Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(6/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/1/7)-(7/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(7/1/6/2)-(6/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/2)-(6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/2)-(6/2/5)-(10/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(10/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(10/4/5)-(4/8/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (10/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/5)-(10/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/5)-(10/4/5)-(10/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/4/5)-(4/8/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/4/5)-(4/8/3/2)-(6/8/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/2)-(6/8/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/2)-(6/8/5/3)-(9/1/12/11/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/2/3)-(6/8/5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/5/3)-(9/1/12/11/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (9/1/12/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/12/11/3)-(9/1/12/11/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/1/12/11/3)-(9/1/12/11/3)-(9/1/12/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERSIDE WALK (GB) Sep11 Aug09 Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 (hayes w)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  TIZ PROMISING RVF Oct04 Sep25 Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 (antus lawren)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00 5% 17.30    
3  WATERLOO SUNSET Sep25 Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 Jun07 (schneider kim)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
4  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Oct04 Sep18 Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 5.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL STAR Oct06 Sep28 Sep19 Aug09 Jul17 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
6  PROPER MANNERS Sep11 Aug29 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  SALLY'S MUSTANG Sep26 Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
 
PID-2   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Sep28 Aug30 Aug14 Jul17 Jun14 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  TWISTED TREASURE Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Aug01 Jul05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
3  THISAINTJUMPSTREET Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 6.00    
4  NOT ORBINARY Sep13 Aug22 Oct18 Oct06 Aug17 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
5  LIGHTNING ROUND Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Aug07 Jul11 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
6  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Aug01 Jul17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  MIDNIGHT FROST Oct09 Sep26 Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
PID-3   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT IN THE DOG         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
2  MY JENNY Oct02 Sep05       (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLOUD IN THE WIND Sep27 Sep06 Jul17     (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
4  ANY FOOLS GOLD Sep24 Aug11 Jul14     (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
5  A ROSE FOR TINA Sep21 Sep04 Aug21     (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50    
6  WARRIOR BERNICE Sep28         (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
7  UNSEEN Sep15 Sep04 Aug19     (camejo m)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
8  VERSACE SUMMER Oct03 Sep15 Jul14     (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
 
PID-4   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE FABRIC Oct20         (graham edward)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILK AND SATIN by STORM CAT)
2  I'M GLAD (IRE) Sep22 Aug25 Aug18 May12 Apr09 (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of KAMAKURA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  COME ON LADY Sep25         (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 12.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SHE'S A FINE LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  OUTTA THE CLOUD Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 Aug04 Jun26 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SURPRISE CAMEO by GIANT SURPRISE)
5  LEAPIN LEVA Sep25 Aug30 Jul25     (delong ben)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 7% 12.70    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  DETERMINED EMPIRE Sep09 Aug02 Jun24 Jun03 May14 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of JOURNEY HOME by WAR FRONT)
7  MARY KATHERINE Jul13 Jun24 May18 Apr22   (brion keri)SPIETH S 121 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of VIRGIN COCKTAIL by OLD FASHIONED)
 
PID-5   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HINDENBURG Oct03 Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 Jul25 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
SCR  LYRICAL POET Sep03 Aug02 Oct23 Sep14 Jul29 (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50    
SCR  FOREST SURVIVOR Aug26 Jul30 Jun23 May21 Mar12 (potts wayne)TAPARA BRANDON 122 5.00    
4  SPEEDY MOONLITE Aug30 Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 May12 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 30% 2.30    
5  BALISTICO Sep26 Sep19 Aug26 Jul01 Jun10 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 20.00 8% 11.00    
6  RUNAWAY STAR Sep20 Aug15 Aug01 Oct20 Sep21 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 122 5.00    
SCR  CROWLEY'S WAR Sep20 Sep11 Aug17 Jul18 Apr02 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
8  FUNKY MUSIC Sep12 Aug14 Feb16 Jan12 Nov03 (fletche)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00    
9  STANHOPE Sep15 Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (lucas bonnie)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
10  SOUTH SEA Sep26 Sep04 Aug22 Aug16 Jul24 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
 
PID-6   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARNEGAT LIGHT Sep26 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 May30 (hamm timothy)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
2  OVER THE CHANNEL Sep13 Aug29 Feb08 Jan12 Dec16 (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 8% 10.90    
3  POSSIBLEMENTE May30 Apr21 Mar12 Feb17 Jan28 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  GROUNDED Sep26 Aug22 Jul25 Jun07 Oct17 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
5  EPIC LUCK Oct05 Sep07 Sep01 Aug07 Jul19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 15.00    
6  BRYCE CANYON Sep09 Aug19 May28 Apr30 Mar25 (kelly blake)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50    
SCR  COMEDIC TIMING Oct05 Sep22 Sep10 Aug04 Jul21 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
8  PEMAQUID PETE Oct03 Sep05 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
9  VELOCE Sep26 Sep09 Aug18 Jul27 Jun17 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Finest City Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORMANDY LIFE Sep23 Aug21 Jul28 Jul17   (albright georg)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of HYGH LIFE by LITE THE FUSE)
2  DANCING SPIRIT Oct04 Aug30 Aug13 Jul17   (rice adam)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 ★    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of DANCING SPARKS by JUMP START)
3  WILD CREATION Sep14 Aug23 Jul28 Jul18 May23 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of WILD ORATION by ORATORY)
4  TWISTED EMPRESS Oct02 Sep21 Sep05     (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 116 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
5  GREAVETTE Sep07 Jul07       (begg jam)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 12% 7.40    
  (by ASTERN out of CONVERTIBLE by FORESTRY)
6  DEWEY DOIT Sep19 Aug21       (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  QUEEN OF HEARTS Oct02 Jul28       (fennessy john)WALES GARY 116 20.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
8  NOISY ON THE BAY Sep23         (coletti )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 116 4.50 14% 5.90    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SUNDAYS ON THE BAY by DISCO RICO)
9  REIGERT GIRLS Oct02         (girten t)GALLARDO A 116 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  CANDY REWARD         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 116 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
PID-8   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSH'S HONOR Oct05 Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 Jul10 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  BUFF AND SHINE Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 (salina)SMITH DANIEL 122 20.00    
3  SILVER TOKEN Sep28 Sep13 Sep04 Aug17 Aug01 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 8.00 6% 15.30    
4  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Sep28 Sep04 Aug26 Aug21 Jul05 (brooks e)ALLEN M 119 4.50    
5  BACKDOORPARTY Sep21 Jul25 Jul05 Feb03 Jan07 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
SCR  SCIENCE TO WIN Sep28 Sep13 Aug02 Jun05 May17 (herrington ca)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
SCR  ARGYLL Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 10.00    
8  GRAVE DANGER Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 (kintz matt)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
9  LUCKY SMILE Sep25 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 May12 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
10  ASPLUNDER Sep13 Sep04 Aug21 Aug10 Jul18 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
11  LARZ Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 Jul25 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 6% 15.30    
12  AEGONTHECONQUEROR Aug31 Oct26 Oct20 Sep20 Sep08 (rotunno sydney)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.