Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $43.60  
TDN-2   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.80  
TDN-3   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-4   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
TDN-5   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-7   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-8   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MA MOO POWER 2 3 11½ 11½   1nk 13¼ (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 20.80  
4  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 3 4 31½ 21½   2nk 23¼ (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00 11% 8.40 1.10 P
6  GOLDEN MONEY 5 2 21½ 32   32½ 34¼ (doering mark)TOLEDO S 123 2.50 57% 0.80 1.30 S
7  BUCKEYE RUCKUS 6 1 42½ 45   45 48½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 12% 7.70 4.20  
5  BOOT LEGGER 4 6 64 68½   59 511½ (londono j)HALDAR J 123 8.00 40.60  
1  PLATE IT UP 1 5 53 58   69¼ 611½ (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 6.00 18.10  
SCR  BILLY BEACOUP               (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
 
TDN-2   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 5 2 52 3.2   11½ 15 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 1.40  
4  APPEALING SENORITA 4 1 2½ 1nk   21½ 25 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 5.00 6.70  
2  NOT A WILD BRAT 2 5 31½ 52¾   54½ 36½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 17% 5.00 3.30 S
1  CONGRATS JENSEN 1 4 1½ 2nk   32 47 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.50 29% 2.50 2.30  
3  PROPHETESS 3 3 41½ 42¼   44½ 58½ (patton luk)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 32% 2.20 5.90  
 
TDN-3   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AUJARA 5 4 32 21½   23½ 11¼ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 29% 2.40 0.50 W
2  LEXY ANNA 1 3 12 11½   13½ 21¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 5.00  
3  CAT'S RHYTHM 2 5 42½ 35   37 33¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 36% 1.80 3.00 S
4  DANCIN' ROSIE 3 1 22 46   49½ 47¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 11.70  
5  RAINBOW SHIP 4 2 54 56½   510½ 59 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
SCR  COWCHI               (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HOLY SAINT 5 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1nk (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 11% 7.90 3.20 W
4  OVER THE HILLS 4 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 2nk (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 6.00 9.70  
2  FLIPPING FISH 2 3 33 43¼   42 32¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 1.60 47% 1.10 0.80 S
1  OTIS OTIS OTIS 1 2 54 33   32 45 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 18% 4.50 2.50  
3  ZELIG 3 5 43½ 54¼   54½ 56 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 12.10  
 
TDN-5   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE LOVE 1 3 11 11   14 19½ (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 1.80 36% 1.80 1.10 W
6  QUARANTINO 5 1 32 21   24 29½ (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 1.70  
2  FLAWLESS CAT 2 4 21 31½   34 310¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40 S
3  PERMAFROST 3 5 57 56   510 413½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 36% 1.70 3.10  
4  MINDSHIP Q 4 2 44 44   48 514½ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 12.00 28.10  
SCR  O ROMEO               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-6   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LILAC LACE 2 3 31 31   11 12 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 37% 1.70 1.70 W
4  SOFIA STRONG 3 2 1½ 11   21 22 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.00 18% 4.50 1.30 P
1  BACKSPLASH 1 5 42 42   33½ 33¼ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 4.30  
5  LA REINA DEL NORTE 4 4 2½ 21   45 47¼ (rotunno r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 8.10  
7  INDY PRINCESS KOKO 5 1 55 56   58½ 59¼ (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 15% 5.60 6.20  
SCR  JOYFUL NOISE               (cline c)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  SCATERRA               (syed riaz)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNI'S STORM 1 4 11 12   11 11¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
4  PRIVATE DRIVE 4 3 21 22   21 21¼ (guidry terra)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 12.00  
6  STONE COLD CAT 6 2 612 511½   47 33¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 ★ 6.70 S
7  MISTER MOBIL 7 1 48½ 310   36 45¼ (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 24% 3.10 3.40  
2  OHIO EAGLE 2 6 511½ 616   59 56½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
5  TIZ A RUSH 5 7 716 717   610 69½ (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 13.00  
3  OLE WATASHI 3 5 36 410½   713½ 719¾ (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 59.60  
 
TDN-8   08/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MISSION GIRL 6 1 41½ 31 1nk 2nk 1½ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 67% 0.50 0.40 W
5  OUT FOR FUN 5 3 21 2nk 31½ 1nk 2½ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 P
2  MOBIL CHIC 2 4 31½ 41¼ 53 51¾ 31 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 8% 12.30 5.50 S
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 4 6 52½ 51¾ 42½ 41¾ 41¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 8.40  
1  SARAH JANE 1 2 11 1nk 2nk 31½ 55¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00 19.70  
3  JETTIN PEGASUS 3 5 62¾ 63¼ 64 64¼ 65¾ (suarez javier)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00 8.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.