Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $17.40 $5.40 45%
PID-2   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-7 $25.00 $13.00 108%
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/2/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-8 $57.20 $39.20 218%
PID-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $12.60 $8.60 215%
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-5 $21.00 $17.00 425%
    DD (7/2/8)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-1 $154.60 $142.60 1188%
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(7/2/8)-(5/1) 18 $2.00 $36.00  2-8-1 $286.20 $250.20 695%
PID-4   TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-3-2 $23.20 $11.20 93%
    DD (5/1)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-1 $44.80 $32.80 273%
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(5/1)-(1/2/3) 18 $2.00 $36.00  8-1-1 $194.00 $158.00 439%
PID-5   WIN (8/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    DD (1/2/3)-(8/6/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $30.40 $6.40 27%
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/2/3)-(8/6/5/9) 24 $2.00 $48.00  1-1-6 $228.60 $180.60 376%
    PK4 (7/2/8)-(5/1)-(1/2/3)-(8/6/5/9) 72 $2.00 $144  8-1-1-6 $2083 $1939 1347%
    PK5 (2/5/1)-(7/2/8)-(5/1)-(1/2/3)-(8/6/5/9) 216 $2.00 $432  2-8-1-1-6 $3323 $2891 669%
PID-6   DD (8/6/5/9)-(7/1/5/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-5 $44.20 $12.20 38%
PID-7   EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4-3 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    PK3 (8/6/5/9)-(7/1/5/4)-(4/3) 32 $2.00 $64.00  6-5/6-1/4/5 $86.00 $22.00 34%
PID-8   WIN (3/5/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $12.20 $2.20 22%
    TRI (3/5/4/7/2)-(3/5/4/7/2)-(3/5/4/7/2) 60 $2.00 $120  5-4-2 $323.80 $203.80 170%
    DD (4/3)-(3/5/4/7/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00  4-5 $26.40 $6.40 32%
    PK3 (7/1/5/4)-(4/3)-(3/5/4/7/2) 40 $2.00 $80.00  5/6-1/4/5-5 $106.00 $26.00 33%
    PK4 (8/6/5/9)-(7/1/5/4)-(4/3)-(3/5/4/7/2) 160 $2.00 $320  6-5/6-1/4/5-5 $658.20 $338.20 106%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIDEN LANE 2 4 1½ 1nk   1 1 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 47% 1.10 1.50 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of BRABBLE by BERNARDINI)
DORTH'S SOL DANCER 5 2 3 3½   2 2 (ferraro ant)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 14% 6.00 2.90 P
  (by SOLOMINI out of SECRET CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SHORESY 3 5 4 4   42 3 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 4.70  
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
TWISTED EMPRESS 1 6 6 5   54 4 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00 12% 7.10 3.60  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
CUPID MISSED 4 3 2½ 2nk   32 5 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 15.40  
  (by CUPID out of TRI AGAIN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
A ROSE FOR TINA 6 1 5 6   6 610 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 5.00 7.30  
  (by JACK MILTON out of SCORE BOYERA by SCORPION (IRE))
 
PID-2   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME B B 7 1 32 2nk   2nk 1 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 10.00 10% 8.80 4.70 W
KENJI'S EMPIRE 6 2 21 1nk   1nk 2 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.80 46% 1.20 0.50 P
SHARP PLAY BOY 4 3 4 4   3 3 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00 13.40  
GIZMO'S MISSION 1 6 6 53   44 4 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 19% 4.20 3.00  
PITON 2 7 710 7   5 5 (antus lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00 74.40  
SECOND LIEUTENANT 5 5 5 64   67 613½ (winters michell)LEON A 120 20.00 98.40  
CHIEF CRAZY MOON 3 4 11 3   711½ 725¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 20.00  
SCR  BRADY               (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00    
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY               (vitali m)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
 
PID-3   09/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:144 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YADI 1 4 4 4 3 31 1½ (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 8.00 23% 3.30 5.30 W
THE SINNER IS YOU 3 2 21 2 2nk 2nk 2½ (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.60 47% 1.10 0.50 P
CANADIAN GAME 2 3 11 1 1nk 1nk 3 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 6.70  
HEIRLOOM KITTEN 4 1 3 3 42 4 414¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 2.40  
SCR  RUNAWAY HARRY               (markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 2.00    
SCR  WHISKEYMAC               (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
 
PID-4   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIACOMETTI 1 2 1 1   12 13 (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 113 1.40 41% 1.50 0.60 W
SHOOT YOUR CUFFS 3 6 54 4   32 23 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 13% 6.80 8.10 P
HOUSEBUILDER 2 7 6 65   4 3 (bernardini jay )LEON A 118 4.00 16% 5.30 3.40 S
COUNTRY RUCKUS 4 1 33 2   22 44 (maddox a)WALKER M 122 12.00 20.10  
BACKDOORPARTY 5 5 76 7   7 57 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 17.30  
LARZ 6 3 44 5   6 6 (amaya joan)MARTINEZ W 118 3.50 6.10  
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 7 4 2 3   5 7 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 28.70  
 
PID-5   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:134 1:262   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT PAYDAY 6 5 3 3 2nk 1½ 1 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 3.50 31% 2.20 5.10 W
KICKS ON SIXTY SIX 2 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 2 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.50 5.70  
STUNNING BABY 3 9 810¾ 7 8 54 3 (fernande)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 5.80  
FARAT 4 1 6 8 5 43 4 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 51.20  
FLIGHT TO PARADISE 8 7 4 4 4 3 5 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 38% 1.70 1.90  
C THE KING 7 6 7 6 6 6 6 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 12.00 17.20  
WHISTLE ME HOME 1 2 5 5 7 7 7 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 11.70  
LEAVE 'EM LOADED 5 8 911 910¼ 9 87 811 (girten tim)AYALA J 122 5.00 8% 11.80 3.60  
GRIT AND GLORY 9 4 1nk 2nk 31 919 939¾ (clarke dyl)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
 
PID-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER SLEWS CASH 5 3 12 14   1 1 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 10% 9.40 1.00 W
ANA L 8 1 8 67   57 2 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 5.30  
FLOAT AWAY 6 2 33 35   3 3 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 40% 1.50 4.60 S
SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 4 4 22 24   2 4 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
MISS GETTY UP 1 7 54 56   4 58 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 21% 3.80 2.90  
CHALCOLITHIC 7 5 44 46   610 614¾ (spanabel kell)DELGADO DAVID 118 8.00 36.00  
HAZARD 2 6 7 78   710½ 715 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 118 12.00 30.70  
ROSE VALLEY 3 8 65 810   816½ 825½ (beattie )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 60.20  
SCR  TEAM HOT LINE               (ruberto louis)NELSON TYRONE 122 20.00    
 
PID-7   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:26 :502 1:15 1:27   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM WARRIOR 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1 1 (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 2.50 40% 1.50 1.20 W
DETERMINED GOLD 2 3 3 34 3 32 2 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 19% 4.30 1.30 P
PATH TO VICTORY 1 2 4 45 4 42 3 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 8.00  
DETERMINED LILLY 4 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 4 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 3.50  
SCR  EFFICACIOUS               (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
SCR  PEPPERMINT CLASS               (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80    
 
PID-8   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:493 1:133 1:261   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPETTACOLI (ARG) 5 1 63 65 53 52 11 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.50 21% 3.70 5.10 W
STRONG HEADED 4 6 3½ 3 3 4 21 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 19% 4.10 1.20 P
MOUNTAIN TREE 2 5 42 4 4 6 3 (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 26.00 S
CLEMSON TIGER 1 10 74 8 8 7 42 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.00 2.80  
PERCENTAGE 6 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 3½ 5 (cline c)ALLEN D 122 6.00 17.10  
VALDOLOBO (IRE) 3 4 1½ 2nk 2nk 1½ 6 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 28% 2.60 10.70  
INCLUSIVE 8 3 8 7 7 2½ 7 (boyer jr)STANLEY O 122 8.00 16.40  
THOMOND PARK 7 7 10 9 64 8 88 (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 9% 9.50 10.30  
10  GOLD WING 10 9 5 5 9 9 910¼ (guciardo john)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00 67.50  
BOOT LEGGER 9 8 9 10 1010¼ 1015¼ 1020 (winters michell)LEON A 122 15.00 80.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.