Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/2/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(7/2/8)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(5/1)-(1/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/2/3)-(8/6/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(8/6/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(8/6/5/9)-(7/1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (8/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/9)-(8/6/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/9)-(8/6/5/9)-(8/6/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/9)-(7/1/5/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/9)-(7/1/5/4)-(4/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/4)-(4/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/4)-(4/3)-(3/5/4/7/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/5/4/7/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/5/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7/2)-(3/5/4/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7/2)-(3/5/4/7/2)-(3/5/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWISTED EMPRESS Sep05         (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
2  MAIDEN LANE Aug21 Jul17       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BRABBLE by BERNARDINI)
3  SHORESY Aug03 Jul13       (schoenth)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  CUPID MISSED Sep05 Aug21       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
  (by CUPID out of TRI AGAIN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
5  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Aug28 Aug09       (ferraro ant)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SECRET CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  A ROSE FOR TINA Sep04 Aug21       (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 5.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of SCORE BOYERA by SCORPION (IRE))
 
PID-2   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRADY Sep04 Jul12 Sep18     (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00    
2  GIZMO'S MISSION Sep06 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May13 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  PITON Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Jun26 (antus lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00    
4  CHIEF CRAZY MOON Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 Jul03   (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
5  SHARP PLAY BOY Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jun11 Apr08 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00    
6  SECOND LIEUTENANT Sep06 Aug23 Jul31 Dec09   (winters miche)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
7  KENJI'S EMPIRE Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 Jun21 May31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
8  BLAME B B Aug02 Jul12 Jun16 May29 May04 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 May16 Apr18 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
 
PID-3   09/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YADI Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  RUNAWAY HARRY Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 2.00    
SCR  WHISKEYMAC Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
4  CANADIAN GAME Aug28 Oct06 Sep22 Jan23   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
5  THE SINNER IS YOU Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 Jun20 May29 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Aug17 Aug02 Jun26 Jun06 May17 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
 
PID-4   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIACOMETTI Aug30 Aug16 Aug10 Jul18 Jul05 (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 113 1.40 41% 1.50    
2  HOUSEBUILDER Aug22 Jul12 Jun05 Mar15 Feb15 (bernardini jay )LEON A 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  SHOOT YOUR CUFFS Oct20 Sep27 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
4  COUNTRY RUCKUS Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jun20 Apr06 (maddox a)WALKER M 122 12.00    
5  BACKDOORPARTY Jul25 Jul05 Feb03 Jan07 Oct19 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
6  LARZ Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (amaya joan)MARTINEZ W 118 3.50    
7  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Sep12 Aug14 Jul19 Jun28 May16 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLE ME HOME Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Oct20 Sep20 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
2  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 Jul19 Jun20 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.50    
3  STUNNING BABY Aug28 Jul31 Jul13 Jun20 Jun01 (fernande)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
4  FARAT Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 Jun20 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
5  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Sep11 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 (girten tim)AYALA J 122 5.00 8% 11.80    
6  GIANT PAYDAY Sep12 Aug18 Aug10 Jun26 May22 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  C THE KING Sep11 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 12.00    
8  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Sep11 Jul31 Jul19 Jun21 Jun12 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
9  GRIT AND GLORY Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (clarke dyl)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS GETTY UP Sep11 Aug16 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  HAZARD Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun06 May10 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 118 12.00    
3  ROSE VALLEY Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 Jun20 (beattie )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
4  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Aug18 Jul07 May11 Apr20 Mar15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOUPER SLEWS CASH Sep04 Aug15 Jul29 Oct29 Sep11 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  TEAM HOT LINE Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 Jun13 Oct31 (ruberto louis)NELSON TYRONE 122 20.00    
7  FLOAT AWAY Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  CHALCOLITHIC Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 (spanabel kell)DELGADO DAVID 118 8.00    
9  ANA L Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul10 Jun26 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00    
 
PID-7   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEPPERMINT CLASS Sep15 Aug24 Jul15 Jun22 Mar10 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80    
2  PATH TO VICTORY Sep12 Aug16 Aug07 Jul17 Jul11 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
3  DETERMINED GOLD Aug19 Jul13 Jun13 May24 Apr28 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  DREAM WARRIOR Sep06 Aug10 Jul25 Jun19   (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  EFFICACIOUS Jul25 Jun19       (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
6  DETERMINED LILLY Aug16 Jul13 May24 May04 Dec30 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
 
PID-8   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEMSON TIGER Sep11 Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.00    
2  MOUNTAIN TREE Aug30 Aug17 Jul03 Jun19 May29 (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  VALDOLOBO (IRE) Aug28 Jul26 Jan08 Sep12   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  STRONG HEADED Aug31 Aug12 Aug04 Jul01 Jun11 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 19% 4.10    
5  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Sep11 Aug10 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
6  PERCENTAGE Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun06 (cline c)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
7  THOMOND PARK Sep08 Aug11 May13 Mar25 Nov05 (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 9% 9.50    
8  INCLUSIVE Aug28 Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 (boyer jr)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
9  BOOT LEGGER Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Mar14 Mar01 (winters miche)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
10  GOLD WING Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jun24 Jan14 (guciardo john)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.