED Sep29 Sep15 Aug18 Jul30 Jul21 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
5  BEAUTY IN MOTION Sep22         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 1.60 33% 2.00    
6  DON'T ANNOY ME Sep22 Sep07 Aug12 Jul20 Jul12 (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 111 10.00    
7  MS KAYS COWGIRL Sep22 Sep04 Jul13 May24 May12 (kravets bruce )CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00    
8  EXAGERADORA Sep22 Sep13 Aug13 Jul28 Jul08 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
DEL-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G G'S DARK STAR May27 Jan18 Dec24 Dec09 Sep24 (delgado jorg)SANTIAGO EDDIE 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  ANGELIC GAL Sep04 Aug12 Jul28 May05 Mar11 (o'connell )ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00    
SCR  SAWEETIE GIRL Aug19 Jun30 Apr02 Feb24 Jan29 (d'angelo jos)ARROYO S 120 3.00    
4  THROWBACK Sep28 Sep04 Jul08 Jun09 Apr07 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
5  PROVIDING Sep27 Sep03 Jul19 Aug13 Jul14 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 125 2.00    
SCR  COMODA Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 Jul16 Jun18 (gayle d)MENA E 120 10.00    
7  WIN OR CELLAR Sep28 Aug31 Apr30 Apr12 Mar05 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00    
 
DEL-3   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURBO MILLIE Sep09 Aug12       (simoff andrew)MENA E 114 6.00    
2  INTOLERANT (ARG) Sep20         (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00    
SCR  NOSY Sep29         (arnold pamela)BEATO INOEL 114 8.00    
4  DON'T TELL KELLY Sep21 Sep01       (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
5  AMORICA Sep29 Sep09 Jul26 Jul08 Jun10 (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 10.00 9% 9.80    
6  EASTERN SUNRISE Sep11         (servis t)HENRY JR 114 4.00    
7  FOREVER HOPEFUL Sep16         (stidham mich)ARROYO S 118 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
DEL-4   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA JIMMY Sep28 Aug16 Jul15 Jun14 May31 (wagner karin)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Sep07 Aug10 Jun30 Jun17 Apr28 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  LAWLESSNESS Sep28 Sep07 Aug16 Jul24 Jun15 (lake a)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
4  RUTHENIAN Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 ★    
5  STREET LAMP Sep28 Aug27 Oct28 Sep25 Sep15 (sillaman rich)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 8.00 33% 2.00    
6  HONOR MY WORLD Aug04 Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 May27 (horner ellen)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
SCR  THE COLORA KID Sep28 Sep13 Sep02 Aug19 Jul26 (smith colli)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 6.00    
8  HE'S ON FIRE Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 Jul19 Jul07 (mancilla carlos)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
9  STARSHIP GOTHAM Sep28 Aug16 Jul23 Jul05 Jun12 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
 
DEL-5   10/12/2023 5490ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT BOTTOM GIRL Sep29 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 Mar03 (kelly blake)ARROYO S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEA IMAGE Sep30 Sep22 Sep09 Aug23 Jul05 (strauss beverl)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
3  LADY RAVEN Sep06         (voss eliza)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 15.00    
4  TRES MARIA'S DREAM Sep16 Aug06 Jul15 Nov25 Nov03 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  BIG SIS NIC Sep13 Aug24 Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
6  BOUNTY KILLAH Sep20 Sep06 Aug26 Aug05 Jul19 (richards ma)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 15.00    
7  AKIVA Jul30 Jun03 May18     (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
8  PALACSINTA Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jun25 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
9  WINE IN THE DARK Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 (hendriks richa)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  HURRY UP DEAR Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 Jun25 Jun17 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00    
SCR  DIVINE PROMISE Oct08 Sep29 Sep09 Aug05 Jul19 (wagner karin)HIRALDO JOHN 123 15.00    
12  SHAYMYNAME Sep15 Jul08 Jun25 May27 Apr20 (chichakly)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
13  APPLE LOVER Sep09 May14 Apr23 Mar31 Mar02 (carvajal luis )MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
14  APRIL'S GOLD         (ashby lynn)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 6% 16.50    
 
DEL-6   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE A HINT Sep13 Aug17 Jul14 Jun17 Aug31 (capuano gary)ARROYO S 120 1.50 55% 0.80    
2  RUN POPPY Sep28 Aug17 Jul21 Jun22 Jun09 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50    
3  SWIFTY DEVIL Sep13 Aug17 Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 118 8.00    
4  DISCO DEVIL Sep21 Sep06 Aug26 Jul26 Jul13 (nazario pedro)HIRALDO JOHN 125 10.00    
5  LIBERTY STAR Sep15 Aug20 Aug05 Jul07 Jun03 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 2.50 14% 6.30    
6  STREET HUSTLE Sep27 Sep01 Jul29 Jul09 Jun16 (eubanks annette)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-7   10/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG LOUIE Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Jul27 Jun09 (marino gary)FUENTES MARIO 117 20.00    
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Jul27 Jun18 May05 Apr02 Mar05 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  MYSTERY MO Sep16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 May27 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
4  POSITIVELY AWESOME Sep22 Sep13 Aug04 Jul11 Jun12 (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HASHTAG NO WONDER Aug04 Jul08 Jun20 Jun04 May04 (morris r)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
6  PHILEAS FOGG Sep02 Jul15 Jun28 Dec08   (stidham mich)ARROYO S 117 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  FURIOUSLY Jan08 Dec07 Sep27 Aug22   (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  MY DANNY BOY Oct04 Sep16 Aug16 Aug03 Jul15 (strauss beve)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
9  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Sep02 Aug02 Jul14 Jun09 May18 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 10.00    
10  APRIL FOOLS ANDY Sep28 Sep02 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 117 10.00    
11  BOMBOLONI Sep22 Aug20 Aug03 Jun24 May29 (capuano phill)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00    
12  TWIST 'N TWIRL Sep09 Jul08 May19 Jul08 Jun04 (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE Aug26 Jul21 Apr08 Mar10 Jan29 (russell br)SANCHEZ J 117 3.00    
14  SAGRADA RAY Sep15 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 May25 (capuano g)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-8   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVIN' AT THE BU Jun07 Jan30 Aug18 Jul31 Jun24 (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 15% 5.80    
2  CAGED PIXIE Sep27 Aug27 Jun17 May26 Feb03 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 4.00 10% 8.60    
3  NURSE RACHETT Sep20 Sep02 Aug05 Jul27 Jul05 (cronk sa)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 10.00    
4  FREE KITTY         (corrales jose)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Sep26 Sep06 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 6.00    
6  WICKED T Sep14 Aug18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 (bobadilla)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00    
7  MIKEY'S JEWEL Sep13 Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 Jul14 (salinas jos)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.