Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.20  
PID-2   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
PID-3   Win (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
PID-4   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $23.80  
PID-5   Win (10/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $8.80  
PID-6   Win (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
PID-7   Win (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $21.20 $21.20 13.20
PID-8   Win (9/1/12/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 4 5 5 6   4 12 (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 5.00 4.10  
TIZ PROMISING RVF 2 6 4 5   1nk 22 (antus lawrence)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00 5% 17.30 29.70 P
PROPER MANNERS 5 1 3 31   31 3 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 3.00 23% 3.40 5.10 S
RIVERSIDE WALK (GB) 1 4 11 1nk   2nk 4 (hayes w)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 49% 1.00 0.70  
WATERLOO SUNSET 3 3 21 2nk   5 56 (schneider kim)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 17.50  
SALLY'S MUSTANG 6 2 6 4   6 6 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 4.10  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL STAR               (brooks ger)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
 
PID-2   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:252 :503 1:143 1:401   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT FROST 7 2 1 1½ 1nk 11 1¼ (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 20% 4.10 1.40 W
TWISTED TREASURE 2 3 33 63 5 31 2¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 7.40  
LIGHTNING ROUND 5 7 77 75 6 5 3 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 7.10  
RICHIES NOBLE GIRL 1 5 54 4 4 42 42 (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 25% 3.00 2.30  
NEVISIAN SPIRIT 6 1 2 3½ 2nk 21 5 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 28% 2.60 8.00  
THISAINTJUMPSTREET 3 6 6 2½ 31 6 6 (markgraf david)WALKER M 122 6.00 12.10  
NOT ORBINARY 4 4 4 52 7 710¼ 717 (guciardo j)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 12.00  
 
PID-3   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNSEEN 7 1 6 41   2½ 1¾ (camejo m)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 29% 2.40 5.60 W
CLOUD IN THE WIND 3 3 2nk 1½   1½ 2¾ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 1.60  
A ROSE FOR TINA 5 7 42 3½   41 3 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50 2.50  
FIGHT IN THE DOG 1 5 1nk 2½   3½ 4 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 6.00 29% 2.50 11.80  
WARRIOR BERNICE 6 2 7 7   54 5 (girten tim)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 16% 5.20 8.90  
VERSACE SUMMER 8 8 8 8   7 612¾ (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00 26.10  
ANY FOOLS GOLD 4 6 5 6   65 715 (schoenthal phil)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 5.90  
MY JENNY 2 4 3½ 52   8 821½ (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
 
PID-4   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:144 1:40   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARY KATHERINE 6 5 65 6 6 4 1½ (brion keri)SPIETH S 121 5.00 10.90  
I'M GLAD (IRE) 2 4 5 52 5 1½ 2½ (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 26% 2.90 1.70 P
FINE FABRIC 1 6 42 3 41 3 3 (graham edward)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 6.00 5.40  
DETERMINED EMPIRE 5 2 32 4 3½ 5 4 (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 124 1.60 43% 1.30 1.20  
OUTTA THE CLOUD 3 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 5 (markgraf david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.00 7.30  
LEAPIN LEVA 4 3 2 2½ 2½ 610½ 634 (delong ben)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 7% 12.70 23.30  
SCR  COME ON LADY               (delong b)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 12.00    
 
PID-5   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:22 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANHOPE 5 1 5 31   1nk 11 (lucas bonnie)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 3.40  
BALISTICO 2 2 3 4   3.2 21 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 20.00 8% 11.00 19.80 P
SPEEDY MOONLITE 1 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 31 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 30% 2.30 3.50 S
10  SOUTH SEA 6 6 6 5   4 4 (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 31% 2.30 1.40  
FUNKY MUSIC 4 5 4 6   6 511½ (fletcher )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00 8.60  
RUNAWAY STAR 3 3 2nk 2nk   5 614¼ (weaver cassondra)STANLEY O 122 5.00 3.90  
SCR  CROWLEY'S WAR               (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
SCR  FOREST SURVIVOR               (potts wayne)TAPARA BRANDON 122 5.00    
SCR  HINDENBURG               (brooks ger)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
SCR  LYRICAL POET               (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50    
 
PID-6   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:363   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUNDED 4 3 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 1½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 39% 1.50 3.10 W
POSSIBLEMENTE 3 8 6 6 3½ 1nk 2½ (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 119 3.50 11% 8.00 2.20 P
BRYCE CANYON 6 7 811 8 85 5 3 (kelly blake)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 4.80  
VELOCE 8 6 75 7 6 74 48 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 12.00 22.50  
BARNEGAT LIGHT 1 1 32 31 4 33 5 (hamm timothy)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 6.70  
OVER THE CHANNEL 2 2 5 52 52 6 6 (caramori caio)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 8% 10.90 8.20  
PEMAQUID PETE 7 4 21 2½ 2½ 4 713 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 18% 4.50 4.70  
EPIC LUCK 5 5 43 42 7 85 813¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 15.00 33.00  
SCR  COMEDIC TIMING               (rojas edua)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
 
PID-7   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Finest City Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAVETTE 5 3 1 1   1 1nk (begg james)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 12% 7.40 9.60 W
DANCING SPIRIT 2 6 4 3   2 2nk (rice adam)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 1.40 P
10  CANDY REWARD 10 9 7 43   32 3½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 116 8.00 3.30  
REIGERT GIRLS 9 4 5 53   43 4 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 116 6.00 22.10  
DEWEY DOIT 6 1 3 64   5 5 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 51% 1.00 2.50  
NOISY ON THE BAY 8 8 9 7   7 68 (coletti ed)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 116 4.50 14% 5.90 12.30  
TWISTED EMPRESS 4 10 1011¼ 9   9 79 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 116 20.00 89.00  
WILD CREATION 3 7 8 10   10 811¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 65.00  
NORMANDY LIFE 1 5 2 2   65 911½ (albright george )CONNER TYLER 118 12.00 44.20  
QUEEN OF HEARTS 7 2 6 8   8 1012 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 116 20.00 38.70  
 
PID-8   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SMILE 7 5 21 2½   2nk 1 (cheeks kat)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.30 W
JOSH'S HONOR 1 7 11 1½   1nk 2 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50 20% 4.10 2.10 P
BACKDOORPARTY 5 6 96 9   32 3 (martin wil)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 8.20  
11  LARZ 9 4 64 54   5 42 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 6% 15.30 6.40  
DONTINVADEMYSPACE 4 3 32 32   43 5 (brooks e)ALLEN M 119 4.50 5.50  
10  ASPLUNDER 8 1 8 6   8 6 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 119 10.00 32.10  
GRAVE DANGER 6 10 10 86   7 7 (kintz matthe)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 54.00  
SILVER TOKEN 3 9 54 107   9 8 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 8.00 6% 15.30 19.90  
BUFF AND SHINE 2 8 7 7   6 9 (salinas )SMITH DANIEL 122 20.00 66.70  
12  AEGONTHECONQUEROR 10 2 4 4   1013½ 1018¾ (rotunno r)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 18% 4.60 11.80  
SCR  ARGYLL               (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 10.00    
SCR  SCIENCE TO WIN               (herrington call)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.