Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATE IT UP Aug01 Jul18 Jun26 Jun01 May24 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 6.00    
SCR  BILLY BEACOUP Aug02 Jul17 May20 Aug23 Aug08 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
3  MA MOO POWER May20 Nov22 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
4  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May20 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00 11% 8.40    
5  BOOT LEGGER Aug01 Jul18 Mar14 Mar01 Feb21 (londono j)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
6  GOLDEN MONEY Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 May20 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
7  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May08 Apr06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 12% 7.70    
 
TDN-2   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS JENSEN Aug08 Jul17 Jun24 Jun13 May26 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  NOT A WILD BRAT Aug02 Jul19 Jun19 May22 May03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 17% 5.00    
3  PROPHETESS Aug03 Jun15 May24 May03 Apr13 (patton luk)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  APPEALING SENORITA Aug10 Aug01 Jul24 Jul06 Jun24 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 5.00    
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Aug08 Jul17 Jun13 May23 May10 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
 
TDN-3   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWCHI Jun15 May22 May10 Dec20 Nov08 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
2  LEXY ANNA Jul17 Jun15 Jun01 May03 Apr13 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
3  CAT'S RHYTHM Jul17 Jun15 Jun01 May10 Apr26 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  DANCIN' ROSIE Jun06 May20 Apr27 Apr11 Feb23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
5  RAINBOW SHIP Aug02 Jul17 Jun15 May20 Apr26 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  AUJARA Aug07 Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 May20 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-4   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTIS OTIS OTIS Jul26 Jul04 Jun05 May23 May08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 18% 4.50    
2  FLIPPING FISH Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May23 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  ZELIG Jul12 Jun05 Jan09 Nov28 Nov07 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
4  OVER THE HILLS Jul31 Jun21 Jun05 May08 Apr15 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 6.00    
5  HOLY SAINT Aug03 Jul03 Jun15 May08 Apr15 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 118 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
TDN-5   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE LOVE Jul11 Jun21 May29     (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  FLAWLESS CAT Jul26 Jun24 May29 May09 Mar12 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PERMAFROST Jul26 Jul05 Jun24 May29 May11 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 36% 1.70    
4  MINDSHIP Q Aug09 Jul31 Jul17 Jun27 Jun02 (londono j)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  O ROMEO Jul31 Jul11 May29 May11 Apr23 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
6  QUARANTINO Jul05 Jun24 May29 May11 Jul14 (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00    
 
TDN-6   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSPLASH Jul27 Jul10 Jun01 May22 May06 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
2  LILAC LACE Jul27 Jun26 May24 Apr30 Mar22 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  JOYFUL NOISE Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 May13 Apr28 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
4  SOFIA STRONG Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 May24 May02 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
5  LA REINA DEL NORTE Oct18 Sep27 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 (rotunno r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
SCR  SCATERRA Aug02 May15 Nov03 Oct13 Sep20 (syed riaz)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
7  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Aug02 Jun21 May30 Feb15 Jan28 (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
TDN-7   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNI'S STORM Jul18 Jun13 May24 May09 Apr06 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  OHIO EAGLE Aug03 Jun26 Jun07 May22 May08 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OLE WATASHI Nov12 Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
4  PRIVATE DRIVE May16 May09 Apr25 Mar22 Mar09 (guidry terra)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
5  TIZ A RUSH Jul31 Jul11 May20 Sep20 Sep07 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50    
6  STONE COLD CAT Aug12 Jul11 May15 Apr27 Mar27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 ★    
7  MISTER MOBIL Jul31 Jun15 May22 May08 Mar20 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
TDN-8   08/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH JANE Aug02 Jul14 Jun19 May20 Apr12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
2  MOBIL CHIC Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May30 May17 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 8% 12.30    
3  JETTIN PEGASUS Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 Jun12 May20 (suarez javier)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00    
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jul27 May22 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00    
5  OUT FOR FUN Aug03 Jul17 Jun07 May17 Oct10 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISSION GIRL Jul17 Jun15 May17 Dec20 Nov21 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 67% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.