Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-5   EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $7.60 $1.60 27%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY 6 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 13 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 33% 2.00 0.60 W
CALENDULA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 23 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 3.00  
OPULENT WAYS 2 5 3 3 34 3 310¾ (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 29% 2.50 3.60 S
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 5 6 6 6 510 4 412½ (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 6.00 8% 10.90 23.80  
MANHATTAN LADY 3 2 42 44 49 59 516¾ (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 14.10  
FLYING BUSINESS 4 4 5 5 613½ 618 641 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 36.80  
SCR  MARIANNA QUEEN               (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTIN 3 2 1 1   15 1 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.00 3.90  
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 1 3 6 6   4 2 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 14% 6.00 3.50 P
IMA SURE BET 6 5 5 2   25 3 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 22% 3.50 2.20 S
SAUNTER 5 4 2 3   3 410¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.60  
EVIL MATTERS 2 7 7 4   58 513¼ (gorham rober)HALDAR J 119 15.00 13.00  
DIMPLED 7 1 3 5   611 617¼ (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 36.60  
SWAMP WITCH HADDY 4 6 4 7   717 734 (syed riaz)VELEZ J 123 15.00 47.60  
 
TDN-3   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY EUGENE 1 5 1nk 1½   12 1 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.60 53% 0.90 0.05 W
WETZEL 5 3 4¾ 2½   22 2 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 6.00 7% 12.80 23.90 P
K KID 4 2 3½ 32   45 3 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 8.00  
TIER ONE 6 1 6 5   5 47 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 117 3.00 16% 5.20 19.90  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 3 4 5¾ 4   35 5 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.00 34.80  
LONE BOY 2 6 2nk 69   613¼ 623¼ (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 90.90  
 
TDN-4   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALSANAH 6 2 710½ 610½ 55 4¾ 1 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 3.70  
MAGIC PALACE 4 4 2 2 3 3.2 2 (forster t)RIVERA R 121 1.80 22% 3.60 0.90 P
SICILIAN STYLE TWO 1 1 1 1 1 2nk 3 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00 11% 8.00 5.40 S
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 6 4 4 2 1nk 4 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 5.00 18.30  
CANDYMONIUM 3 5 5 56 4 5 5 (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 37% 1.70 3.30  
MY D'VALENTINE 7 3 3 33 610½ 616¾ 631¼ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 26.10  
SURPRISED GEM 5 7 6 715 732½ 7100 7100 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 40.40  
 
TDN-5   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COROMANDEL 6 1 21 2½   12 1 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 42% 1.40 0.90 W
  (by TEKTON out of WOOD ROSE by TIZNOW)
FULL TIME STRUTIN 3 3 33 3   22 2 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 7% 13.40 4.00 P
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
VIMISOFA 5 2 11 1½   32 3 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 8.00  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAYMONT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CATCHMENOW 4 4 4 46   48 417½ (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 5.00 37.30  
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
SHEWEARSMYRING 1 6 68 614   511½ 518¼ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 25% 2.90 1.80  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
LA KADENZA 2 5 55 512   611¾ 619¼ (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 30.00  
  (by TONALIST out of HOT GIRL by K ONE KING)
 
TDN-6   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:153     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL LASS 1 5 1 14 1nk 1 11 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 3.20  
RATATAT 6 2 3 24 2nk 2 21 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 1.80 66% 0.50 0.80 P
LADY ITCH 4 4 2 3 4 3 3 (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 4.00  
WELLOILEDCAT 3 3 611 616 6 510 411 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 32.90  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 5 1 55 47 32 46 513¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 4.70  
CRIMSON LEGION 2 6 4 58 5 615 623¾ (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
 
TDN-7   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM 2 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 9.40  
O CIGANO 3 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 2½ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 4.50 1.50  
SUSIE'S KID 4 5 5 5   3 3 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 121 2.00 41% 1.40 2.40 S
GARRETT 1 4 33 4   43 44 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 24% 3.10 4.90  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 5 1 4 33   5 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 2.70  
SCR  BLAME IT ON EDDIE               (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.50    
 
TDN-8   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALK 3 5 31 2nk   1 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 62% 0.60 1.10 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
STREET TRAFFIC 5 2 2nk 1nk   2 2 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 6.50  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
MOTOWN COLLECTION 6 1 1nk 32   38 311½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 12% 7.40 3.00 S
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
TWELVE MINUS ONE 1 4 4 43   49 412¼ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00 2.60  
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
EL BURRITO 2 6 6 5   512 520 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SCARLETT O'MARA by ESKENDEREYA)
SECOND LIEUTENANT 4 3 5 6   618 629 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00 53.00  
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of SAVANNAH HARBOR by GRUB)
SCR  LEFTLANEOUTLAW               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of BELLE'S CACHET by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.